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The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Las Vegas Motor Speedway Sunday for the 2024 South Point 400. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET (NBC) for the 1st race of 3 Round of 8 races in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 South Point 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.
2024 South Point 400: What you need to know
- Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson leads all active drivers with a 9.3 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 16 career Cup starts LVMS while posting 3 checkered flags and 8 top-5 finishes. Larson goes off 5th on Sunday
- Larson tops the playoff standings, 20 points clear of Christopher Bell heading into the Round of 8 races
- Bell snagged the pole with a best speed of 185.344 mph in qualifying, and he is 1 of 4 Toyotas starting in the 1st 2 rows. Bell has a so-so 19.1 AFP with just 2 top-5 finishes in 9 career Cup starts at LVMS
- Hendrick’s Alex Bowman, eliminated from the playoffs, is the top Chevy in the starting grid, going off 3rd
- Team Penske’s Joey Logano is 8th in the playoff standings. He is the top Ford in the starting grid, going off 10th
- Logano has 3 career wins at Las Vegas, posting 7 top-5 finishes and 13 top-10 runs with 538 laps led in 22 career Cup starts. He has a 9.9 AFP
- Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. has 2 career wins at LVMS, 7 top-5 finishes and 16 top-10 runs in 25 career Cup starts, and he is 2nd among active drivers with a 9.8 AFP
- Hendrick’s Chase Elliott has never won in Vegas, while posting just 3 top-5 finishes and 178 laps led with 3 DNFs in 14 career Cup starts while posting a mediocre 18.6 AFP
- JGR’s Denny Hamlin has a win, 6 top-5 finishes and 13 top-10 runs with 408 laps led in 25 career Cup starts in Vegas with a 12.5 AFP
- Hendrick’s William Byron has a win at LVMS in 13 career Cup starts, with a 15.1 AFP and 271 laps led
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2024 South Point 400 – Expert pick
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:38 p.m. ET.
KYLE LARSON (+360) is the chalk, but he is a strong play at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
While Toyotas dominated in qualifying, Larson is lurking in the weeds at 5th in the starting grid. Don’t be surprised to see the No. 5 machine slide to the top of the line early in Sunday’s race, and lead a significant amount of laps.
He leads all active drivers with the 9.3 AFP, while 50.0% of his starts in Las Vegas have resulted in a finish of 5th or better. He also has an Average Driver Rating of 105.4, leading all active drivers.
2024 South Point 400 – Contender
CHASE ELLIOTT (+1300) isn’t a bad play at this price point.
While Elliott has never won at LVMS, he is 7th in the NASCAR standings heading into the Round of 8 races. Elliott has posting 5 finishes inside the Top 10, but he has 3 DNFs. There is plenty of risk, but Elliott needs a strong finish, and Chevrolet has won 3 straight races at the track, while posting checkered flags in 6 of the past 8 starts since Sept. 27, 2020.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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