The Air Force Falcons (2-2, 1-2 MWC) visit the Utah State Aggies (1-4, 1-4) Thursday for a 9:30 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we analyze the Air Force-Utah State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Air Force at Utah State: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Air Force -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Utah State +370 (bet $100 to win $370)
- Against the spread/ATS: Air Force -11.5 (-110) | Utah State +11.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)
Air Force at Utah State: Three things to know
- Air Force has had three scheduled games disrupted due to COVID-19 and has played just once since Oct. 31. The Falcons were able to play New Mexico Nov. 20, and they blanked the Lobos by a 28-0 count to cover an 8-point spread as the Under (55) connected.
- Speaking of UNM, Utah State got off the schneid with a 41-27 victory over the Lobos in Logan Thanksgiving night, winning outright as a 6-point underdog. The Aggies entered that game with a total of 45 points scored in their first four games, going 0-4 straight up and ATS.
- Air Force is a dismal 5-11 ATS in its past 16 games against losing teams, and 0-8 ATS in its past eight on the road against teams with a losing home mark. The Falcons have covered in four of their past five games against USU, and the favorite is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.
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Air Force at Utah State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Air Force 31, Utah State 16
Money line (ML)
Air Force (-500) is a little too expensive on the money line, as you cannot risk nearly four times your potential return on a road team. The Falcons should be able to get it done, but it’s also risky backing a triple-option team in the event they need to play from behind. PASS.
Against the spread (ATS)
AIR FORCE -11.5 (-110) is a good play in this one. Yes, Utah State +10.5 (-115) is coming off its best performance of the season, but they also played an awful New Mexico side which posted 27 points on them. Conversely, Air Force shut out the Lobos. The Aggies also rank 101st in the nation, allowing 202.8 rushing yards per game, and that’s a specialty for the Falcons. Air Force averages 336.5 rushing yards per contest, tops in the country.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 51.5 (-115) is the lean in this Mountain West battle. Utah State did score a season-high 41 points last week, but it averaged just 11.3 points per game over its first four, and the Aggies will likely be back to struggling against a strong defense. Air Force is allowing just 18.3 PPG, 106.8 rushing yards per game and 326.3 total yards per game, each top 18 or better in the country.
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