March Madness second-round, can’t-miss parlay: Bank on this Saturday 3-teamer

Analyzing NCAA Tournament betting odds for Saturday’s second round, with predictions and picks for the best parlay bet to make.

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The first round has commenced, and the second round of the NCAA Tournament, the Round of 32, is upon us.

After looking at the Tipico Sportsbook’s NCAA Tournament odds and lines, here is a Saturday can’t-miss, second-round parlay among our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Saturday’s slate of games is based on who played Thursday, which gave us notable upsets like 13-seed Furman over 4th-seeded Virginia and No. 15 seed Princeton over 2nd-seeded Arizona, the No. 8 team in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

So, let’s dive into a parlay to bank on for this highly anticipated slate of games.

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NCAA Tournament second-round parlay

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:47 a.m. ET. All game times ET; ML = moneyline.

Leg  1: MISSOURI -6.5 (-110) vs. Princeton – 6:10 p.m.

Princeton beat Arizona because the Wildcats just couldn’t shoot from deep. They were just 3-for-16 from downtown and 4-for-7 from the free-throw line.

Princeton is outside the top 100 in Kenpom’s defensive rating, and the Tigers rank 9th in adjusted offense. Missouri should be able to abuse those defensive weaknesses better than Arizona did.

Missouri’s weakness is defense, but Princeton shot just 4-for-25 from deep and had just 5 free-throw attempts against Arizona. Missouri should be able to dominate offensively and cover here.

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Leg 2: Auburn vs. Houston UNDER 131.5 (-110) — 7:10 p.m.

Houston has gone Under in 4 of its past 5 games, and it has held opponents to 52 points or fewer in 3 of its last 4 those 4. The Cougars offense hasn’t been playing at an elite level since the end of the regular season either as they have yet to top 70 points in any of the 4 postseason games.

Houston’s defense ranks 2nd in points allowed (56.4 PPG). Auburn, on the other hand, is 5-4 O/U in its last 9 games. The Tigers played Tennessee twice — the Vols defense ranks 3rd, right behind the Cougars, by allowing 57.9 PPG. Against the Vols, the Tigers averaged 61.0 points per game.

Put it all together, and UNDER 131.5 (-112) should work perfectly as the 2nd leg of this parlay.

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Leg 3: ALABAMA -8.5 (-110) vs. Maryland — 9:40 p.m.

Alabama is the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Crimson Tide rank top 20 in offensive and defensive rating per Kenpom. Alabama has covered 3 consecutive games when favored by a single-digit spread. The Tide are the better side here and should comfortably cover.

Maryland ranks outside the top 25 in both offensive and defensive ratings. The Terrapins and showed many flaws in their first-round win against West Virginia with early-game turnovers.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $59.58 (ticket pays $69.58).

Try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator.

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March Madness: Alabama vs. Maryland odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Maryland Terrapins odds and lines, with March Madness Round 2 picks and predictions.

The Alabama Crimson Tide (25-6) take on the Maryland Terrapins (17-13) in an East Region second-round game Monday night. The second-seeded Crimson Tide and 10th-seeded Terrapins will tip off at 8:45 p.m. ET at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Below, we analyze the Alabama-Maryland odds and lines, with March Madness NCAA Tournament picks and predictions.

Alabama followed up its SEC tourney title with a 68-55 NCAA first-round triumph over Iona. The Crimson Tide have won seven straight and have outscored opponents by 11.9 points per game over that stretch. UA launches a ton of 3’s (29.9 per game to rank fourth nationally), but was just 5-for-16 (31.3%) Saturday. In eight neutral-site games this season, the Tide shot a mere 31.5%.

Maryland, which was under .500 in Big Ten play at 9-11, defeated Connecticut 63-54 in a convincing for a first-round victory Saturday. The Terrapins outshot the Huskies 51.2% to 32.3%. Maryland ended the regular season with disappointing losses to Northwestern and Penn State. Save for below-average metrics in offensive rebounding and forcing turnovers, the Terps have posted solid overall numbers and are on a decent trend line.

Alabama vs. Maryland: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Alabama -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Maryland +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Alabama -5.5 (-110) | Maryland +5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 138 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Alabama vs. Maryland: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Alabama 71, Maryland 64

Money line (ML)

Both teams are loaded with young talent, but a senior-laden Alabama frontcourt figures to cause havoc on the offensive boards and get more inside looks in this match-up. The Tide’s tremendous perimeter defense is icing on the cake.

Take ALABAMA (-250).

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Against the spread (ATS)

The factors you’d want to see from a Maryland side are the ability to score single points (getting to the foul line), put-back points, or transition points. None of those figure as check marks on the Terps side of the ledger. Counting on triples against an Alabama defense, which has held foes to a 25.5% mark from beyond the arc since Feb. 1, is a fool’s errand.

Back the CRIMSON TIDE -5.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under is 6-1 in the Terps’ last seven, and it’s 4-1 in UA’s last five neutral-site games.

Alabama plays at a fast pace (although a much toned-down pace of late). Maryland plays at a slow pace. Both sides have significant Under trends when playing clash-of-style games.

Take the UNDER 138 (-110).

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More college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

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