MWC Tournament: Air Force vs. UNLV odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Air Force vs. UNLV odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 10th-seeded Air Force Falcons (14-17) and No. 7 UNLV Rebels (18-12) meet Wednesday in Mountain West Conference Tournament quarterfinal. Tip-off at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas is 4:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. UNLV odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Air Force arrives at the MWC Tournament having lost its last 3 games. The Falcons finished 5-13 and in 10th place in the regular-season and they have won just twice since Jan. 21.

UNLV defeated Air Force 54-53 on Feb. 24 as part of a 7-11 record in MWC play. A solid offense for much of the season, the Rebels have scuffled their way to a mere 37.5% mark from the field in their last 7 games.

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Air Force vs. UNLV odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +6.5 (-110) | UNLV -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Air Force vs. UNLV picks and predictions

Prediction

UNLV 70,  Air Force 63

Moneyline

Not available.

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Against the spread

UNLV will be susceptible to the Falcons’ distance game, but the Rebels defense should be able to create enough turnovers to frequently short-circuit the Air Force attack. The Rebels-by-a-touchdown is a fair line. PASS.

Over/Under

These 2 played a 107-point game Feb. 24, and the Under has hit in back-to-back series meetings.

Air Force plays at a snail’s pace. UNLV plays rabbit ball, but the Rebels’ tempo has been on the decline of late. The Under is 3-1 in their last 4.

UNLV just does not shoot the ball well enough to spiral the score like it spirals possessions.

TAKE THE UNDER 134.5 (-110).

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San Jose State at Air Force odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Jose State at Air Force odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Jose State Spartans (18-12, 9-8 MWC) battle the Air Force Falcons (14-16, 5-12) Saturday. Tip from Clune Arena is set for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the San Jose State vs. Air Force odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

San Jose State beat Air Force at home 82-52 Jan. 24, covering as a 4-point favorite. The Over 126 hit.

The Spartans are coming off a 63-46 win over Colorado State, covering as a 2.5-point favorite Feb. 28. They are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) over their last 6 and 19-10 ATS this season. They are 16-13 O/U as well.

Air force, on the other hand, is 18-12 ATS on the season and 17-13 O/U. The Falcons are coming off a 54-53 loss to UNLV, covering as an 8.5-point road underdog. They are 3-4 ATS over their last 7.

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San Jose State at Air Force odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): San Jose State +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Air Force -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Jose State +2.5 (-115) | Air Force -2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 128.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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San Jose State at Air Force picks and predictions

Prediction

San Jose State 67, Air Force 63

Moneyline

BET SAN JOSE STATE (+110).

Air Force just hasn’t been good enough at home to back here. The Falcons have lost 4 of their last 5 home games and are 2-3 ATS.

Air Force is also just 9-8 ATS in conference play while San Jose State is 1 of 5 programs with an above-.500 ATS record in conference play at 11-6. It has won 4 of its last 6 games and beat UNLV 75-66 on the road as a 6.5-point underdog Feb. 14.

The Spartans also crushed the Falcons on the boards in their first matchup, ending +13 in total rebounds. That size mixed with the Falcons’ struggles at home should highlight this game. Back SAN JOSE STATE (+110).

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Against the spread

PASS.

For the value, I would rather play San Jose State to win outright.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 128.5 (-115).

Air Force shot 4-for-22 from three the last time these teams met, and the Spartans put up 82 points while shooting 5-for-14 from deep. Neither team was on fire, and both teams shot fewer than 15 free throws. Chances are there are a few easier points, and the sides shoot better.

These teams are a combined 21-13 O/U in conference games this season. San Jose State has gone Over in 3 of its last 5 while Air Force has topped the total in 4 of its last 5. Back the OVER 128.5 (-115).

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Air Force at UNLV odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Air Force at UNLV odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Air Force Falcons (14-15, 5-11 MWC) go up against the UNLV Rebels (16-11, 5-10) on Friday at Thomas & Mack Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. UNLV odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Falcons lost as 2.5-point home favorites to Fresno State 74-69 on Tuesday. Air Force has won only 2 of its last 10 games.

The Rebels were defeated 73-69 by Boise State despite covering as 7.5-point road underdogs on Sunday. UNLV has gone 4-6 in its last 10 contests.

This is the only meeting this season between Air Force and UNLV. The home team has won each of the last 10 meetings.

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Air Force at UNLV odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:08 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Air Force +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | UNLV -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +8.5 (-110) | UNLV -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 136.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Air Force at UNLV picks and predictions

Prediction

UNLV 71, Air Force 64

Moneyline

AVOID.

Taking the moneyline in this game isn’t advised unless you believe Air Force can pull off the road upset.

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Against the spread

Even though the Falcons have struggled recently, AIR FORCE +8.5 (-110) is the pick here. The Falcons are 7-4 ATS on the road, which is the 2nd-best mark in the Mountain West conference.

The underdog is also 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings between these programs.

Over/Under

UNDER 136.5 (-105) is how I’d bet the total with how these teams have performed recently. These teams allow a combined 136.7 points per game and Air Force averages only 65.2 possessions per game (10th fewest in the nation).

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Fresno State at Air Force odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Fresno State at Air Force odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Fresno State Bulldogs (9-17, 5-10 MWC) and Air Force Falcons (14-14, 5-10) tussle in a Mountain West Conference tilt in Colorado Springs Tuesday. The contest at Clune Arena will tip off at 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Fresno State vs. Air Force odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Fresno State has endured some shooting woes in losing its last 3 games. The Bulldogs shot under 42% in all 3 contests; they have shot under 40% in 5 of their last 8 games.

The Falcons won 75-69 at Wyoming Thursday, earning just their 2nd victory since Jan. 21. Before embarking on a late-season skid, Air Force had won 3 straight games from Jan. 10-17. One of those victories was a 51-48 win over Fresno State on Jan. 14.

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Fresno State at Air Force odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Fresno State +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Air Force -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Fresno State +2.5 (-105) | Air Force -2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 124.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Fresno State at Air Force picks and predictions

Prediction

Air Force 57, Fresno State 55

Moneyline

The last 6 games of this series have produced 3 wins for each side. The teams are similar in pace, with FSU having the more efficient offense and USAFA having the more efficient defense.

Figure on a low-scoring, close game with the home court giving Air Force the edge, but that’s laid out in these prices. STEER CLEAR.

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Against the spread

Fresno State has been the more consistent team of late, but it would take a +3.5 or better mark to that make the Bulldogs actionable.

Over/Under

The last 2 meetings have produced 2 Unders by a combined 37 points.

Expect a turtle-crawl pace, with 2nd-chance and free-throw points rarely leading to quick runs on either side. BACK THE UNDER 124.5 (-110).

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Air Force at Wyoming odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Air Force at Wyoming odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Air Force Falcons (13-14, 4-10 Mountain West) will go up against the Wyoming Cowboys (8-17, 3-10) Friday at Arena Auditorium. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. Wyoming odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Falcons lost 80-65 to Utah State on Tuesday as 13-point road underdogs. Air Force has lost 7 of its last 10 games.

The Cowboys defeated New Mexico 70-56 on Tuesday to cover as 9-point road underdogs. Wyoming has also lost 7 of its last 10 games.

This will be the 2nd meeting between Air Force and Wyoming this season. The Falcons won 81-73 on Jan. 27 to cover as 4.5-point favorites while the 145.5 Over connected.

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Air Force at Wyoming odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Air Force +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Wyoming -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +4.5 (-105) | Wyoming -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Air Force at Wyoming picks and predictions

Prediction

Wyoming 67, Air Force 59

Moneyline

PASS.

This is unplayable, unless you’re confident in Air Force winning on the road.

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Against the spread

WYOMING -4.5 (-115) is the pick in this Mountain West battle the Cowboys playing at home. The Cowboys are coming off an impressive win over New Mexico and have been solid ATS recently.

Air Force is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record. Wyoming has covered the spread in 2 straight games and 3 of their last 5.

Over/Under

Being that both teams struggle to score points, UNDER 133.5 (-105) is the ideal way to bet the total in this matchup. Air Force has scored 60 or fewer points in 6 of its last 10 games.

The Falcons are 3-2 to the Under in their last 5 games overall and the Cowboys are 8-2 to the Under in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record.

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Air Force at Utah State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Air Force at Utah State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Air Force Falcons (13-13, 4-9 MWC) and Utah State Aggies (19-7, 8-5) clash Tuesday in Logan. Tip time at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum will be at 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. Utah State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Air Force upset New Mexico 89-77 as a 5.5-point underdog Friday. The victory snapped a 6-game losing skid, and the 89 points marked a season-high.

The Aggies covered as 7.5-point favorites in a 77-65 triumph at Air Force on Jan. 3. They have won 3 in a row and 6 of their last 7 against the spread vs. the Falcons. Utah State lost 69-64 at San Jose State Saturday and heads into this game looking to snap a 2-game skid.

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Air Force at Utah State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Air Force +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Utah State -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +12.5 (-105) | Utah State -12.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Air Force at Utah State picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah State 70, Air Force 58

Moneyline

Utah State (-900) is far too steep to warrant a wager. You should never risk 9 times your potential return on a standalone wager, and this is too steep to even add to a parlay.

PASS.

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Against the spread

Utah State is the clear favorite here, but Air Force’s pace (351st nationally) makes a 12.5-point spread tough to overcome. PASS.

Over/Under

The last 6 USAFA-USU games have gone live at lower totals. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Aggies’ last 5 overall.

The Falcons have the perimeter defense to keep the Aggies inside the arc perhaps more than they want to. USU has had some big shooting nights in the last 4 weeks or so. The Aggies are in fade territory in that category, and a lower total here is the play.

TAKE THE UNDER 137.5 (-105).

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New Mexico at Air Force odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New Mexico at Air Force odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Mexico Lobos (19-5, 6-5 MWC) and Air Force Falcons (12-13, 3-7) meet Friday in a Mountain West Conference battle in Colorado Springs. Tip-off at Clune Arena is at 9 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the New Mexico vs. Air Force odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

New Mexico lost just twice between Nov. 7-Jan. 20 but has since dropped 3 of its last 4 games. The lone win in that recent stretch came against these Falcons: NMU downed Air Force 81-73 on Jan. 27, failing to cover as a 13.5-point favorite as the Over (142.5) connected.

That Jan. 27 loss to NMU marked the Falcons’ 3rd in a row but that skid has extended to 6 games. Air Force has yielded a 49.4% mark from the field alongside 72.2 points per game over that 6-game span.

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New Mexico at Air Force odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Off the board (OTB)
  • Against the spread (ATS): New Mexico -5.5 (-115) | Air Force +5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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New Mexico at Air Force picks and predictions

Prediction

New Mexico 73, Air Force 67

Moneyline

The moneyline was OTB at the time of publication. Focus on the total in this game instead.

PASS.

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Against the spread

The Lobos are better at both ends of the floor. Recent comps for each side spell out a fair number here. PASS.

Over/Under

The Under is 4-1 in the Lobos’ last 5 games against under-.500 teams.

Air Force plays at a turtle-crawl tempo while New Mexico plays much faster pace. However, the Lobos have a top-30 tempo overall but have notably slowed of late.

Don’t expect a lot of transition ball or an abundance of 2nd-chance looks. Air Force will add things up with some extra 3s, and NMU will add some extra free throws, but both teams are strong in defending the perimeter.

The Falcons have also played a slate heavy with good offensive teams, so you can figure their defense as being better than what shows on paper.

BACK THE UNDER 142.5 (-105).

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Colorado State at Air Force odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Colorado State at Air Force odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado State Rams (10-14, 2-9 Mountain West) visit the Air Force Falcons (12-12, 3-8) on Tuesday. Tip from Clune Arena is set for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Colorado State vs. Air Force odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Colorado State fell to Utah State 88-79 on Saturday, failing to cover as 4.5-point home underdogs. The Rams are 0-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games to fall to 7-16 ATS this season.

Air Force was destroyed 72-52 on the road against Nevada on Friday and not close to covering as 11-point underdogs. The Falcons have dropped 5-straight games and are 2-3 ATS in that span. On the season, they have been moneymakers with a 15-9 ATS record.

Air Force was a 9.5-point road underdog when it beat Colorado State 85-74 in overtime on Jan. 10 while the 132.5 Over cashed.

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Colorado State at Air Force odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): Colorado State +1.5 (-120) | Air Force -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Colorado State at Air Force picks and predictions

Prediction

Air Force 75, Colorado State 71

Moneyline

Not available.

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Against the spread

BET AIR FORCE -1.5 (+100).

This season, the Rams have struggled on the road with a 2-6 away record while the Falcons post a 9-6 home record.

The Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss and only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.

The Falcons are 6-0 in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record and are 2-0 ATS in their last 2 home games.

Over/Under

BET OVER 133.5 (-110).

The Over is 4-0 in the Falcons’ last 4 games following a ATS loss, 5-0 in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record, and 13-11 on the season.

Colorado State’s O/U record is 15-7-1 this season including 9-1 in its last 10 games overall. The Over is also 4-0 in its last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record and 9-1-1 in its last 11 games following a straight-up loss.

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Air Force at Nevada odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Air Force at Nevada odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Air Force Falcons (12-11, 3-7 MWC) and Nevada Wolf Pack (17-6, 7-3) meet Friday in Reno. The Mountain West Conference game at the Lawlor Events Center tips off at 11 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. Nevada odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Air Force is a middle-of-the-pack team in many statistical respects, but the Falcons have struggled in 2 specific areas while losing their last 4 games, going 2-2 against the spread (ATS). USAFA was out-rebounded in all 4 of those games, and they shot just 25.5% from 3-point range.

Nevada — winner of a 75-69 game as a 3.5-point favorite at Air Force Dec. 31 — is coming off an impressive Tuesday win over then-MWC leader San Diego State. The +2.5-underdog Wolf Pack defeated SDSU 75-66. The triumph kept alive a home-floor win streak: UN is 10-0 in Reno this season.

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Air Force at Nevada odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Air Force +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Nevada -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +11.5 (-115) | Nevada -11.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Air Force at Nevada picks and predictions

Prediction

Nevada 70, Air Force 61

Moneyline

PASS.

Nevada should win, but is simply unplayable at this line.

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Against the spread

Air Force has been solid ATS in recent underdog games of similar magnitude. The Falcons launch a lot of 3s. Against this average-on-the-perimeter Nevada defense, look for a rebound after recent missteps from beyond the arc

For the Wolf Pack, this game is sandwiched between a couple likely getting much more of its attention.

TAKE AIR FORCE +11.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Peg this match-up to be slow of pace and not ripe for a lot of 2nd-chance or turnover/transition points. A line watch is in order: if the total gets to 133.5 (which it is at now), you can consider a partial-unit play on the Under. Otherwise, PASS.

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Boise State at Air Force odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boise State at Air Force odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boise State Broncos (17-5, 7-2 Mountain West) battle the Air Force Falcons (12-10, 3-6) on Tuesday. Tip from Clune Arena is set for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Boise State vs. Air Force odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Boise State easily handled Colorado State 80-59 on Saturday, covering as 8-point home favorites. Boise State has been hot against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 6-1 ATS record in its last 7 to improve to 14-6-1 ATS this season. The Broncos defense has been their anchor this season, ranking 15th in the nation for points allowed per game (61.1) and ranking 8th in opponent 3-point FG percentage (28.1%).

Air Force fell to New Mexico 81-73 on Friday, but covered as 13-point road underdogs. It is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games and 6-4 ATS in its last 10 to improve to 14-8 ATS on the season. The Falcons have struggled to score the ball this season, averaging 68.3 points per game (261st).

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Boise State at Air Force odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Boise State -370 (bet $370 to win $100) | Air Force +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Boise State -7.5 (-115) | Air Force +7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 130.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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In Colorado and New Jersey, claim your 100% Deposit Match up to $250 now. Bet now! 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions.

Boise State at Air Force picks and predictions

Prediction

Boise State 71, Air Force 69

Moneyline

PASS.

Boise State -370 odds present no value, especially when they have played much worse on the road this season (3-3) compared to playing on their home court (10-1).

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Against the spread

BET AIR FORCE +7.5 (-105).

The Falcons have a strong defense that has held opponents to 66 points per game (80th) and only 28.5% from 3-point range (13th). Riding the momentum of their home crowd, expect the Falcons to be able to stay in this game until the end.

The Falcons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.

Over/Under

BET OVER 130.5 (-110).

The Over is 6-0 in the Broncos’ last 6 games following a straight-up win, 4-0 in their last 4 road games and 8-1 in their last 9 games overall.

For the Falcons, the Over is 7-1 in their last 8 home games, 7-0 in their last 7 games following a straight-up loss, and 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games.

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Want action on this basketball game or any other sports contest? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in OH, CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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