The Air Force Falcons (9-3) will be in Fort Worth, Texas, to take on the Baylor Bears (6-6) Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
After winning the Big 12 conference in 2021, Baylor was looking to improve upon this and stake a claim atop the newly formed Big 12 conference in coming years. Instead, the Bears faltered to a 6-6 record under coach Dave Aranda and the team will look to use this game as a steppingstone for 2023.
Air Force won the Commander-in-Chief trophy with victories over Army and Navy and will look to finish a solid season with a victory over a Power 5 team. While this game may be disappointing for Baylor, it is a privilege for Air Force and motivation in bowl games is a major factor for who will win.
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Air Force vs. Baylor odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Air Force +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Baylor -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +3.5 (-109) | Baylor -3.5 (-111)
- Over/Under (O/U): 43 (O: -111 | U: -109)
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Air Force vs. Baylor picks and predictions
Prediction
Baylor 27, Air Force 20
Moneyline
PASS.
The -170 on Baylor is not too much, but it is still just a bit too high to make a play on. The Bears are talented and coach Aranda will have them focused against the Falcons. I like them to win. But I would rather take them on the spread.
Against the spread
BET BAYLOR -3.5 (-111).
Air Force will do nothing but run the ball and Baylor will be ale to stop them enough to cover this 3.5 spread. Baylor will pass the ball and take advantage of the Falcons smaller secondary. Give me the Bears -3.5 (-111) as my favorite play.
Over/Under
BET OVER 43 (-111).
Despite being the most run heavy team in the nation, the Falcons can still score. They may not get to 40 like it did against Colorado, but Air Force will get to 20 and this will be plenty of points to get this game over the small number of 43. Baylor could get this game Over by itself if it wanted. I do not think it will, but with this potential, I must take the Over 43 (-111).
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