The San Diego Padres (9-11) open a 7-game road trip with the 1st of 4 games against the Arizona Diamondbacks (11-8) on Thursday. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Padres ended a 3-game losing streak Wednesday and avoided getting swept at home by the Atlanta Braves with a 1-0 win. Starter Nick Martinez pitched 7 scoreless innings and OF Juan Soto homered for the only run of the game.
The Diamondbacks finished their road trip 3-3. They won their 3-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals, but dropped the finale on Wednesday 14-5 as starter Madison Bumgarner allowed 7 runs on 7 hits in only 3 innings.
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Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Michale Wacha vs. RHP Ryne Nelson
Wacha (2-1, 6.06 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 5 BB and 15 K in 16 1/3 IP.
- Allowed 7 ER on 11 H in 4 1/3 IP in an 11-2 loss to the Brewers in his last outing
- Is 2-1 with 3.82 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 7 career starts vs. Arizona
Nelson (1-0, 3.71 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 5 BB and 10 K in 17 IP.
- Had no-decision in 3-2 loss vs. Miami Marlins in last start, allowing 1 R on 5 H in 6 IP
- Making 7th career start, 4th against Padres
Padres at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+110) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 5, Padres 3
Moneyline
The Padres get SS Fernando Tatis Jr. back on Thursday from his 50-game PED suspension, which should be a boost to the lineup. The Padres have scored only 2 runs in their last 4 games. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
The Diamondbacks are 5-2 at Chase Field this season. And so far this season, the D-backs have lost consecutive games only once.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (+115).
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks have been the ATS underdog in 16 of their first 18 games this season and are 11-5 ATS in those games.
The Padres are 4-7 ATS when favored on the run line.
The Diamondbacks are the better bet here, but because of the positive odds on the moneyline, that is the best bet to make here.
PASS.
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Over/Under
Of the 2 teams’ previous meetings, 1 game had 9 total runs and the other had 14.
The Padres have scored 2 total runs in their last 4 games and have been held to 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. Only 2 of their last 10 games have had totals of 10 or more runs.
Six of the Diamondbacks’ last 9 games have had 9 or fewer runs.
BET UNDER 9.5 (+100).
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