Sun Belt Tournament: Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State Sun Belt Tournament odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (17-15) and Appalachian State Mountaineers (27-5) tangle in a Sunday semifinal game of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament in Pensacola, Fla. Tip-off at the Pensacola Bay Center will be at 6 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Arkansas State, which lost at Appalachian State in the regular-season finale, is the No. 4 seed in the SBC bracket. The Red Wolves advanced by beating  Louisiana 89-62, easily covering as a 4-point favorite. Since Feb. 10, the Wolves are 7-1 both straight up (SU) and against the spread(ATS).

Top-seeded Appalachian State beat Georgia Southern 85-80 in overtime on Saturday. The favored-by-13 Mountaineers led by 10 with 10:48 to play, but let that lead evaporate by the end of regulation. The result snapped a 6-game ATS win streak and extended what is now an 8-game win streak SU.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Arkansas State +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Appalachian State -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas State +4.5 (+100) | Appalachian State -4.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State picks and predictions

Prediction

Appalachian State 73, Arkansas State 67

Moneyline

Appalachian State is the lean side here but should only be an actionable play up to about -210. PASS.

Against the spread

The Mountaineers have won 5 in a row ATS when facing the Wolves. In the March 1 meeting, Appalachian State led by more-than-10 the entire last 25 minutes.

Appalachian State has trended toward improving 3-point defense of late, and that figures as a big key against an Arkansas State team which ranks 34th in the nation in perimeter frequency (BartTorvik). The Mountaineers held the Wolves to a 5-of-26 (19.2%) mark in the March 1 game. Arkansas State has been a below-average team in distance shooting on the road and in neutral-site games.

On a sliver of a lean at this number, TAKE THE MOUNTAINEERS -4.5 (+100).

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Over/Under

This contest figures to be near average on the tempo scale, and it likely features the Sun Belt’s most efficient offense (Arkansas State) against the circuit’s most efficient defense (Appalachian State).

The Wolves typically do well on the offensive glass and in knocking down 3s. Look for the league’s No. 1 seed to have a counter, tamping down those point-spiral factors. Per KenPom, Appalachian State also ranks 2nd in the nation in free-throw frequency.

The total here is 4 1/2 points lower than it was in Appalachian State’s home game against the Wolves March 1. But a game flow delivering this one to the high 130s/low 140s has enough probability to make the UNDER 145.5 (-105) — as listed on FanDuel Sportsbook — the value play.

Get ready, North Carolina!
Online sports betting begins March 11

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Sun Belt Tournament: Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Georgia Southern Eagles (9-23) and Appalachian State Mountaineers (26-5) meet Saturday in the quarterfinal of the Sun Belt Tournament. Tip-off from Pensacola Bay Center is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The 9th-seeded Eagles picked up a 76-71 second-round win over No. 8 seed South Alabama Thursday to get to the quarterfinals.

After an absolutely abysmal start to the season — going 0-12 straight up (SU) in the 1st 12 games while failing to cover the 1st 9 outings — Georgia Southern is 15-7-1 ATS in the past 23 outings. It has won a season-high 3 in a row while covering 6 straight.

The Mountaineers, the No. 1 seed in the tournament, make their 1st postseason appearance after receiving the double-bye in the SBC tourney. App State has won the past 7 contests, and it closed out the regular season with 6 straight covers.

App State swept the regular-season series, winning 84-74 Jan. 25 in Boone and 85-84 in OT in Statesboro Feb. 3. The Eagles covered both meetings, and they’re 4-0 ATS in the past 4 in the series.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Georgia Southern +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Appalachian State -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Georgia Southern +13.5 (-102) | Appalachian State -13.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State picks and predictions

Prediction

Appalachian State 82, Georgia Southern 73

Moneyline

Appalachian State (-1400) will cost you 14 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. Even as part of a multi-team parlay, playing such a heavy favorite is not recommended, as it sucks all of the value out of your ticket.

PASS, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

GEORGIA SOUTHERN +13.5 (-102) is a strong play at this number. Both teams are actually playing very well, as the Eagles and Appalachian State -13.5 (-120) are both on 6-game ATS winning streaks.

GSU cashed in each of the 2 regular-season meetings, and the Eagles have cashed 7 in a row as double-digit underdogs. On the flip side, the Mountaineers are just 3-3 ATS in the past 6 when favored by 10 or more points.

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Over/Under

OVER 146.5 (-110) is worth a look in this tourney battle in Pensacola.

The total went high in each of the 2 regular-season meetings, and the Over is 5-0 in the past 5 in this series. App State averaged 84.5 PPG in the 2 victories, while Georgia Southern went for 79 PPG in those outings.

The Eagles closed out the regular season with 7 straight Over results, although GSU did hit the Under last time out against South Alabama to open its SBC tourney. And since Jan. 17, App State has hit the Over at a 10-4 clip in 14 outings.

Get ready, North Carolina!
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Arkansas State at Appalachian State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Arkansas State at Appalachian State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (16-14, 11-6 Sun Belt) and Appalachian State Mountaineers (25-5, 15-2) tussle in a Friday battle in Boone, N.C. The opening tip-off at Holmes Convocation Center will be at 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Arkansas State is playing for a 2nd time in 3 nights. The Red Wolves downed Coastal Carolina 71-60 to cover as 9.5-point road underdogs Wednesday. Since Jan. 28, ASU is 8-1 straight up and 9-0 against the spread (ATS).

Appalachian State, which already won the Sun Belt’s regular-season title and locked up the No. 1 seed for the conference tournament, also last played Wednesday. That’s when the Mountaineers coasted to an 89-64 triumph as 14.5-point home favorites vs. Old Dominion to win their 6th straight. Four of the 6 wins were by double-digit margins.

Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Arkansas State at Appalachian State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Arkansas State +215 (bet $100 to win $215) | Appalachian State -265 (bet $265 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Arkansas State +6.5 (-110) | Appalachian State -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Arkansas State at Appalachian State picks and predictions

Prediction

Appalachian State 77, Arkansas State 68

Moneyline

PASS. Better value can be found with the spread.

Against the spread

This series has seen Appalachian State cover 4 straight games ATS.

The Mountaineers have the better defense by light years in this matchup. That includes defending the perimeter well, which figures to be a big key against the 3-launching Wolves.

But Arkansas State is also a Jekyll-and-Hyde squad when it comes to distance shooting. According to barttorvik.com, the Wolves rank 11th in the nation in 3-point shooting on home hardwood (42.3%); they rank 279th in road accuracy (30.1%).

Consider BACKING THE MOUNTAINEERS -6.5 (-110) on a partial-unit basis.

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Over/Under

The total has gone Under in 11 of Arkansas State’s last 14 games on the road.

Look for faster Arkansas State to be slowed by Appalachian’s solid handles on the basketball. Peg this one as being headed for low-to-mid-140’s.

TAKE UNDER 148.5 (-108).

Get ready, North Carolina!
Online sports betting begins March 11

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Coastal Carolina at Appalachian State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Coastal Carolina at Appalachian State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Appalachian State Mountaineers (3-2, 1-0 Sun Belt) welcome the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (2-3, 0-2) to Kidd Brewer Stadium Tuesday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Coastal Carolina at Appalachian State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Mountaineers beat the University of Louisiana-Monroe 41-40 on Sept. 30, failing to cover in the Week 5 matchup as a 14-point road favorite. App State is 2-2-1 against the spread (ATS) and 1-1 ATS at home. RB Nate Noel is the most lethal weapon for App State with 583 total yards and 3 TDs in 4 games.

Coastal Carolina lost to Georgia Southern 38-28 on Sept. 30 as a 6.5-point underdog. It is 1-1 ATS as an underdog and also 1-1 ATS on the road. Senior QB Grayson McCall has 1,302 passing yards and 6 TDs, but 6 interceptions as well.

Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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Coastal Carolina at Appalachian State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:54 a.m. ET,

  • Moneyline (ML): Coastal Carolina +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Appalachian State -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Coastal Carolina +6.5 (-115) | Appalachian State -6.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 61.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Coastal Carolina at Appalachian State picks and predictions

Prediction

App State 42, Coastal Carolina 24

Moneyline

PASS.

Coastal Carolina isn’t the dominant side it used to be, and it is 0-2 straight up on the road. App State is 2-0 at home this season. However, at -250, there’s no value on the home favorite.

Against the spread

LEAN APP STATE -6.5 (-105).

App State is 1-1 ATS at home, and that 1 non-cover performance was a 21-point win over Gardner Webb. The Mountaineers have an offense that’s difficult to stop, sitting 42nd in the nation in yards per play.

Coastal Carolina has struggled defensively the last 2 weeks, giving up 68 points and scoring just 45. It has failed to cover 2 straight weeks and is 0-2 ATS in games in which it is either favored or an underdog of a TD or less.

At home, the Mountaineers should be able to win with ease. Take APP STATE -6.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET OVER 61.5 (-105).

App State has been unstoppable at home and has a highly efficient offense. It has topped 40 in 3 of 5 games and has gone Over the projected total in 4 of 5. While Coastal Carolina is 1-4 O/U, it is 1-1 O/U in games with a total of 62 or less.

McCall has thrown for 24 or more TDs and 3 or fewer INTs in his last 3 straight years. He will improve in the turnover department and should be able to sustain drives enough to score on an App State defense that has been questionable at times.

Back the OVER 61.5 (-105).

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Appalachian State at North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Appalachian State at North Carolina odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Appalachian State Mountaineers (1-0) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (1-0) meet Saturday at Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:15 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Appalachian State vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

App State opened its season with a 45-25 victory over the Bulldogs of Gardner-Webb from nearby Boiling Springs, N.C. The Mountaineers were unable to cover the 23-point number against the FCS foe as the Over (51) cashed rather easily. App State gained 394 total yards to 365 for GW, but the big difference was a plus-3 turnover margin.

UNC opened the season with a resounding 31-17 win over border rival South Carolina at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte last Saturday. QB Drake Maye tossed a pair of TDs, and the Heels got after it on D with 9 sacks. That helped mask a concern, as Carolina was minus-2 in turnover margin.

North Carolina is No. 16 in the USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll.

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Appalachian State at North Carolina odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thurday at 7:53 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Appalachian State +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | North Carolina -1100 (bet $1100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Appalachian State +19.5 (-115) | North Carolina -19.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 58 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Appalachian State at North Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 45, Appalachian State 30

Moneyline

North Carolina (-1100) will cost you 11 times your potential return, and that’s quite a bit to risk on a singular wager. Even as part of a multi-team parlay, including UNC straight up is not a wise play, and sucks all of the value out of your ticket. Over the long term, betting such heavy favorites is not a good betting strategy.

AVOID.

Against the spread

APPALACHIAN STATE +19.5 (-115) is worth a look. Remember, these teams played an epic 63-61 game in Boone last season, with the Mountaineers giving the Tar Heels all they could handle. Will we see anything close to that? It’s doubtful, but this is a big game for Yosef Nation and the App State fans, and the Mountaineers should be able to keep it within 2 TDs.

Over/Under

OVER 58 (-110) might be the best play on the board in this battle.

Again, we had 124 total points in last season’s matchup, with both sides eclipsing this total on their own. We aren’t going to see that again. But these teams suddenly didn’t become Iowa or San Diego State, i.e. teams which have lockdown defenses. We’ll see our share of points at Kenan on Saturday, just not a video game like at Kidd Brewer Stadium last season.

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Appalachian State at Coastal Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Appalachian State at Coastal Carolina odds and lines, with college football expert picks and predictions.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (5-3, 2-2 Sun Belt) and Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (7-1, 4-1) tangle in a Sun Belt game on Thursday night. Kickoff at Brooks Stadium is slated for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Appalachian State took down FCS foe Robert Morris (Ill.) 42-3 on Saturday and has won 3 of its last 4 games. ASU allowed just 20 combined points over those 3 victories. For the season, the Mountaineers rank 18th in the nation in total defense (310.3 yards per game).

The Chanticleers won as a 2.5-point underdog at Marshall 24-13 on Saturday. For Coastal Carolina, the win was a bounce-back after the team’s lone setback of the season, a 49-21 loss to Old Dominion Oct. 15. CCU is 29-4 over the last 3 years; over that stretch the Chanticleers are 16-2 on home turf.

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Appalachian State at Coastal Carolina odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:42 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Appalachian State -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Coastal Carolina +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Appalachian State -3 (-110) | Coastal Carolina +3 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 64 (O: -112 | U: -112)

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Appalachian State at Coastal Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

Coastal Carolina 35, Appalachian State 34

Moneyline

Appalachian State has played a tougher schedule than Coastal Carolina, but in an odd fashion. ASU played current No. 15 North Carolina and Texas A&M early.  In October, the Mountaineers played 2 FCS programs, lost at Texas State (as 19-point favorites Oct. 8) and defeated Georgia State (Oct. 19 after a bye week). In that game against GSU, Appalachian State benefited from a plus-3 in turnovers and had multiple short-field scoring drives.

Both ASU and CCU are solid in the red zone on offense, but figure the Chanticleers as being the better defense in forcing field-goal attempts.

This midweek night game spells the Mountaineers’ 2nd road games since Sept. 10, and things could be wonky early. A misfire seems plausible enough, and there is a sliver of value to COASTAL CAROLINA (+125).

Against the spread

Peg the ML play as the best side in this one. PASS.

Over/Under

Both teams are similar in many respects. For the purposes of pegging a wager, we can focus on their success in moving the ball. The Mountaineers have gained 459.6 yards per game (24th FBS), and the Chanticleers have pounded out 435.0 YPG (36th).

Appalachian State has a better defense on paper, but success-rate figures are not as kind to the ASU defense.

When playing in games with single-digit points spreads, both sides have trended toward scores eclipsing lined totals. And that’s the play for what is forecasted as a good-weather game Thursday night.

BACK THE OVER 64 (-112).

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Georgia State at Appalachian State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Georgia State at Appalachian State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Georgia State Panthers (2-4, 1-1 Sun Belt) visit Boone, N.C., to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (3-3, 1-2) Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Georgia State vs. Appalachian State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Coach Shawn Elliott and the Georgia State Panthers struggled out of the gate with an 0-4 start. But then they won at Army 31-14 Oct. 1 and defeated visiting Georgia Southern 41-33 Oct. 8 heading into last week’s bye. The Panthers hope this is the start of a successful second half of the season.

Appalachian State is 2-2 after shocking then-No. 6 Texas A&M 17-14 on the road Sept. 10. The Mountaineers followed that with a 32-28 thrilling victory over visiting Troy but then lost at home to James Madison 32-28 Sept. 24. As if it couldn’t get any worse, it did. The Mountaineers lost as 19-point favorites in the next game, falling at Texas State 36-24 Oct. 8 before having last week off.

Both Sun Belt teams need this game to get things right as they continue the conference portion of their seasons.

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Georgia State at Appalachian State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Georgia State +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Appalachian State -370 (bet $370 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Georgia State +9.5 (-107) | Appalachian State -9.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Georgia State at Appalachian State picks and predictions

Prediction

Appalachian State 45, Georgia State 37

Moneyline

NO WAGER.

While Appalachian State is 8-0 all time vs. Georgia State and should improve that mark to 9-0, the -370 juice is too high and not worth the risk.

Against the spread

GEORGIA STATE +9.5 (-107) is the play.

Appalachian State has played games in many fashions this season. Against North Carolina, it lost a high scoring thriller 63-61 in its opener. That game was followed up by the signature victory at Texas A&M.

Whether it be low scoring or a shootout, the Mountaineers have been playing games close. Another close game is on the horizon in this Sun Belt matchup. A spread of 10.5 is too many points.

TAKE GEORGIA STATE +9.5 (-107) … but keep in mind that Appalachian State is 6-2 ATS in this all-time series.

Over/Under

OVER 58.5 (-115) is my FAVORITE PLAY in this game.

Both teams can score. Georgia State is 3-3 O/U and Appalachian State is 4-2.

The Over has cashed tickets in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two. The one outlying game was a 17-13 win by App State in 2020.

Georgia State averages 29.8 points per game and yields 33.3 PPG.

Appalachian State scores 35.2 PPG and surrenders 28.8 PPG.

I expect OVER 58.5 (-110) to be an easy wager.

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Troy at Appalachian State odds, picks, and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Troy at Appalachian State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Troy Trojans (1-1) travel to Boone, N.C., to match up against the Sun Belt foe Appalachian State Mountaineers (1-1) Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET. (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Troy vs. Appalachian State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Troy comes in after beating FCS Alabama A&T 38-17 while Appalachian  State comes in after stunning then-No. 6 Texas A&M 20-17. One of these things is not like the other.

The key in this game will be the ability of the Mountaineers to avoid a letdown after such a huge win.

Coach Shawn Clark has this team in a groove to start the season. After scoring 40 points in the 4th quarter against North Carolina, the team went in the entirely other direction in Week 2.

Against the Aggies, the Mountaineers ran 80 plays compared to the 38 runs for Texas A&M. They were able to milk the clock and avoid letting the favored Aggies get any momentum.

Troy is a tough opponent with a good defense. But it is far from what Appalachian State has already faced this season. If a letdown does not occur, Troy will be in a bit of trouble.

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Troy at Appalachian State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 1:44 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Troy +380 (bet $100 to win $380) | Appalachian State -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Troy +12.5 (-110) | Appalachian State -12.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Troy at Appalachian State picks and predictions

Prediction

Appalachian State 27, Troy 20

Money line

PASS. The line is too high in this game to make a wager.

Against the spread

TROY +12.5 (-110).

App State is coming off a physical game against SEC opponent Texas A&M. The Mountaineers ran 80 plays and had the ball for over 40 minutes of game time. They are beat up.

In this game, they will want to continue running the ball. Which is their biggest talent. Troy on the other hand comes into this game with 1 of the best defenses in the Sun Belt.

Both teams will look to win their 1st conference game of the season. Expect a hard fought, low-scoring game. Which is why I favor the underdog in this game. TROY +12.5 (-110) is my FAVORITE PLAY in this contest.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 52.5 (-112).

App St. has scored 61 points in a game. It has also scored 17. This team is a mirror of its opponents. Troy wants to have this a low-scoring game and App State can oblige. Although it could surprise and go Over, I see UNDER 52.5 (-112) as a safer play.

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Appalachian State at Texas A&M odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Appalachian State at Texas A&M odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (0-1) and Texas A&M Aggies (1-0) meet Saturday at Kyle Field in College Station. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Appalachian State at Texas A&M odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Mountaineers were involved in one of the crazier games you’re going to see. Appalachian State and visiting North Carolina went up and down the field in a wild App State 63-61 loss in which UNC outscored the host 40-22 in the 4th quarter. The Mountaineers had a chance to tie it late on a 2-point conversion, but just came up short.

The good news is that the Mountaineers ran for 288 yards while passing for 361 yards. The bad news is App State’s D allowed 215 yards on the ground with 352 yards through the air.

The Aggies defense was a little more effective last week, pitching a shutout in a 31-0 win over FCS Sam Houston State, one of the top programs at the subdivision level. A&M was good for 387 passing yards, and you can expect QB Haynes King and the Aggies to come out looking to strike early.

Texas A&M is No. 6 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Appalachian State at Texas A&M odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:23 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Appalachian State +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Texas A&M -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Appalachian State +17.5 (-105) | Texas A&M -17.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Appalachian State at Texas A&M picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas A&M 48, Appalachian State 17

Money line

Texas A&M (-900) will cost 9 times your potential return, or $100 for every $11.11 won. There is just no value in making those kind of bets, especially over the long term.

AVOID.

Against the spread

TEXAS A&M -17.5 (-105) is a much better play laying the points. Sure, Appalachian State proved last week that it had a powerful offense, but that was also against a subpar North Carolina defense.

As mentioned, A&M pitched a shutout last week against a top-tier FCS team. The Mountaineers will be able to score here, but their defense proved they cannot stop anybody, either.

Look for A&M to amass plenty of points here and grab its first cover of the season after a near-miss last week.

Over/Under

OVER 53.5 (-112) appears to be a rather low number considering Appalachian State was involved in a game last week with 124 combined points. Obviously, that isn’t going to happen on a regular basis. However, A&M does have a balanced offense capable of exploiting App State’s weaknesses for plenty of big plays, especially in front of a raucous 12th man crowd.

Appalachian State won’t be nearly as effective on offense against Texas A&M, but the defense needs to show a vast improvement before it’s time to consider Under bets in Mountaineer games again.

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Boca Raton Bowl: Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Appalachian State Mountaineers Boca Raton Bowl odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-5) take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-3) Saturday in the RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl at FAU Stadium. Kickoff in South Florida is scheduled for 11 a.m. ET. Below, we look at the Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Hilltoppers were insane on offense, going for 41 or more points in each of the past six games, including a 49-41 loss to No. 25 UTSA in the Conference USA title game. WKU enters 5-1 ATS across its past six games.

App State came up short in the Sun Belt title game, losing 24-16 at No. 17 Louisiana. They Mountaineers are 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS in their previous seven games. They’re a solid defensive squad, allowing just 10.3 points per game across the final four games.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:38 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Western Kentucky +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Appalachian State -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Western Kentucky +2.5 (-105) | Appalachian State -2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 66.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Western Kentucky vs. Appalachian State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Western Kentucky 45, Appalachian State 40

Money line

WESTERN KENTUCKY (+115) is a value play in this bowl game at plus-money.

The key matchup will be Appalachian State’s passing defense against Western Kentucky’s air attack, which ranks first in the country with 434.6 yards per game

The Hilltoppers, led by QB Bailey Zappe (69.2 comp%, 5,545 yards, 56 TD), can score with the best of them. The Mountaineers are going to be under a full blitzkrieg the entire afternoon. WKU has two receivers with at least 1,299 receiving yards and at least 12 touchdowns in Jerreth Sterns and Mitchell Tinsley.

Appalachian State was a solid defensive unit this season, ranking in the top 20 in nearly every category. It allowed 206.6 passing yards per game to rank 31st in the nation.

Against the spread

WESTERN KENTUCKY +2.5 (-105) is a little less attractive at this price. If you like the Hilltoppers, just take them straight up for plus-money. The chances of a 1- or 2-point win by App State, and a WKU cover, are slight.

Over/Under

The OVER 66.5 (-112) is the play. App State will want to force its will on WKU, and will try to slow the ‘Toppers down. But nobody has been able to do that this season.

Western Kentucky scored 43.1 PPG to rank second in the nation, while allowing 28.7 PPG. The Hilltoppers even put up 31 apiece in a pair of losses at Michigan State and Indiana earlier in the season.

Play the OVER and enjoy.

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