The UCLA Bruins (2-2 overall, 2-2 Pac-12) visit the Arizona State Sun Devils (0-1, 0-1) Saturday at Sun Devil Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the UCLA-Arizona State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
UCLA at Arizona State: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:26 p.m. ET.
- Money line: UCLA +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Arizona State -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: UCLA +3 (-115) | Arizona State -3 (-105)
- Over/Under: 56.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
UCLA at Arizona State: Three things to know
- UCLA took care of business at home last week against Arizona as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bruins trampled the Wildcats on the ground, carrying the ball 56 times for 281 yards and 2 touchdowns in the 27-10 win.
- Arizona State has been off since it blew a 10-point, fourth-quarter lead in a 28-27 loss to USC on Nov. 7. The Sun Devils have had three canceled games (California, Utah and Colorado) all due to COVID complications.
- Both head coaches, UCLA’s Chip Kelly and Arizona State’s Herm Edwards, were hired before the 2018 season. The head-to-head series since then is tied 1-1, but UCLA is 2-0 ATS coming off last year’s 42-32 win.
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UCLA at Arizona State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Arizona State 31, UCLA 17
Money line (ML)
PASS. There’s nothing wrong with taking Arizona State (-140) straight up, but I’d prefer to lay 3 points and pay the vig.
Against the spread (ATS)
These programs are both starting to round the corner and the betting public maybe hasn’t spotted it yet. Arizona State is above .500 in both seasons under Edwards, and UCLA is 3-1 ATS this year despite playing without starting QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson the previous two games.
The Bruins’ ATS success is due to them completely controlling the ground game on both sides of the ball. UCLA has outrushed its opponents by at least 134 yards in three straight games.
Along with Thompson-Robinson, the Bruins have four RBs with questionable game statuses, and Arizona State’s rush defense was good last season (T18 in opponent’s yards per rush and 26th in opponent’s rushing yards per game).
Arizona State covered its first game of the season because of a rushing attack that gained 258 yards. Plus, Edwards will have his team prepped after the long layoff. GIMME ARIZONA STATE -3 (-105) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
UCLA’s defense has been a pleasant surprise for Bruins fans so far this year as it is ranked 13th in opponent’s yards per play, 31st in opponent’s completion percentage and 44th in opponent’s passing yards per game.
Arizona State completed just 48% of its passes for 134 yards against USC, and its win against UCLA in 2018 went Under the total. The Sun Devil’s path to victory is most likely a lower scoring game.
More importantly, the public is hitting the Over hard, but it hasn’t budged from the 56.5-point opener because bookmakers are looking for Over action. Let’s TAKE UNDER 56.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
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