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The Oakland A’s (35-60) and Philadelphia Phillies (61-32) begin a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the A’s vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Phillies won 3-0 last year
The A’s were shut out 7-0 by the Boston Red Sox Thursday, their 3rd loss in 7 games. RHP Luis Medina got roughed up for 6 ER on 7 hits in 5 innings. The top 4 hitters in Oakland’s lineup combined to go 0-for-14 with 6 K’s.
Philadelphia is riding high after sweeping the Dodgers, outscoring Los Angeles 19-5 over the 3-game series. RHP Aaron Nola struck out 9 in 6 innings to earn his 11th win of the season. The Phillies got home runs from SS Trea Turner, DH Kyle Schwarber, and LF Brandon Marsh. Philadelphia has the best record in MLB.
A’s at Phillies projected starters
LHP Hogan Harris vs. LHP Ranger Suarez
Harris (1-3, 3.22 ERA) makes his 8th start and 10 appearance. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 44 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 3-2 home setback against Baltimore Orioles July 5
- 2024 road splits: 0-1, 3.12 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 4 games
- Career vs. Phillies: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 3-2 road loss June 18, 2023
Suarez (10-3, 2.58 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 108 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-1 defeat at Atlanta Braves Saturday
- 2024 home splits: 5-0, 2.49 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 9 starts
- Never faced A’s before
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
A’s at Phillies odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:14 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): A’s +235 (bet $100 to win $235) | Phillies -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): A’s +1.5 (+114) | Phillies -1.5 (-137)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)
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A’s at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, A’s 1
Moneyline.
PASS.
The Phillies (-290) are heavy favorites because they are the far superior team. They will win their 4th straight game, but I won’t bet 3 units despite my confidence. I’ll save my wager for the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-137).
It has to nag Suarez that he had such a terrific start to the season but has been on the short end of 2 of his last 3 starts. This is a great opportunity to get back in the win column before the All-Star break. This is a lineup that he can overpower.
The Phillies love hitting against lefties. They are 22-15 against southpaws with a batting average of .264 as a team. Philadelphia is also 35-14 at Citizens Bank because they average the most runs per game at home (5.38). They also have a .775 OPS in the City of Brotherly Love.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-106).
The trends are pointing us towards the Under because 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings have gone that way. You have to also like the fact that 3 of Suarez’s last 4 starts have ended with an Under.
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