The No. 5 Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1, 2-1 SEC) travel to meet the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-2, 1-1) Saturday at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Miss. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Alabama vs. Mississippi State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
The Crimson Tide lost an epic game at Texas A&M by a 41-38 count, failing outright as 18.5-point favorites. Alabama had won 100 straight against unranked teams, while head coach Nick Saban had won 24 in a row against former assistant coaches.
The Bulldogs are coming off a bye week following a 26-22 win at Texas A&M Oct. 2. That win snapped a two-game losing streak, although those losses were by a total of just five points. Four of Mississippi State’s outings have been one-score games.
Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Alabama at Mississippi State odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:06 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Alabama -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Mississippi State +520 (bet $100 to win $520)
- Against the spread (ATS): Alabama -17.5 (-108) | Mississippi State +17.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Alabama at Mississippi State odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 38, Mississippi State 17
Money line
Alabama (-800) will cost you eight times your potential return. While it’s a near certainty the Tide will win, as they just don’t lose consecutive games, there’s no value in a -800 wager.
AVOID and look to the spread instead.
Against the spread
ALABAMA -17.5 (-108) is going to take out its frustration against Mississippi State after a disappointing loss in College Station.
Yes, the Bulldogs have had two weeks to prepare for the Tide, but they could have two months and it wouldn’t matter. Alabama is mad, and a mad Tide team is super dangerous.
Alabama is still 8-3 ATS across the past 11 SEC games despite its loss last week. The Tide are also 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.
Bettors, enjoy the ride.
Over/Under
UNDER 58.5 (-112) is the lean here based on the series trends, which are rather overwhelming. The Under is 16-4-1 in the past 21 meetings in this series, including 9-1 in the past 10 meetings in Stark Vegas.
The Under is also 5-0 in the past five games for Bama following a straight-up loss. For Mississippi State, the Under is 7-1 in the past eight following a bye, while going 11-3 in the past 14 at home.
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