Tag: Astros Marlins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Houston Astros (68-52) and the Miami Marlins (63-57) play the middle contest of a 3-game interleague series at loanDepot Park in South Florida on Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Miami leads 1-0 after Monday’s 5-1 victory

The Astros were disappointing in the series opener. While Houston outhit Miami 8-7 in the opener, LHP Framber Valdez fell apart late serving up 2 HR in the 8th inning to 2B Luis Arraez and OF Jorge Soler. DH Josh Bell also homered in the 8th as the Marlins posted a late-inning offensive explosion for the 2nd straight game.

Houston is still 9-5 in the last 14 games, although the Astros have plated just 2 total runs in the last 2 games, both losses. The Under has cashed in consecutive games after a 5-1 run to the Over in the previous 6 games.

Miami has won 3 in a row, and the Marlins have picked up 5 victories in the previous 6 outings. The Under is 10-4 in the last 14 games, while going 5-3 in the last 8 games at loanDepot Park.

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Astros at Marlins projected starters

RHP Cristian Javier vs. RHP Johnny Cueto

Javier (8-2, 4.36 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 117 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in an 8-2 road win vs. the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday
• 2023 road splits: 4-1, 5.17 ERA (69 2/3 IP, 40 ER – 14 HR), .226 opponent batting average (OBA) in 13 starts

Cueto (0-3, 5.33 ERA) makes his 6th start and 7th overall appearance. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 27 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 road victory Wednesday vs. the Cincinnati Reds
• 2023 home splits: 0-3, 6.16 ERA (19 IP, 13 ER – 5 HR), .206 OBA  in 4 starts

Astros at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:08 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Astros -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+125) | Marlins +1.5 (-150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Astros at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Marlins 3

Moneyline

The ASTROS (-135), looking for the bounce back, are the play on the road in Game 2 of this series, as the pitching matchup is squarely in their favor.

Yes, Javier has been a little more giving on the road than at home, but he enters with confidence after winning in Baltimore last time out. He has lost just once in his last 16 starts, too, with Houston going 11-5 in those outings. Meanwhile, Cueto is still searching for his 1st victory in a Marlins (+110) uniform.

Run line/Against the spread

The ASTROS -1.5 (+125) are worth a look on the run line, but be careful.

Houston is just 2-5 in the last 7 games on the run line as a favorite, while going 1-6 in the last 7 on the road against the run line when favored.

Still, there isn’t a lot to like about the Marlins +1.5 (-150) with Cueto toeing the slab.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the lean, but play it lightly.

The Over is 5-3 across the last 8 games for the Astros, while going 4-3 in the last 7 on the road. The Over has also cashed in 5 of Javier’s last 8 starts overall. However, the latter is a bit misleading, as it’s mostly due to the offense, and nothing Javier did. He has allowed 3 or fewer runs in each of his previous 5 outings.

For the Marlins, the Under has cashed in each of the last 4 starts by Cueto, with the offense providing a total of just 14 runs in his 6 overall appearances.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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The Houston Astros (68-51) and the Miami Marlins (62-57) open a 3-game interleague series at loanDepot Park in South Florida. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Astros vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Marlins won 2 of 3 last season in Houston

The Astros racked up a pair of 11-3 victories to open a 3-game set at home against the division-rival Los Angeles Angels over the weekend. Houston was unable to complete the sweep, however, losing 2-1 in the finale Sunday. It was a rare Under result, too, as the Over is 5-2 in the last 7 games.

The Marlins trailed the New York Yankees 7-3 heading to the bottom of the 9th inning, and Miami was staring a series loss in the face. However, the Fish rallied for 5 runs in the final frame to walk it off, winning for the 4th time in 5 outings.

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Astros at Marlins projected starters

LHP Framber Valdez vs. LHP Braxton Garrett

Valdez (9-7, 3.30 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 142 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 6 ER, 8 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 3 K in a 7-6 road win Tuesday vs. the Baltimore Orioles
• 2023 road splits: 5-2, 4.55 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 29 ER – 9 HR), .239 opponent batting average (OBA) in 9 starts

Garrett (6-3, 4.08 ERA) makes his 23rd start and 24th overall appearance. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 117 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 3-2 road victory Tuesday vs. the Cincinnati Reds
• 2023 home splits: 2-2, 5.40 ERA (60 IP, 36 ER – 12 HR), .284 opponent batting average (OBA) in 11 starts and 1 relief appearance

Astros at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:46 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Astros -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Marlins +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+120) | Marlins +1.5 (-145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Astros at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Astros 4

Moneyline

The MARLINS (+115) are worth playing as short ‘dogs at home in the interleague series opener.

While Valdez made plenty of headlines with a no-hitter earlier this month against the Cleveland Guardians, that impressive outing came at home. In fact, most of his impressive outings have been at Minute Maid Park. On the road, Valdez sports a 4.55 ERA (vs. 2.44 at home), while allowing 9 of his 13 homers away from MMP.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARLINS +1.5 (-145) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance, and you just cannot fathom taking Miami straight up against Houston.

As an underdog, Miami is 5-4 on the run line in the past 9 tries, winning 4 of those games outright. That includes Sunday’s miraculous comeback against the Bronx Bombers.

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Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-120) is a pretty low number given the splits for both starting pitchers.

Valdez is solid overall, but he has a 4.55 ERA and 9 HRs allowed in just 57 1/3 IP. Garrett has a 5.40 ERA in his home park across 60 IP in 11 starts and 1 relief appearance, while serving up 12 of his 15 HRs at loanDepot Park.

Go high on the total, and enjoy the low number set by the books.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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