Boston Celtics picked to win East, fall short of 2023 NBA Finals by ESPN panel

Boston is the favorite to emerge victorious from the East in the 2023 NBA Playoffs per the panel, but opinions are more divided when it comes to the Finals.

While it might seem a bit early to be thinking about the 2023 conference and NBA Finals, that doesn’t mean the NBA media agrees.

The dog days of summer have long been the time of the league calendar for media outlets to speculate, rank and project where individual players and teams will stand relative to one another in the season to come. Such is the case during this year’s summer doldrums. And with the Boston Celtics the odds-on favorites to win it all in many corners, the team figures to be at or near the top of most such assessments heading into the 2022-23 season.

Such is the case in a recent panel assessment by ESPN, who see the Celtics in the mix for the next title as well — let’s take a look at their conclusions.

Adding Kevin Durant would cement the Celtics’ status as title favorites

The Celtics reportedly offered Jaylen Brown in a trade offer for KD.

The Boston Celtics aren’t resting on their laurels. The reigning Eastern Conference champions have reportedly made an offer to the Brooklyn Nets for Kevin Durant, and they’ve emerged as a “serious possibility” to land the two-time Finals MVP, according to The Athletic’s Shams Charania.

The deal, if executed, would make it hard to put another team ahead of Boston in the conversation for 2023 title favorite. As constructed, the Celtics already have +450 odds at most sportsbooks to win it all, the shortest of any team. Tipico Sportsbook moved them into a tie with the Phoenix Suns at +550 after they traded for Malcolm Brogdon in early July — and that was when the Suns were thought to be favorites to land Durant, which no longer seems plausible.

Now, it’s the Celtics in talks with Brooklyn. They reportedly offered a package centered around Jaylen Brown, who appeared to respond to the rumors on Twitter. And though it was rejected, the Nets’ asking price wouldn’t change Boston’s status as the unquestioned favorite if they found a way to come to an agreement.

According to Charania, the Celtics offered Brown and Derrick White, and the Nets asked for proposals that included Brown, Marcus Smart, draft picks and potentially one more rotation player. If the goal is to win championships, and that’s all it takes, the Celtics have to find a way to make that happen.

As unfortunate as it would be to lose home-grown talents like Brown and Smart, replacing them with Durant and Brogdon represents a significant upgrade overall. However marginal the difference between Smart and Brogdon, the gap between Durant and Brown swings the trade in Boston’s favor and even makes up for whatever extra rotation player they might have to part with.

Even if they have to lose the reigning Defensive Player of the Year, Boston would remain very good defensively. And Durant-Jayson Tatum would be an elite duo that any team would find difficult to stop. Now might be a good time to hammer Boston’s odds, before they grow any shorter.

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James Harden said he ‘wasn’t right’ last season, and that’s music to the ears of Sixers bettors

There’s still hope for “old” Harden.

The Philadelphia 76ers are fringe NBA title contenders. They probably aren’t in the same tier as teams that recently competed in the finals like the Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks, but they aren’t more than a tier removed from those teams either.

The Sixers have +1300 odds on Tipico Sportsbook to win the 2023 title, eighth-shortest in the NBA and fourth-shortest in the East. Whether they can maximize their talent to become the last team standing largely falls on the shoulders of James Harden.

Harden has been extremely busy this offseason working to silence critics after a lackluster close to last season. He opted out of a contract that would’ve paid him roughly $47 million next season knowing he likely wouldn’t receive as much in a new deal, but it allowed Philadelphia to add some depth pieces. That was one way he showed his commitment to winning.

He’s also posted the obligatory workout videos, including one of him getting reps in the gym alongside assistant coach Sam Cassell and promising young guard Tyrese Maxey. But the most encouraging thing Harden did this offseason for anyone tempted to bet on Philly’s title odds is admit he wasn’t himself last season.

“I don’t really listen to what people are saying. I wasn’t right last season and I still almost averaged a triple-double,” Harden said in an interview with Yahoo Sports. “If anybody else had those numbers, we’d be talking about them getting the max. People were used to seeing me averaging 40, 30 points, and so they viewed it as a down year. I was in Philadelphia for a couple of months and I had to learn on the fly. That’s just what it was. I’m in a good space physically and mentally right now, and I’m just looking forward to next season.”

He told AP Sports he’s finally back to his old self.

“I wasn’t able to get in my spots and get to where I needed to get to without thinking about it, so that right there slowed my confidence down,” he said. “It was craziness, but I’m finally back. I’ll be a lot more aggressive scoring-wise just because my body allows me to.”

While there was some defensiveness in Harden’s tone, he’s right about nearly averaging a triple-double. He put up 21.0 points, 10.5 assists and 7.1 rebounds in the time after the Sixers acquired him. However, those numbers dipped to 18.6 points, 8.6 assists and 5.7 rebounds in the playoffs. More concerning, he was just a 40% shooter from the field in the regular season and playoffs combined.

Harden’s admittance that he “wasn’t right” gives bettors optimism that there’s room for improvement, rather than having to accept his postseason as representative of who he is now. Last year was abnormal for him after all, considering the tumultuous situation in Brooklyn and the hamstring injury that put him on the shelf for a while.

Even if Harden is done as an MVP-level performer, it’s possible his new normal is somewhere closer to the middle of the Houston Harden and how he performed last season — which is still an All-Star player. That’s important to know for people who are bullish on the Sixers. Because as good as Joel Embiid is, he can’t push this team to a title alone.

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Bettors hammered Lakers title odds after reports of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving’s trade wishes

Bettors are hammering the Lakers.

In the wake of the opening of free agency and reports that Kevin Durant wants out of Brooklyn, bettors are apparently hammering Los Angeles Lakers title odds.

At least three sportsbooks, and likely more, have seen dramatic movement on LA’s odds, which have gone from 15-1 to 13-1 in the last day at Tipico Sportsbook and 22-1 to 10-1 at Caesars. Since yesterday, LA has been the most bet on team by handle to win the 2022-23 NBA title at DraftKings, which now has the Lakers at +1200.

The movement obviously isn’t due to anything the Lakers have shown on the court in the past year. Rather it’s something people are expecting to happen.

That 3 p.m. time noted above is just after news of Durant’s trade request broke. And ESPN’s Brian Windhorst reported that Kyrie Irving wants to force his way to the Lakers and league executives believe there’s a way LA can grab both Irving and Durant. Something like that would certainly move the needle.

I’m not ready to hammer LA’s title odds just yet because I’m having a hard time seeing the package for Irving that the Nets would find attractive. If Durant is included, that obviously changes my mind — even with Anthony Davis likely headed to Brooklyn — but that just feels a little farfetched at this point.

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2022-23 NBA title odds updated after the draft

There was a little movement.

The NBA is the rare league where one player can dramatically shift the title expectations of an entire franchise in a single offseason. It doesn’t often happen as fast with the new players entering via draft, but the hope is that they expedite the process. Which is why the lottery is so important.

Whether Paolo Banchero or Jaden Ivey, or any of the other top picks can be that player remains to be seen. But it’s never too early to take a look at championship odds to see what the oddsmakers think.

Here’s a look at where each team stands after the draft, with odds from Tipico Sportsbook.

2022-23 NBA Championship Odds

Below are the teams that have seen their odds change from just a week ago after the NBA Finals, most of which are minimal and not likely reflections of the draft. For example, the Spurs’ odds actually grew longer despite three first-round picks, all of which received a grade of A- or better in For The Win’s draft tracker. That movement is likely more a reaction to Dejounte Murray trade rumors than anything.

  • Warriors odds grew from +480
  • Nets odds grew from +650
  • Clippers odds shortened from +700
  • Bucks odds shortened from +750
  • Cavs odds shortened from +10000
  • Spurs odds grew from +20000
  • Pacers odds grew from +30000
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