NFL Week 4 Inactives: Cowboys rule out starting CB, Giants 2 in pivotal matchup

Week 4 inactives confirm that secondary depth will be tested on both sidelines on TNF. | From @KDDrummondNFL

The Dallas COwboys have officially ruled out starting cornerback Caelen Carson, making their job on Thursday Night Football extremely difficult. Already down DaRon Bland with a foot injury, the Cowboys will try to curtail the New York Giants improving passing offense with just their first and fourth-best corners.

Top reserve safety Markquese Bell is also going to miss his first contest of the season.

Fortunately to even the odds New York will be without two of their starting corners with both Adoree Jackson and Dru Phillips ruled out. Things in Week 4 might end up being a shootout between Dak Prescott and Daniel Jones.

As for the other inactives, the Cowboys are making four healthy scratches along with their emergency third-string quarterback who will dress, Trey Lance.

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Cowboys 55-man, Week 3 roster elevations vs Giants shows cornerback is dire issue

The Dallas Cowboys need a win in the worst way on Thursday night, and their secondary appears to be a mash unit entering the contest. Faced with taking on top rookie WR Malik Nabers, the Cowboys will more than likely be down Caelen Carson, who is a …

The Dallas Cowboys need a win in the worst way on Thursday night, and their secondary appears to be a mash unit entering the contest. Faced with taking on top rookie WR Malik Nabers, the Cowboys will more than likely be down Caelen Carson, who is a gametime decision with a bum shoulder. Carson was listed as doubtful on the final injury report for this week and on Thursday Dallas elevated a practice squad cornerback, just in case.

Amani Oruwariye will see his first game-day active status for the Dallas Cowboys as one of two elevations for Week 4’s contest against the New York Giants. DE Carl Lawson will be the other, bringing the Cowboys’ roster to 55 players temporarily. About an hour and a half before kickoff, the team will announce their seven inactives, a list likely to include both Carson and safety Markquese Bell, as well as QB Trey Lance who will be the emergency third quarterback. As for everyone else? Here’s a look at the full 55-man roster Mike McCarthy and his staff will choose from.

Related: How to watch, stream, listen to Cowboys-Giants on TNF

Dak Prescott
Cooper Rush
Trey Lance

Ezekiel Elliott
Rico Dowdle
Hunter Luepke
Deuce Vaughn

Jake Ferguson
Luke Schoonmaker
John Stephens, Jr. (questionable – hamstring)
Brevyn Spann-Ford

CeeDee Lamb
Brandin Cooks
Jalen Tolbert
Kavontae Turpin
Jalen Brooks
Ryan Flournoy

Tyler Guyton
Terence Steele
Asim Richards
Matt Waletzko

Zack Martin
Tyler Smith
TJ Bass

Cooper Beebe
Brock Hoffman

Micah Parsons
Tank Lawrence
Marshawn Kneeland
Chauncey Golston
Tyrus Wheat
Carl Lawson (2nd of 3 elevations)

Osa Odighizuwa
Mazi Smith
Linval Joseph
Carlos Watkins

Eric Kendricks
DeMarvion Overshown
Damone Clark
Marist Liufau
Buddy Johnson

Trevon Diggs
Jourdan Lewis
Caelen Carson
Israel Mukuamu
Andrew Booth
Amani Oruwariye (1st of 3 elevations)

Malik Hooker
Donovan Wilson
Juanyeh Thomas
Markquese Bell

Brandon Aubrey
Bryan Anger
Trent Sieg
CJ Goodwin

Seperation Anxiety: Space gaining maybe not as problematic as it seems for Cowboys receivers

The Cowboys can do things to improve their separation and make things easier on their offense. | From @ReidDHanson

A receiver’s ability to separate is a rather important skillset to have in football. Separation opens passing windows, making completions easier and increasing yards after the catch. For very obvious reasons, separation is a quarterback’s best friend at any level in football and the NFL is no exception.

Amidst the Cowboys’ recent two-game losing streak, separation numbers have been a topic of conversation. Passing game numbers are abnormally low this season and to many it’s because Dak Prescott isn’t seeing open WRs running downfield.

Fans don’t need the All-22 game film to see some of the evidence of these claims. Brandon Cooks, one of the fastest WRs on the team, has had trouble gaining separation at multiple levels of the field all season. It partially explains his low target rate (five targets per game) and his modest completion percentage when targeted (53 percent). He isn’t getting open and when he is, windows are dangerously tight.

Advanced stats back up the claims. According to Next Gen Stats CeeDee Lamb is second to last in the NFL in average yards of separation at 1.9 yards, Brandin Cooks’ 2.6 yards ranks him 88th and Jalen Tolbert’s 2.7 ranks him 84th.

But for as valuable as advanced stats can be for drawing worthwhile conclusions, the situation isn’t as bad as some stats will have you believe. Separation data such as this gauge separation at the point of catch and ignores all the other routes run by the WR. As one can imagine, ignoring 95 percent of the data can lead to some irresponsible conclusions. In this case it can lead someone to believe the situation is more dire than it really is.

With a statistic such as this, a more subjective analysis is likely in order to more accurately grade the situation. Grading each route at its break point would probably be the proper way to grade route running and separation ability. Fantasy outlets and organizations such as Pro Football Focus who grade on and off ball player performance are a better resource to grade separation, and they have generally come to a much different verdict.

It’s true the Cowboys WR group could be much better with their separation than they currently are, but majority of their players are still operating in average territory.

CeeDee Lamb isn’t lighting the world on fire with his silky route running but he’s grading better than the likes of Amon-Ra St. Brown, Tyreek Hill, Deebo Samuel and Justin Jefferson, who are all regarded as elite separators in the NFL.

The All-22 doesn’t absolve blame but rather points it in the right direction. For instance, many of the routes themselves lack decent jukes or even wiggle. Cooks specifically can be seen running vanilla routes without any fake stabs or misleading turns attached. Tolbert has looked uninterested in creating any deception with his routes as well. He’s graded as one of the worst WRs in separation score. All this considered, it’s no wonder coverage is tight for the Cowboys at the target and/or catch point.

Secondly, the play design and timing doesn’t seem to be doing the WRs any favors. Alternating WR break points through Prescott’s progressions should be in the play design. Instead, multiple players are breaking open simultaneously, so if Prescott isn’t watching that specific player at the time of the break, he’s missed his window of opportunity.

Finally, McCarthy can do things the old-fashioned way and create separation through bunch formations and rub routes. McCarthy frequently did this in Green Bay making things exceedingly difficult for opponents to defend. Motion at the snap can help a WR get off the line and dictate the leverage of the coverage. It’s just another way a coach can scheme players open for his QB.

Pass protection is an issue for the Cowboys, which is likely why players aren’t spending much time shaking and baking defensive backs every snap, but there has to be a happy medium where pass protectors hang on a micro-second longer and route-runners give their routes just a touch more deception. The rest is really on Prescott with his progressions and the coaching staff for building workable plays.

The issue isn’t separation catastrophic, but it’s real and something that should be addressed. Luckily, it’s also fixable.

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4 key secondary members are not going to play Week 4 in Cowboys-Giants on TNF

A look at the injury status for players on each team ahead of Thursday night’s NFC East showdown to avoid the basement. | From @KDDrummondNFL

Things could pretty wild when the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants meet on Thursday night in an effort by both teams to climb back to .500. Sitting at 1-2, neither club can really afford to drop the game, but someone is going to come out on the losing end and sit staring up at the rest of the NFC East.

Neither club has produced a strong defensive effort on the 2024 season, and the short week is threatening each club’s secondaries in the worst way. On Wednesday, New York ruled out cornerbacks Adoree Jackson and Dru Phillips. And while Dallas hasn’t ruled them out, cornerback Caelen Carson and safety Markquese Bell have been ruled doubtful, making them playing a long shot.

Here’s a look at the final injury report for Week 4.

Dallas Cowboys

Safety Markquese Bell (Ankle): Doubtful
Did not participate in practice all week

Cornerback Caelen Carson (Shoulder): Doubtful
Did not participate in practice all week

CB Trevon Diggs (Foot): No Designation
Full Participant all week

WR CeeDee Lamb (Ankle): No Designation
Full Participant all week

DE DeMarcus Lawrence (Shoulder): No Designation
Limited Monday and Tuesday, Full Participant Wednesday

DT Mazi Smith (Back): No Designation
Full Participant all week

TE John Stephens (Hamstring): No Designation
Full Participant all week

New York Giants

CB Adoree Jackson (Calf): Out
DNP all week

CB Dru Phillips (Calf): Out
DNP all week

WR Darius Slayton (Thumb): Questionable
Limited Participant all week

DL Dexter Lawrence (Foot): No Designation
Limited Participant all week

CB Nick McCloud (Knee): No Designation
Limited Participant all week

LB Micah McFadden (Back): No Designation
Limited Participant all week

OT Jermaine Eluemunor (Thumb): No Designation
Full Participant all week

C John Michael Scmidt (Neck): No Designation
Full Participant all week

Things looking grim for this glaring issue that plagues the Cowboys

Is it possible the defense of the Dallas Cowboys is not fixable in the 2024 season? New York will offer some clues. | From @cdpiglet

Three weeks into the season, the Dallas defense has been one of the worst units in history.

The Cowboys’ defense looked good during their Week 1 victory over the Cleveland Browns. They held Cleveland to only 3.3 yards per play, only allowing two conversions on 15 third-down attempts. It seemed impressive then, but the Browns have been terrible since. 18 points scored is their season high, and injuries to their offensive line and running back Nick Chubb have hampered their play significantly.

The New Orleans Saints’ offense, in full force, proved to be a formidable challenge for the Dallas defense. The Saints executed 56 offensive plays, with a staggering 43% of them resulting in gains of at least seven yards. Alvin Kamara’s four runs of over 10 yards, all on outside runs to the left, were a testament to the ease of New Orleans rushing ability. His 115 rushing yards and three touchdowns, all without a single run over 15 yards, further underscored the dominance of the Saints’ offense over the Cowboys’ defense.

The Baltimore Ravens ran the ball 45 of their 60 offensive plays, rushing for 274 yards. Derrick Henry ran for 151, breaking 12 tackles and scoring twice. Lamar Jackson added 87 yards rushing and a touchdown on the ground, which would be fine if the Cowboys stopped the passing attack. Jackson completed 12 of 15 passes without requiring a single tight window completion, a commanding performance. No players on the Dallas defense played well against the Ravens.

In the first three weeks of the season, they allowed 557 rushing yards, the most since 1963, 5.4 yards per attempt, the most since 1979, and eight rushing touchdowns, the most in Cowboys franchise history. It is possible these problems are talent, scheme, and will-related, and those can’t all be fixed in a single offseason.

Hopefully the trip to New York will offer some reprieve. The Ravens (second) and Saints (fourth) both rank in the top five of Offensive DVOA so far this year. Defense-Adjusted Value over Average basically looks at performance through the lens of opponent strength and game situation.

Cleveland ranks 31st. The Giants are 19th.

You can find Mike Crum on Twitter @cdpiglet or YouTube on the Across the Cowboys Podcast

NFL’s 12 highest-salaried QBs, from Dak Prescott to Kirk Cousins, off to rough starts in 2024

It’s a very small sample size, but the NFL season isn’t long to begin with. So it’s noteworthy how the top-paid QBs are struggling to start 2024. | From @KDDrummondNFL

Small sample sizes are tough to wrap ones head around. On one hand, the NFL regular season is just 17 weeks long. Three weeks are almost 20% of the season. On the other hand, it’s just three weeks. Still, if one can’t take stock entering Week 4 than what’s the point of a stock report?

When looking around the NFL landscape of quarterbacks, probably the hardest single position to play in all of professional team sports, the pay isn’t matching up to the performance in the early going of the 2024 season. At least when it comes to the top third of highest-paid quarterbacks.

Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen’s teams are a combined 6-0 on the young season. However, they both sit outside the top 12. The quarterbacks who have all signed in the wake of the mammoth deals signed in Kansas City and Buffalo respectfully are off to a rough start.

From Dallas QB Dak Prescott, who inked a $60 million extension right before the season began, to Atlanta’s Kirk Cousins and his $45 million a year pact, the teams of the top 12 highest-paid quarterbacks have a lowly 12-21 combined record through three weeks.

Limit the scope to the top-five highest paid and it’s even worse. Prescott, Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow, Green Bay’s Jordan Love, Jacksonville’s Trevor Lawrence and Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa are a combined 2-10 when starting.

Quarterback Team Record as Starter Average Salary
Dak Prescott Dallas Cowboys 1-2 $60 million
Joe Burrow Cincinnati Bengals 0-3 $55 million
Jordan Love Green Bay Packers 0-1 $55 million
Trevor Lawrence Jacksonville Jaguars 0-3 $55 million
Tua Tagovailoa Miami Dolphins 1-1 $53.1 million
Jared Goff Detroit Lions 2-1 $53 million
Justin Herbert Los Angeles Chargers 2-1 $52.5 million
Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens 1-2 $52 million
Jalen Hurts Philadelphia Eagles 2-1 $51 million
Kyler Murray Arizona Cardinals 1-2 $46.1 million
Dehaun Watson Cleveland Browns 1-2 $46 million
Kirk Cousins Atlanta Falcons 1-2 $45 million

For now, this is just an interesting stat.

QB salaries aren’t tiered in order of who is the best at any given moment. It’s a cyclical representation of whether or not a team believes a QB is good enough to steward a trip to a championship.

Quality QBs are so rare, that just the potential to be that guy for a franchise will put him atop the totem pole when his contract is renegotiated. The stark reality of the NFL for the last 25 years is that its very rare for any quarterback to ascend to that status. Between Mahomes and the recently retired Tom Brady, there’s been a Boys Club for Lombardi hoisters. Those two have combined for 10 Super Bowl wins; in that span only 10 other QBs have won championships in that quarter of a century.

If a team wants to play hardball instead of ponying up the cash, they either have to use the franchise tag, which will pay the QB the average of the top five salaries, or see another team give the QB the contract they wouldn’t.

For now, again, these teams aren’t seeing the wins one would hope are associated with such an expensive investment. There’s still 14 more games to go, though, so a check-in later in the season is absolutely warranted.

Cowboys open as 5.5-point favorites on road for NFL Thursday Night Football vs Giants

The Dallas Cowboys will not have time to lick their wounds, nor will the New York Giants have time to celebrate their first win. After playing on Sunday, the two teams will have to prep on an accelerated schedule as they are aligned to square off on …

The Dallas Cowboys will not have time to lick their wounds, nor will the New York Giants have time to celebrate their first win. After playing on Sunday, the two teams will have to prep on an accelerated schedule as they are aligned to square off on Thursday Night Football to kick off Week 4.

The Cowboys might be happy to be able to get on the road, as the home schedule has not been kind to them. Dallas opened up the season with a dominant road win over Cleveland but has been dominated two weeks in a row at AT&T Stadium. The Giants started with a home loss, then split back-to-back road games. For the Cowboys, this will kick off their NFC East slate of six games, while the Giants have already lost to the Washington Commanders and are at risk of falling to 1-2 in the division.

Here’s a look at how BetMGM sees the matchup early on in the week.

Relying on Bet MGM’s odds, the Cowboys are road favorites. Many people feel that home-field advantage is an automatic three points before a spread is adjusted for the quality of the team. That isn’t always the case. Based on historical trends, some team’s home-field advantage is adjusted up or down.

When reading spreads, the team that is favored is referred to as “giving points.” The Cowboys are 5.5-point favorites, so in order to win a bet Dallas has to win by at least six points.

The Giants are referred to as +5.5.

The Giants were +1 home underdogs in their opener and lost to the Minnesota VIkings by 22. They were +1.5 road underdogs in Week 2 to the Washington Commanders and lost by 3. They were +6.5 road underdogs in Week 3 to the Cleveland Browns and won by six. The Giants are 1-2 against the spread.

The Cowboys were +1 road underdogs in their opener and beat the Browns by 16.  They were 6.5-point favorites at home over the Saints and lost by 25. On Sunday, Dallas was +1.5 and lost by three. The Cowboys are 1-2 against the spread.

The Over/Under is the guesstimate of the total amount of points to be scored by both teams.

For instance if the final score of Thursday’s game ends up being 23-20, then an Under bet would win because 43 total points were scored. If the final score was 24-20, then the Over bet would win based on a total of 44 points being scored.

The Giants have been under in each of their three games. Week 1 was set at 42 but the combined total was 34. Week 2 was set for 43 and the combined score was 39. Week 3 was set for 38 and still they couldn’t reach it, with the Giants and Browns combining for 36 points.

As for Dallas, they’ve blown the O/Us out of the water. Week 1 was expected to be a defensive struggle, but they and the Browns combined for 50 points, 8.5 above the 41.5 water level. In Week two the O/U was set for 47 and the teams combined for 63 total points. In Week 3 the O/U was 47.5 and Dallas and Baltimore combined for 53 points.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Money Line is a simple win-or-lose bet. If someone thinks one team will win, but they don’t want to give or take any points, they bet on them “straight up.” Dallas’ moneyline is -225. The Giants’ moneyline is +185.

If someone bets on a favorite the ML will be negative, an underdog, positive. All bets are spoken of in terms of wagering an even $100.

A bet of $225 on Dallas to win outright would result in getting that back, plus winning an additional $100.

If someone were to wager $100 on the Giants, then they would get their $100 back, plus $185 in profit.