Tag: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres odds predictions pick betting line spread

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (30-35) and San Diego Padres (34-34) wrap up a 4-game series at Petco Park Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 4-2

The Diamondbacks won the series opener Thursday by a 4-3 score, but the Padres have been rude hosts the past 2 days. San Diego won 10-3 on Friday, and 13-1 on Saturday, easily cashing as the favorite while hitting the Over both days.

Despite the 2 blowout losses, Arizona is still a respectable 5-3 in the past 8 games, while cashing the Over at 7-2 clip in the previous 9 contests.

The 23 runs scored the past 2 days is the most scored in consecutive games by the Padres this season. The 2 routs come after a 5-game losing skid which saw the team average just 2.2 runs per game (RPG), cashing the Under in each outing.

Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Scott McGough vs. RHP Adam Mazur

McGough (1-3, 6.35 ERA) makes his 1st start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 17 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 40-pitch start at Padres in an 8-1 win Aug. 19, 2023
  • 2024 road splits: 0-2, 11.12 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 2.29 WHIP, .381 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 2 HR, 5 BB, 2 K in 6 relief appearances

Mazur (0-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 6 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 4-2 road loss vs. Los Angeles Angels Tuesday in his Major League debut

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Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Padres $130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-196) | Padres -1.5 (+162)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 8, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The PADRES (-130) are a good play behind the rookie Mazur, who makes his home debut at Petco Park. He had a solid outing against the Angels in his 1st taste of the majors last time out.

The Diamondbacks (+110) counter with McGough, who has been a disaster in relief. He’ll serve as the opener, turning it over to an Arizona bullpen which has also been erratic, allowing 27 HR with a 4.48 ERA, which ranks 6th-worst in the majors.

Run line/Against the spread

It’s tough to trust a rookie making just his 2nd-ever start in the majors, but the PADRES -1.5 (+162) are worth a roll of the dice for the more adventurous bettor.

San Diego will get a shot at the shaky Diamondbacks +1.5 (-196) bullpen early in the game, and we could have another rout in the series finale.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-115) is the play, based mostly on the poor pitching of McGough, and the fact the Padres have piled up 24 runs the past 2 games, and they’ll get to face the Diamondbacks for an extended period.

The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 games for the Diamondbacks, and 7-2 in the previous 9 outings. The Padres have hit the Over in 3 of the past 4 games at home.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (30-34) and San Diego Padres (33-34) meet Saturday for the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: San Diego leads 3-2

San Diego routed Arizona 10-3 in the 2nd game of the series Friday while cashing as a -135 home favorite. The Diamondbacks were trailing 5-3 at the end of the 7th inning, but the Padres scored 5 more runs in the 8th to put the game away.

RHP Michael King picked up the win, allowing just 4 hits and 1 walk with 5 K’s in 5 scoreless innings. Friday’s win ended a 5-game losing streak for the Padres.

Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Matt Waldron

Nelson (3-4, 5.44 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 48 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 4-2 home win over San Francisco Giants Monday
  • 2024 vs. San Diego: 1-0, 7.20 ERA (5 IP, 4 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 start, an 11-4 home win May 5
  • Career vs. San Diego: 2-2, 6.23 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 6 starts

Waldron (3-5, 3.98 ERA) makes his 13th start. The rookie has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 63 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 2-1 loss at Los Angeles Angels Monday
  • 2024 vs. Arizona: 0-1, 21.00 ERA (3 IP, 7 ER), 8 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 1 start, an 11-4 road loss May 5
  • Career vs. Arizona: 0-2, 13.50 ERA (8 IP, 12 ER), 2.38 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 2 starts

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Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Padres -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175) | Padres -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

LEAN DIAMONDBACKS (+120).

Arizona is 2-1 in its last 3 road games, while the Padres are only 1-2 in their last 3 at home. The Diamondbacks are also 3-1 in their last 4 meetings with the Padres in San Diego.

This is only a lean because Arizona is just 6-4 in the last 10 meetings. Arizona is also just 5-5 in its last 10 games overall, while the Padres are 4-6.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect the Diamondbacks to cover as +1.5 (-175) underdogs, but the line is too heavy to risk betting on as currently set. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-105).

The Over has hit in 3 of Arizona’s last 4 games overall and is 4-1 in its last 5 on the road. For San Diego, the Over is 2-1 in its last 3 home games. The Over has also hit in 3 of the last 4 Arizona-San Diego matchups overall and is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (30-33) and San Diego Padres (32-34) play the 2nd game of a 4-game set at Petco Park Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET . Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

Arizona cashed as a slight road underdog (-105) against San Diego with a 4-3 victory Thursday. CF Corbin Carroll delivered 3 hits and scored 2 runs in the win, and RHP Kevin Ginkel picked up his 5th win of the season in relief. While the Diamondbacks pen has been so-so, having allowed the 3rd-most hits (231) in the NL, closer RHP Paul Sewald was able to record his 7th save while lowering his ERA to 0.87 in 10 1/3 IP.

San Diego got into a hole early, as 1B Christian Walker delivered an RBI double off RHP Randy Vasquez in the 1st inning and both 3B Eugenio Suarez and C Gabriel Moreno belted solo HRs in the 2nd. The Padres were able to tie the game in the 5th when C Kyle Higashioka homered, which was followed up by a 2-run RBI double from 1B Jake Cronenworth.

Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Michael King

Pfaadt (2-4, 4.32 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 73 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-4 win at New York Mets Sunday
  • 2024 vs. Padres: 0-1, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER), 10 H (season high), 0 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 13-1 home loss May 4

King (4-4, 3.82 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 22 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-3 loss at Kansas City Royals Sunday
  • Sports highest HR-to-fly-ball percentage (16.7%) and HR/9 (1.6) in NL among qualified pitchers

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Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+160) | Padres +1.5 (-194)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego 4, Arizona 3

Moneyline

BET SAN DIEGO (-120).

King surrendered only 1 earned run in 7 innings in his last start against Kansas City, which enters Friday 11 games above .500. The former Yankee has shown the ability to dominate, as he took a no-hit bid into the 7th inning against Milwaukee April 17.

King’s ability to get pitches in the zone for quality strikes has improved. Expect Arizona, which over the last month has the 3rd-highest K% in MLB, to have a difficult time generating much offensively.

Run line

INCLUDE SAN DIEGO +1.5 (-205) IN A PARLAY. 

I like pairing the Padres +1.5 (-205) with the Chicago White Sox +1.5 (-178 at home vs. Boston Red Sox, 8:10 p.m. ET). Chicago has lost 14 in a row, but LHP Garrett Crochet is on the mound and the Red Sox lead MLB in K% vs. LHP (28.3%).

Over/Under

PASS.

Pfaadt leads all MLB qualified pitchers in 1st-pitch strike percentage (72.9%) and features a nasty sweeper that rates out as 3rd-best in the Stuff+ metric on Fangraphs. I would lean to the Under, but this number feels right.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (29-33) and San Diego Padres (32-33) open a 4-game set Thursday. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-1

The Diamondbacks snapped a 4-game winning streak with a 9-3 loss against the San Francisco Giants Wednesday while failing to cash as +104 home underdogs. RF Pavin Smith hit a solo shot in the 5th inning, and LHP Jordan Montgomery allowed 6 ER in 2 innings to pick up the loss.

The Padres have lost 4 games in a row after falling 3-2 against the Los Angeles Angels Wednesday and failing to cash as -174 road favorites. San Diego announced after the loss that 3B Manny Machado suffered a strained right hip flexor. RF Fernando Tatis Jr. had a 4-hit game for the 7th time in his career, while RHP Dylan Cease allowed 3 ER in 6 innings and picked up the loss.

Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Slade Cecconi vs. RHP Randy Vasquez

Cecconi (1-4, 5.59 ERA) makes his 7th start. The rookie has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 37 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 10-5 win at New York Mets Saturday
  • 2024 vs. Padres: 0-1, 12.46 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 7-1 home loss May 3
  • Career vs. Padres: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (6 IP, 6 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

Vasquez (1-3, 5.74 ERA) makes his 7th start. The rookie has a 1.61 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 26 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-3 victory at Kansas City Royals Saturday
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-0, 7.71 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 1 relief appearance of 7-1 home loss with New York Yankees Sept. 24, 2023

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Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Padres -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) | Padres -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

BET PADRES (-125).

The Diamondbacks have lost 6 of their last 10 games, including 4 of their last 6 on the road. They have allowed 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games while scoring 4 or fewer in 6 of their last 10.

The Padres have won 3 of their last 4 home games and allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 at Petco Park. They have also allowed 4 or fewer runs in each of their last 5 games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is minimal value on the run line.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-120).

The Diamondbacks have held opponents to 4 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 10 games while scoring 4 or fewer in 6 of their last 10. San Diego has hit the Under in 7 of its last 10 games, including each of its last 4. It has scored 3 runs or fewer in each of its last 4 games while allowing 4 or fewer in each of its last 5.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (39-52) wrap up their 6-game road trip Sunday with the 3rd and final game of their series against the San Diego Padres (52-41). First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Padres lead the season series 9-2.

The Padres picked up a 4-3 win Saturday night after winning Friday’s game 5-3 and will look to complete the sweep Sunday. They are 6-10 in their last 16 games.

The Diamondbacks have lost 4 straight games and 8 of their last 10.

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Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Mike Clevinger

Kelly (8-5, 3.36 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 104 1/3 IP.

  • Has been solid in July. He’s 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA in 3 starts and 20 1/3 innings this month.
  • In his 1 start gainst the Padres, he did not allow a run in 4 IP.

Clevinger (2-2, 3.79 ERA) makes his 9th start in 10 appearances. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 40 1/3 IP.

  • Has faced Arizona twice this season and the Padres won both starts. He has allowed 1 R on 6 H in 10 IP vs. the Diamondbacks.
  • Has lost his last 2 starts and allowed 4 runs in each.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Padres -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) | Padres -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Padres 3

Money line

The Diamondbacks have managed to avoid being swept in all but 3 series this season. The Dodgers have swept them twice and the Padres once. But they manage to salvage 1 game out of almost every series.

The Padres have 5 series sweeps this season, including one against the Diamondbacks, but they are only 25-20 at home this season.

Kelly has been on his game again and Clevinger has allowed 8 runs in his last 11 1/3 innings. The Arizona bats will come alive early and the Padres will play from behind with another strong outing by Kelly.

This is the best bet of the afternoon. Take the DIAMONDBACKS (+130) to win.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks have been a very good bet against the spread this season. Their 51-40 ATS mark overall is the 4th-best in baseball. They have covered the spread in 8 of their last 12 games.

Meanwhile, the Padres are only 15-30 ATS at home this season.

However, because I like the D-backs to win outright, the money line is the better play. But if you want a slightly safer bet than an Arizona win, the run line is still just within the range that is worth some action. Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-165) if you aren’t as confident in an outright win.

Over/Under

Eleven of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 wins have had at least 8 total runs. In 25 of their 39 wins, the total has been at least 8 runs.

Six of the Padres’ last 7 games have had 8 or more runs.

Take OVER 7.5 (-102).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (39-51) face the San Diego Padres (51-41) Saturday for the middle game of a 3-game set in San Diego. First pitch is set for 8:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Padres lead 8-2

The Diamondbacks lost Friday’s opener 5-3 and have dropped 3 straight. They are 2-7 in their last 9 games.

The Padres, who snapped a 3-game losing streak with the win, are 6-13 in their last 19 games.

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Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

LHP Tyler Gilbert vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Gilbert (0-3, 5.33 ERA) makes his 6th start in 7 appearances. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 25 1/3 IP.

  • D-backs are 1-4 in his 5 starts this season
  • Coming off his best start of the season, pitching 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a no-decision against the visiting Colorado Rockies Sunday
  • Career vs. Padres: 1-1, 1.69 ERA (16 IP, 3 ER), 9 H, 5 BB, 11 K in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance, all in 2021

Manaea (4-4, 4.09 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 94 2/3 IP.

  • 2022 vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 2.37 ERA (19 IP, 5 ER), 7 H, 7 BB, 20 K in 3 starts – Padres went 2-1
  • 2022 home splits: 2-3, 4.54 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 7 starts

Diamondbacks at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Padres -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4

Money line

Arizona has struggled against San Diego this season, losing 8 out of 10. The D-backs have also lost 5 of their last 7 road games.

Manaea has pitched well against Arizona, while Gilbert has been inconsistent.

But at -200, this is a PASS. There are better bets to be made.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 50-40 ATS on the season, including 24-18 ATS on the road.

San Diego is only 15-29 ATS at home and 44-48 ATS overall.

While the D-backs have lost 7 of their last 9 games, they lost by 1 run in 4 of those losses.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

Six of this season’s 10 games between the teams this season have had 7 or fewer runs.

But 10 of the last 14 games for Arizona have had 8 or more runs.

The Padres’ last 6 games have all had 8 or more runs.

Take OVER 7.5 (-130).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (32-36) open a 3-game road series against the San Diago Padres (41-27) Monday. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Padres lead the season series 3-1. This is the first matchup since their 4-game series to open the season.

The Diamondbacks went 3-3 in their recent homestand, winning 3 of the final 4 games and taking 2 of 3 contests from the Minnesota Twins over the weekend. They won 7-1 Sunday to capture the series.

The Padres start a 7-game homestand as they return after being swept in a 3-game series at the Colorado Rockies. They had won 4 in a row and 11 of 14 games before dropping the 3 games.

Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Zach Davies vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Davies (2-3, 3.78 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 69 IP.

  • Allowed 2 runs on 4 hits and 3 walks in 5 innings in his first start of the year against the Padres April 9; received a no-decision in a 5-2 loss.
  • Threw 7 scoreless innings in his last start vs. the Cincinnati Reds Tuesday and has not allowed a run in 2 of his last 3 starts.

Darvish (6-3, 3.35 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 75 1/3 IP.

  • Faced the Diamondbacks in his first start of the season April 7 with 6 hitless innings and walked 4 in a 4-2 loss.
  • Has allowed only 1 run in his last 15 innings spanning 2 starts.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Padres -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-155) | Padres -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 2

Money line

The Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 4 games but are 6-9 in their last 15 contests. The magic number for them has been 5 runs. They are 13-2 in their last 15 games scoring 5 or more. They have lost 13 games in a row when they fail to score at least 5 runs.

The Padres have allowed 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games but have allowed 4 or fewer runs in 9 of Darvish’s 12 starts this season.

I expect the Padres to win but it’s a PASS on the money line unless you include it as part of a parlay bet because of the price. As a single bet, it isn’t worth the action.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 39-29 ATS on the season, which is the third-best mark in baseball, and they are 20-12 ATS on the road. However, their last 5 road losses have been by 2 or more runs.

Of the Padres’ last 12 wins, 11 have been by at least 2 runs. But they are 10-20 ATS at home this season.

That said, I expect the Diamondbacks to struggle offensively against Darvish.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under

Opponents have scored fewer than 5 runs in 3 of Davies’ last 4 starts but the Diamondbacks’ last 7 games have all had 8 or more total runs.

The Padres have had 6 straight games of 8 or more runs.

However, 3 of the 4 games between the two teams in April had 7 or fewer runs.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-130).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (35-76) seek to clinch a road series win over the San Diego Padres (62-49) Saturday after winning Friday’s opener, 8-5. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Diamondbacks RHP Taylor Widener (1-1, 5.05 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 41 IP.

  • Widener pitched 6 scoreless innings and picked up the win in a 3-1 victory April 4 over the Padres.
  • He has allowed 5 earned runs in each of his last three starts giving him a 10.66 ERA since July 20.

Padres RHP Yu Darvish (7-6, 3.48 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 121 2/3 IP.

  • The Padres have beaten the Diamondbacks both times Darvish has started against them, although he did not get the decision in either game. He has a 4.22 ERA in those two games despite allowing just 1 run through 6 innings in the most recent contest.
  • He has a 7.36 ERA in his last five starts, spanning 25 2/3 innings.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Padres -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+111) | Padres -1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Padres 7, Diamondbacks 4

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks won the first game of the series but are only 14-41 on the road this season. They haven’t won two games in a road series since they took two of three in Atlanta April 23-25.

Only the Chicago White Sox have more home wins than the Padres’ 36 at Petco Park, although they are 3-4 in their last seven games there.

Picking the Padres to win is easy but at -320, there are much better bets to make. PASS and look to the spread and the total.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

In addition to having the second-fewest road wins the Diamondbacks have the fifth-worst road cover percentage, although they have covered the spread in four of their last five road contests.

The Padres’ last five wins have been by at least 2 runs. In their six wins over the Diamondbacks this season, four have been by at least 2 runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-140).

Over/Under (O/U)

Six of the 10 games between the two teams this season have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Considering the ERA of both pitchers over their last few starts (Widener 10.66 in his last three and Darvish 7.36 in his last five), we can expect some runs on the board.

Take OVER 8.5 (-102).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (34-76) start a five-game road trip with the first game of a three-game series against the San Diego Padres (62-48) Friday. First pitch is 10:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Diamondbacks LHP Caleb Smith (3-8, 5.04 ERA) makes his 13th start and 31st appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 85 2/3 IP.

  • Smith lasted only 1 2/3 innings in his last start, allowing 5 runs in a 13-0 loss to the L.A. Dodgers.
  • The Diamondbacks are 2-10 when Smith starts this season. He lost his only start this season against the Padres, allowing 4 runs (3 earned) and 5 hits in 3 innings in a 7-0 defeat.

Padres LHP Ryan Weathers (4-3, 3.65 ERA) makes his 14th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 66 2/3 IP.

  • He has faced the Diamondbacks once as an opener this season. The Padres won that game, 7-0, as he pitched 1 scoreless inning April 28.
  • The Padres are 1-4 in his last five starts.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Padres -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-120) | Padres -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Padres 6, Diamondbacks 3

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks are the worst team in the majors this season and have the league’s worst road record at 13-41. They are 3-6 against the Padres with seven games against them in the next 10 days. Smith has a 10.97 ERA in his last five starts.

The Padres’ 36 home wins this season are bested only by the Chicago White Sox but they are only 6-7 in their last 13 at Petco. Weathers is coming off his worst appearance of the season where he allowed 8 earned runs in 4 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Colorado Rockies.

Take the PADRES (-220).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

At 23-31 ATS on the road, the Diamondbacks have the second-fewest road covers and third-lowest road cover percentage. All four losses in Smith’s last five starts have been by at least 2 runs.

The Padres are only 28-30 ATS at home this season and 4-5 ATS against the Diamondbacks. They have covered the spread in three straight and are 6-5 ATS in their last 11 games.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

53.4% of the games at Petco Park have gone Over the projected total this season. Five of the nine games between the two teams have had totals of 9 or more runs.

10 of the Diamondbacks’ last 14 games have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Seven of the last nine games for the Padres have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-125).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (22-56) close out their three-game road series against the San Diego Padres (46-33) Sunday afternoon. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zac Gallen is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 1-3 with a 3.67 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 34 1/3 IP over 7 starts.

Despite taking the loss in his last start, he allowed only 1 run on 3 hits in 5 frames, striking out 8 and walking none. Gallen looked like the pitcher the Snakes expect him to be.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 7-2 with a 2.50 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 90 IP over 15 starts.

The Padres are 12-3 when he starts. His only start against the Diamondbacks this season was April 1. Darvish allowed 4 runs on 8 hits over 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision.

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Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Padres -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+100) | Padres -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 2

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks’ 10-1 win over the Padres Saturday night was just their second win in the past 22 games, their 10th road win of the year and their fourth win in the last 38 games.

The Padres are 29-15 at home and had won eight straight before their loss Saturday. They aren’t likely to lose two in a row to Arizona.

Take the PADRES (-275).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Even with the win and the cover Saturday, only one team in the majors has a lower road cover percentage than Arizona’s 40.5%.

The Padres have still covered the spread in seven of their last nine games at home. Nine of their 12 wins when Darvish pitches were by at least 2 runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-120).

Over/Under (O/U)

Seven of the last nine games at Petco Park went Over the projected total. However, Gallen appears to be back on track with his pitching and Darvish has only a 2.50 ERA.

Expect a low-scoring game in this getaway game. Take UNDER 7 (+100).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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