American Athletic Conference championship: Players to know, predictions and more

Here’s what to know about Friday’s AAC title game.

College football fans were so close to a world where both the Mountain West championship game and AAC championship had playoff implications.

Then Tulane lost to unranked Memphis at home in Rivalry Week and killed that dream for good. The Green Wave still get to play for a conference title, but now they’ll do so on the road in West Point against a dynamic Army team. The Black Knights, meanwhile, arguably play a more important game next week in the annual Army-Navy contest.

Tune in to see two strong offenses battle each other in the cold as Army seeks to stop Tulane from winning its second AAC title in three years while winning the Black Knights’ first ever conference championship.

Players To Watch

Army: Bryson Daily, QB

Army and Navy spent the majority of the season running all over the American with variations of the triple-option, led by a pair of awesome quarterbacks. The man under-center for the Black Knights in Daily, who leads the conference in rushing yards (1,354) and rushing touchdowns (25). He can throw it a bit when asked, totaling eight passing touchdowns to just one interception this season, but Daily is more in the mold of your traditional option quarterback – which is to say that he’s damn good at running the ball.

Tulane: Darian Mensah, QB

Mensah leads a Green Wave offense that is sixth in the nation in scoring with 39.1 points per game. The 6-foot-3 redshirt freshman leads the American and is third in FBS in passing yards per attempt with a mark of 9.6, and he also leads the AAC in completion percentage with 65.6. The last time Tulane played a Service Academy, Mensah lit up Navy for two passing touchdowns and a rushing score.

Staff Picks

Opening Line: Tulane -4

Blake Schuster: Army +4.5

Army isn’t getting into the playoff whether it wins or loses this game, and the troops are probably more worried about the Navy game next week. But the home field makes a big difference when a team from the south has to go way north.

Mitchell Northam: Tulane -4.5

Y’all remember how Notre Dame’s games against Army and Navy went pretty similarly? I think we’ll see the same against the Green Wave.

Christian D’Andrea: Army +4.5

TROOPS.

Michelle Martinelli: Army +4.5

I think Tulane will win, if for no other reason than to make up for the Memphis loss. But Army is tricky and should force this one to come down to the end.

Tyler Nettuno: Tulane -4.5

The Memphis game took a lot of wind out of the sails, but this is still a Green Wave team I like a lot. Army has only faced one test tougher than this all year, and we all saw how that went.

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What’s at stake for the College Football Playoff in the AAC championship game

How will the AAC title game impact the College Football Playoff?

No. 24 Army will face off against Tulane on Friday night in the AAC championship at West Point’s Michie Stadium.

The Black Knights have had a tremendous season, as have the Green Wave. However, neither of these teams will have much of an impact for the College Football Playoff’s final bracket.

College Football Playoff: The new 12-team format, rankings and seeding, explained

With how the latest CFP rankings went, Army has very little chance of making the final 12-team field after coming in at 24. A loss to Tulane would make that even more unlikely than it already was.

The stakes will be an ACC title, which is nothing to be ashamed of for either team. Both of these programs will go bowling, and Army winning on Saturday should ensure it lands a good postseason contest.

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South Florida to the Pac-12? It sounds crazy, but it might work

South Florida in the Pac-12? It sounds crazy, but there’s a lot of reasons it could work great for both sides.

The Pac-12 is working on rebuilding after 10 of the 12 member institutions bolted to greener pastures in the Big Ten, Big 12, and ACC, leaving just Oregon State and Washington State behind. Those two programs are now joined by four former Mountain West schools, Boise State, San Diego State, Colorado State, and Fresno State, starting in 2026.

The Pac-12 still needs at least two more schools to be FBS eligible, and recent rumors indicate the conference is zeroing in on Memphis and Tulane out of the American as its top targets. The conference may consider adding more than just two teams from the AAC, and one target that should be on the radar is the South Florida Bulls.

Yes, South Florida is pretty darn far from Corvallis, and Pullman, and San Diego, and Boise, and you get the idea, but that sure doesn’t seem to be an insurmountable hurdle in the modern era.

The Atlantic Coast Conference is no longer comprised solely of teams located on or even near the Atlantic Coast, the Big 12 is actually the Big 18, and the Big Ten is also the Big 18 – so why can’t the Pac-12 have members from coast to coast?

The Pros

South Florida is opening a new on-campus football arena in 2027, giving the program its own home after sharing Raymond James Stadium with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The new arena will bring added excitement to the football program, and timing it one year after a potential move to a power conference would work out nicely for both South Florida and the Pac-12.

Media market impact is a critical piece of any team’s membership candidacy, and USF being located in Tampa is a huge selling point for the program. Tampa is the 13th largest media market in America, making it a larger TV hotspot than Memphis, San Antonio, or New Orleans – the media markets for three of the Pac-12’s primary targets: Memphis, UTSA, and Tulane.

Additionally, South Florida is a huge school with around 40,000 students on campus in Tampa and an alumni base of nearly 400,000. USF is a sleeping giant, with a huge media market waiting to be tapped into, an engaged student body, and now a state-of-the-art football facility set to open in less than three years. The time to strike is now – this team won’t be sitting at the non power level for much longer.

The Cons

Simply put, USF hasn’t demonstrated consistent success in the two crucial revenue generating sports: football and men’s basketball. The team is 2-1 this year under coach Alex Golesh, with the only loss coming to Alabama.

The Bulls did go 7-6 and won the Boca Raton Bowl in 2023, put prior to that they endured a nightmare three year tenure under coach Jeff Scott – going 4-29 and a pitiful 1-22 in AAC play.

Over 11 seasons in the American, South Florida won eight or more games three times…and two or less games four times. It’s been an inconsistent ride for USF football, and while a new stadium and a move to the Pac-12 likely helps the program afford more talent, there’s still a risk here.

Men’s basketball is a similar story. The program’s decision to hire Amir Abdur-Rahim paid off wonderfully in year one when he led the Bulls to a spectacular 25-8 season, including 16-2 in conference play, although they failed to make the NCAA Tournament despite spending one week ranked No. 24 in the AP Poll.

Prior to Abdur-Rahim’s arrival, however, the Bulls had never posted a winning record in the AAC. You have to go back to 2011-12, when USF was in the Big East, to find a winning record in league play. That year was also the last time South Florida made the NCAA Tournament, as a 12 seed.

The inconsistent performances in football and men’s basketball are not the biggest hurdle for South Florida though – that would be simple geography.

If the Pac-12 does snag Memphis and Tulane, South Florida becomes a more palatable addition. Even still, would the conference want another team to come along with them to provide another east coast footprint? Teams like Florida Atlantic, UAB, Charlotte, and East Carolina could be targets if the conference wants to create a “Pac-12 East” division, but adding South Florida and stranding them on an island seems like a challenge the conference may not want to deal with.

Verdict

South Florida is a sleeping giant. A new football facility in 2027, a massive student and alumni population, and new coaches who have already succeeded in turning around the football and men’s basketball programs have this school on the rise, and if the Pac-12 doesn’t make a move it’s likely someone else (ACC or Big 12) will.

Of course, Tampa is very very far away from every other school currently in the Pac-12, and even with the possible additions of Memphis and Tulane it’s a tough ask to be flying all the way there in all sports.

That could be rectified if the Pac-12 added more programs from the area, although that itself comes with challenges which ultimately makes this a high risk, high reward addition the Pac-12 should consider.

Why Tulane should be among top targets for Pac-12 expansion

Tulane would give the Pac-12 a footprint in New Orleans and serves as an obvious travel partner with Memphis.

The Pac-12 conference went from two programs to six last week with the announcement that Boise State, San Diego State, Fresno State, and Colorado State are leaving the Mountain West to join Oregon State and Washington State starting in 2026.

That puts the Pac-12 75% of the way to forming an FBS conference, where a minimum of eight is needed. Rumors have been swirling since the moment the announcement was made, including discussion on whether Cal and Stanford could come back after joining the ACC, if the Pac-12 would consider non-football schools like Gonzaga, and if there are other Mountain West schools – namely UNLV – that could be targeted next.

Perhaps the most notable programs discussed for continued Pac-12 expansion come from the American conference, with both Memphis and Tulane cited as targets for the Pac-12 by longtime beat reporter John Canzano.

Memphis was one of the first programs we analyzed as a candidate for the new look Pac-12, and today we take a look at the Tulane Green Wave – who make a logical travel partner with Memphis if paired together.

The Pros

Big Willie Fritz put this program on the map with a stellar run as head coach from 2015-2023, with Tulane going 54-47 in that stretch and 3-1 in bowl games, including a Cotton Bowl victory after an outstanding 2022 season.

Tulane struggled when they initially got into the American conference, but went 15-1 combined in 2022 and 2023. New coach Jon Sumrall has big shoes to fill to keep this program among the top shelf teams in the conference, but if he’s able to do so the Green Wave will remain one of the top Group of Five teams in the country – and an ideal pickup for the Pac-12.

Tulane is also located in the heart of New Orleans, the 50th largest media market in the country and a city filled with passionate football fans thanks to the success of the Saints at the NFL level.

Adding a footprint in that kind of media market is a big win for the Pac-12, and pairing them with Memphis makes sense for both programs as well.

The Cons

Tulane has a smaller student population than the schools currently in the Pac-12, as well as other programs being targeted, with a student body of roughly 14,500 – about half the enrollment at Colorado State and Fresno State and well below enrollment numbers at UTSA and Memphis.

Plus, as previously mentioned, Tulane’s football success is relatively recent. The Green Wave appeared in just two bowl games between 1999 and 2018, a Hawaii Bowl victory in 2002 in an 8-5 season and a loss in the New Orleans Bowl in 2013 coming off a 7-6 year. It’s too early to know if coach Sumrall is going to build on the momentum started by Fritz or not, and for the Pac-12 adding this program and hoping they don’t backslide is a bit of a risk.

Additionally, Tulane adds very little to the other revenue generating sport – men’s basketball. The Green Wave have not made the NCAA Tournament since 1995, and they are the 162nd ranked program in college basketball dating back to 1997 when Ken Pomeroy’s data begins.

Tulane went 5-13 in conference play last year, finishing 136th at KenPom, although they did win 20 games the previous season. Still, this is not a team that would move the needle in men’s basketball – which could give conference leadership some pause.

The league already added a marquee basketball brand in San Diego State, and if they are considering bringing in Memphis or even non-football schools like Gonzaga or St. Mary’s, a school like Tulane would be an outlier.

Verdict

New Orleans is an appealing media market for the Pac-12, and Tulane makes an obvious travel partner with Memphis. However, the program’s lack of long term success on the gridiron, and complete inability to compete in basketball, could make Tulane a risky addition for the conference.

Plus, while New Orleans is a nice market, getting a footprint in Texas should be the Pac-12’s top priority – which could make someone like UTSA or even Rice a more appealing option.

Mountain West could lose another program as conference realignment floodgates open

The Mountain West already lost four programs to the Pac-12, and now rumors are flying that Air Force could join Army and Navy in the American.

Anyone who was following conference realignment last summer knows that once the first domino falls, it doesn’t take long for things to start spiraling.

It appears that could be the case for the Mountain West, who already saw four huge programs depart for the new-look Pac-12 last week.

Losing Boise State, San Diego State, Fresno State, and Colorado State and going from 11 schools to seven was a devastating blow for one of the most well-known non-power conferences in college athletics, but it wasn’t a knockout punch.

However, the recent rumor that talks between the American Athletic Conference and Air Force are heating up is a frightening sign for the league, which has been around since 1999.

Air Force has been in discussion with the AAC since before the Mountain West was gutted, and certainly it’s easy to see the appeal as a service academy to join a league that already features Army and Navy.

The Falcons have been Mountain West members since its inception, posting an impressive 131-84 record since Troy Calhoun took over as head coach in 2007.

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If the Mountain West does lose Air Force to the AAC, it drops them to just six programs and creates an urgent situation for commissioner Gloria Nevarez to backfill the league as soon as possible or risk continued departures.

Teams like New Mexico State, UTEP, Texas State, or even FCS programs North Dakota State and South Dakota State are on the table for this league to sustain themselves in the ever changing college sports landscape.

Why Memphis is the most logical addition for Pac-12 expansion

Memphis is arguably the biggest non power conference brand in college sports, but are they a fit in the rebuilding Pac-12?

The Memphis Tigers have long been among the top candidates to join a power conference, and the recent additions of four Mountain West schools by the Pac-12 once again put the Tigers back in the conversation.

Memphis has been a powerhouse in the American Athletic Conference for a little over a decade, with a strong run in Conference USA before that.

The Tigers have won three bowl games since 2020, including a win in the Liberty Bowl over Iowa State last year to cap off a 10-3 season.

2024 is off to an even better start. After beating Florida State on Saturday, Memphis is now the top candidate to earn a guaranteed bid into the 12-team College Football Playoffs out of the Group of Five conferences.

The Pac-12’s four new additions from the Mountain West give them six programs, with a minimum of eight needed by July 2026 in order to compete at the FBS level. Could Memphis be moving to the Pac-12 in 2026? We look at the pros and cons:

The Pros

Memphis is arguably the most recognizable college brand that isn’t currently affiliated with a power conference, outside of maybe Gonzaga.

The Tigers have won seven or more games in nine of the past 10 full seasons on the gridiron, and 19 or more games in every single season in the AAC except one…when they went 18-14. The sustained success in both football and men’s basketball is second to none among Group of Five programs, making them an easy target for a conference hoping to bolster the quality of programs in its arsenal.

Memphis is also a premier media market, and while the geography isn’t exactly a fit with the current six Pac-12 members, the idea of adding a footprint in Tennessee and the southeast is no doubt a major draw for the conference. Getting to do so while also adding a program that elevates the competition level of the two revenue generating sports is a win-win.

The Cons

Geography. It’s easy to simplify the cons into one word, but effectively it is the biggest issue facing Memphis and the Pac-12 as a fit. Memphis fits far better in the Big 12 geographically, and if university leadership thinks that’s an option it could prevent them from accepting an invite into the Pac-12.

For the Pac-12 to make this work, likely another team joins alongside Memphis as a travel partner. Plenty of options exist for the conference to consider, including Tulane, Tulsa, and UTSA, but it does make Memphis a slightly trickier target as they would be on an island out east without a travel partner.

Recent reports surrounding the men’s basketball program and Penny Hardaway could give the Pac-12 some pause as well, although nothing substantial is confirmed as of this writing.

Verdict

Memphis is perhaps the most obvious target for the Pac-12 at this point, and unless the program wants to wait to see if a Big 12 invite is coming this should be a no brainer on both sides. The geography is a factor, but if another team (Tulane seems to make the most sense) emerges as a travel partner, this could get done pretty quickly.

ESPN thinks this early season game is key for Oklahoma

The Sooners can’t overlook this opponent early on in their schedule.

College football season is getting closer. One surefire way to tell that the season is almost upon us is the release of the Associated Press Top 25. Even though the AP Top 25 isn’t as useful in the [autotag]College Football Playoff[/autotag] era, it’s something for fans to get excited or upset about in the days before the season kicks off.

The Oklahoma Sooners ranked 16th in the AP Top 25, the same place they landed in the US LBM Coaches Poll. OU has a daunting schedule in 2024, as it enters the SEC. However, ESPN believes a crucial early season, nonconference game could be telling for its chances to make the [autotag]playoff[/autotag] this year.

ESPN went team-by-team through the AP Top 25, giving best-case and worst-case scenarios for each. Then, it highlighted one game early in the season that will be crucial for that team.

OU’s ceiling was placed at an excellent 11-1, which would pleasantly surprise even the staunchest of Oklahoma defenders. However, the Sooners’ floor was placed at 6-6, which would be very disappointing after a 10-3 season last year. The ESPN matchup predictor put the Sooners at 9-3, which would have them on the verge of the playoff.

Head coach [autotag]Brent Venables[/autotag] improved from 2022 to 2023 and. Despite the program entering the [autotag]SEC[/autotag], the expectation is for it to take another step forward in 2024.

With the brutal SEC schedule on many people’s minds this offseason, a nonconference matchup that isn’t getting a lot of buzz was picked as OU’s key early season game. On Sept. 14, the [autotag]Tulane Green Wave[/autotag] come to town, and ESPN believes the Sooners will need to be at their best that day to win.

Oklahoma’s stiffest pre-SEC tune-up may well come when Tulane visits Norman for the third time since 2017. Oregon quarterback transfer Ty Thompson and running back Makhi Hughes, the reigning [autotag]AAC[/autotag] Rookie of the Year, should test the Sooners’ experienced defense, and a Green Wave defense that held opponents to 20.5 points per game will challenge first-year starter [autotag]Jackson Arnold[/autotag]. A week before Tennessee visits to open SEC play, Oklahoma can’t overlook Tulane — it was only three years ago that the Green Wave nearly upset the Sooners in Norman. – Eli Lederman, ESPN.

The Tulane contest could be seen as a classic trap game before the Volunteers arrive for a highly-anticipated matchup on Sept. 21. The Sooners and Green Wave have met twice in their history, both in Norman.

The first meeting came in 2017, when the Sooners won in decisive fashion, 56-14. Oklahoma was on its way to a third straight [autotag]Big 12[/autotag] title that year during their run of six in a row. The Sooners also made the playoffs for the second time in three years (and the first of three in a row and fourth out of five in total) that year, going 12-1.

The second meeting was far more interesting.

In 2021, the season opener was supposed to be played in New Orleans, but it was moved to Norman due to Hurricane Ida. In the first sign of trouble in [autotag]Lincoln Riley[/autotag]’s final season at OU, the highly-ranked Sooners couldn’t put the Green Wave away, barely hanging on for a 40-35 victory. Oklahoma blew a big lead and nearly suffered a catastrophic loss.

The Sooners failed to live up to expectations in 2021, missing the conference title game. Riley departed for USC hours after the regular season ended, leading to the hire of Venables a week later.

The Sooners would do well to take Tulane seriously. It has been one of the best programs at the Group of Five level the past couple of seasons. With all of the changes and realignment in college football, the Green Wave are looking to make the playoff in the 12-team expansion era. The Group of Five level has been significantly thinned after UCF, Cincinnati, Houston, BYU and SMU joined a Power Four league. After head coach Willie Fritz left to coach the Houston Cougars, who OU will see a week before it plays Tulane, the Green Wave hired former Troy head coach Jon Sumrall. It’s a move that was regarded as an excellent hire in New Orleans.

Additionally, this game likely means more to Tulane than it will Oklahoma. With a win, it could make a huge early statement that it should be the non-Power Four team that gets a shot in the postseason.

In short, the Sooners have to be ready to go when Tulane marches in on Sept. 14. With its incredibly difficult conference schedule, OU can’t afford a loss in the nonconference schedule if it wants to live up to the standard this season. As much fun as the following week’s game against Tennessee will be, the Sooners need to be 3-0 when the Volunteers get to Norman.

That means taking care of business against what could be a very pesky opponent in the Tulane Green Wave.

Contact/Follow us @SoonersWire on X and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Oklahoma news, notes and opinions. You can also follow Aaron on X @AaronGelvin.

Sooners land commitment from SMU transfer center Branson Hickman

Former SMU center Branson Hickman committed to the Oklahoma Sooners on Sunday.

With spring ball wrapping up, Oklahoma enters the break with a clear understanding of what their roster needs are before they return to campus for summer workouts.

One of those needs was filled on Sunday as the Oklahoma Sooners landed a commitment from former SMU center Branson Hickman.

Hickman entered the transfer portal in January and already holds his degree from SMU. Oklahoma reached out to him after Troy Everett’s injury, and he visited for the spring game. The visit went well enough this weekend that he committed. With more than 2,400 snaps to his ledger, he’s all but assured a leg up on starting at center this season.

Depth at the center was a significant issue when Everett went down. Joshua Bates was good in the spring game, but the addition of Hickman allows the Sooners to continue to be patient with Bates as he develops.

Hickman spent four seasons with the Mustangs. He started the final 33 games, including 12 in 2022 and all 14 this past season. This past season, he was named to the Rimington Trophy Preseason Watch List, which honors the best centers in the NCAA. He was also a Second-Team All-American Athletic Conference selection this year.

Hickman may be on the smaller side, playing just under 300 pounds this past year. However, his football IQ and technique have been lauded. He should add a lot of stability to the Sooners’ offensive line as they try to stabilize it in front of new starting quarterback Jackson Arnold.

Oklahoma’s commitment to improving their line play before entering the SEC continues with this commitment.

Contact/Follow us @SoonersWire on X, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Oklahoma news, notes, and opinions. You can also follow Bryant on X @thatmanbryant.

Know the foe: Tulsa Golden Hurricane to know for Oklahoma’s first road trip of the season

Oklahoma is taking on nearby Tulsa this week and here are three Golden Hurricane to know ahead of Saturday’s contest.

Oklahoma enters its third game of the 2023 season 2-0 ahead of their final nonconference game. Oklahoma makes the trip to Tulsa to take on the Golden Hurricane led by former Sooners offensive coordinator Kevin Wilson.

Wilson was the offensive coordinator for the Sooners from 2002-2010. There is a healthy bit of respect between Brent Venables and Kevin Wilson. Both worked under Bob Stoops as coordinators for many years. Kevin Wilson left his post as Ohio State’s offensive coordinator last offseason to take over the Tulsa program.

His program is in the process of renovation, but Wilson has done an excellent job getting them ready to go. The team is 1-1 after a win against Arkansas-Pine Bluff in the opener. They then took a trip out west to Washington, resulting in a 43-10 loss.

On Saturday, Tulsa will be fired up to play the state’s most prominent football program, the Oklahoma Sooners.

Oklahoma should win this game, but that doesn’t mean they should take their opponents lightly.

To get ready for Oklahoma vs. Tulsa, here are three Golden Hurricane to know ahead of Saturday’s contest.

Up Next: 3 players to know

Early execution among the three offensive keys to a Sooners win vs. SMU

Offensive keys to the game when the Oklahoma Sooners take on the SMU Mustangs.

Oklahoma enters Saturday’s matchup with SMU on a four-game winning streak against the Dallas-based institution. The last time these two schools played each other was 1995. Things have changed drastically in both programs since, and it’ll be interesting to see how things shake out on the field come Saturday evening in Norman.

Oklahoma’s offense put on a clinic against Arkansas State and will carry it into this game. Here’s the skinny on this game: expecting Oklahoma to put up another 73 points is highly irrational.

That doesn’t mean Oklahoma shouldn’t be able to score in the 40-point range, but from a pure talent perspective, SMU’s defense is better.

The Mustangs are full of veteran players, and that veteran leadership is precisely why they are one of the favorites to win the American Athletic Conference.

They will be unphased, with 15 seniors starting on both sides of the ball. Many have played at more prominent institutions and seen teams of Oklahoma’s size and talent before making their way to Dallas.

For this offense to uphold its end of the bargain, it’ll likely need to do what we highlighted in our three keys for this week.

Up Next: 3 Keys on Offense vs. SMU