Stanley Cup Final: Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 5 odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 5 NHL odds and lines, with hockey picks and predictions.

The Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning play Game 5 of the 2021 Stanley Cup Final Wednesday. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Amalie Arena. Below, we analyze the Canadiens vs. Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 5 odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

There was some worry the Canadiens and Lightning might be delayed traveling back from Montreal to Tampa due to Hurricane Elsa, now a tropical storm. The storm should be well out of the area by the time the puck drops.

The Canadiens staved off elimination with an overtime win in Game 4 on home ice Monday, but playing at Amalie Arena is a different animal.

The Lightning had a golden opportunity heading into OT in Game 4 on a double-minor high-sticking call to Canadiens D Shea Weber. Lightning RW Nikita Kucherov misfired on an open net to the left of G Carey Price, and the Habs were able to kill the penalty and then get a winner from RW Josh Anderson a few moments later.

Canadiens at Lightning: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Canadiens +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Lightning -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Canadiens +1.5 (-145) | Lightning -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

Canadiens at Lightning: Projected starting goalies

Carey Price (12-7-5, 2.64 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO). Stats from regular season.

Price easily had his best outing of the series in Game 4, by turning aside 32 of the 34 shots he faced, and he received a little help from the goalie’s best friend, the crossbar.

Vasilevskiy wasn’t terrible in Game 4, but he wasn’t amazing, either, while allowing 3 goals on 21 shots. He and his Tampa Bay teammates now get an opportunity to win the Cup on home ice.

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Canadiens at Lightning: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lightning 3, Canadiens 1

Money line (ML)

The Lightning (-250) will cost you two and a half times your potential return, and while I believe they get it done Wednesday, that’s too heavy of a risk.

AVOID, and look to the puck line instead.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The LIGHTNING -1.5 (+120) are a much better play on the puck line, although it won’t be easy.

In fact, I expect that it will require an empty-net goal to salt this game away, and then the celebration will kick off in Tampa, which is quickly becoming the new Titletown U.S.A.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 5 (+110) is the play here. I think Price will continue his outstanding play, holding the Lightning down, and Vasilevskiy will be hungry after losing Game 4. The scoring chances will be fewer and further between, which is commonly the case as a series goes longer and longer.

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Stanley Cup Final: Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens Game 4 odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens Stanley Cup Final Game 4 NHL odds and lines, with hockey picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens play Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final Monday. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Bell Centre. Below, we analyze the Lightning vs. Canadiens Stanley Cup Final Game 4 odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Stanley Cup will be in the building on Monday night. The Lightning have pushed the Canadiens to the brink of elimination by winning in Game 3, doubling up the Habs 6-3. Tampa Bay leads the series 3-0.

The Canadiens registered three goals in Game 3, easily their highest mark of the series, but it still wasn’t enough. Montreal has not won at home in regulation since picking up a Game 3 victory June 6 against the Winnipeg Jets in the second round.

Lightning at Canadiens: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 7:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Lightning -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Canadiens +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Lightning -1.5 (+165) | Canadiens +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: 5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Lightning at Canadiens: Projected starting goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO) vs. Carey Price (12-7-5, 2.64 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO). Stats from regular season.

Vasilevskiy allowed 3 goals on 35 shots, the most he has given up in this series, but the offense provided more than enough support. He has his team just one win away from back-to-back Stanley Cup championships.

Montreal head coach Dominique Ducharme has backed his goaltender confirming there is no question Carey Price will be in the crease for Game 4. Price allowed 5 goals on 29 shots in Game 3 but he definitely wasn’t the only problem. He has coughed up 13 goals in three games this series while posting a subpar .835 SV%.

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Canadiens at Lightning: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lightning 4, Canadiens 3

Money line (ML)

The LIGHTNING (-160) are moderate favorites in this elimination game. The Canadiens haven’t shown a lot of fight this series and the NHL season is going to end Monday night. You still have to feel Montreal hasn’t played its best game of this series yet, but it might be too little and too late at this point.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The CANADIENS +1.5 (-200) will cost you two times your potential return. Montreal hasn’t won a game on home ice in regulation since the second round against the Jets, as it has shown a flair for the dramatic when getting it done. We still haven’t had an overtime game in this series and Game 4 seems like a good time for it.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 5 (-130) is a strong play in this elimination game. The Canadiens were able to post a series-high three goals in Game 3, and the Lightning were still able to take care of the Over on their own. Look for another higher-scoring game in this one.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Stanley Cup Final: Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens Game 3 odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens Stanley Cup Final Game 3 NHL odds and lines, with hockey picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens play Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final Friday. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Bell Centre. Below, we analyze the Lightning vs. Canadiens Stanley Cup Final Game 3 odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Lightning took a 2-0 series lead with a pair of resounding victories in front of their raucous home crowd. They outscored the Canadiens 8-2 in the first two games of this series.

Quebec’s provincial government allows up to 3,500 spectators at Bell Centre, and the public health department denied the Habs’ request to increase capacity for Games 3 and 4. That is the big story, as Montreal won’t be able to feed off the same kind of intense crowd as the Lightning did in Tampa, Fla.

Lightning at Canadiens: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Lightning -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Canadiens +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Lightning -1.5 (+200) | Canadiens +1.5 (-250)
  • Over/Under: 5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Lightning at Canadiens: Projected starting goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO) vs. Carey Price (12-7-5, 2.64 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO). Stats from regular season.

Vasilevskiy was much busier in Game 2 than in Game 1, making 42 saves in the 3-1 victory. He was equal to the task and has been the difference so far in this series.

Price was better in Game 2 after getting shredded for 5 goals in the series opener, but it still wasn’t good enough. He has posted a .840 SV% in two losses, allowing 8 goals on just 50 shots in this series.

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Canadiens at Lightning: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lightning 3, Canadiens 2

Money line (ML)

The LIGHTNING (-135) are a decent play on the road, as they look to ice the Canadiens again and put the home side in a precarious 3-0 series hole.

Montreal’s offense has disappeared in this series with a total of just 2 goals. While the lack of a boisterous crowd might throw Tampa off a little, it saw it before in the bubble last season and wasn’t distracted.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The CANADIENS +1.5 (-250) are very expensive, and I am a little reluctant to pay such a price. However, I do not think we’ve seen the best of Montreal yet in this series, and we’ll get the Habs’ best effort here.

I believe this one goes to overtime, although it ends in disappointment for the home side just like the first two games.

Over/Under (O/U)

I believe the total lands right on 5 goals, and that’s why I cannot stand flat five lines.

I actually lean more to the alternate line of OVER 4.5 (-200), rather than the Under 5.5 (-185), as I believe the Habs are able to generate slightly more offense on home ice than in Tampa.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Stanley Cup Final: Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 2 odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 2 NHL odds and lines, with hockey picks and predictions.

The Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning play Game 2 of their Stanley Cup Final series Wednesday. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Amalie Arena. Below, we analyze the Canadiens vs. Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 2 odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Canadiens fell behind in Game 1 when Erik Cernak notched a goal at 6:19 of the first period, while Montreal didn’t score its first goal until 17:40 of the second period to cut Tampa Bay’s lead to 2-1. It was a wire-to-wire win for the home side.

The Lightning gave side bettors and puck line bettors an easy night in the series opener. Nikita Kucherov lit the lamp twice, and Brayden Point had three assists to lead the way.

Also see: 2021 Stanley Cup Final series odds

Canadiens at Lightning: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:27 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Canadiens +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Lightning -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Canadiens +1.5 (-150) | Lightning -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 5 (O: -125 | U: +105)

Canadiens at Lightning: Projected starting goalies

Carey Price (12-7-5, 2.64 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO). Stats from regular season.

Price was under fire early in Game 1, and he allowed five goals on 27 shots for his worst performance of the postseason. He had allowed two or fewer goals in each of the final five games in the third round against the Vegas Golden Knights.

Vasilevskiy wasn’t tested much in Game 1, allowing just one goal on 19 shots. He faced just five shots each of the first and third periods while saving eight of nine shots in the second.

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Canadiens at Lightning: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lightning 3, Canadiens 2

Money line (ML)

The Lightning (-225) are heavy favorites to pick up the win in Game 2, but I don’t like having to risk nearly two and a half times the return. I think the Canadiens will play much better in this one, making chalk eaters sweat.

AVOID, and look to the puck line instead.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The CANADIENS +1.5 (-150) just didn’t have it in the series opener, as the Lightning stormed to the 5-1 win and easy puck line cover.

However, Montreal has shown time and time again that it has another gear. When everyone wants to count the Canadiens out they will make the opposition work for it. They barely made it into the playoffs and were down 3-1 to the Toronto Maple Leafs in Round 1. They persevered. They were underdogs to the Winnipeg Jets. They not only persevered, but they also swept. They were heavy underdogs to the Vegas Golden Knights and upended the hockey world by winning in six games.

Look for Montreal to keep it close, perhaps even falling in overtime.

Over/Under (O/U)

I expect the TOTAL 5 to come in right on the number. Playing UNDER 5.5 (-165) on the alternate line is the better play, as I expect a much better defensive effort and a good showing from Price.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Stanley Cup Final: Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 1 odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 1 NHL odds and lines, with hockey picks and predictions.

The Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning play Game 1 of their Stanley Cup Final series Monday. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Amalie Arena. Below, we analyze the Canadiens vs. Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 1 odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Canadiens stunned the hockey world by winning a third straight postseason series, defeating the heavily-favored Vegas Golden Knights in six games. Les Habitants have won 11 of their last 13 postseason games.

The Lightning fought off the New York Islanders in seven games, with five of the games decided by one goal. They have won six of their last eight postseason games at home.

Also see: 2021 Stanley Cup Final series odds

Canadiens at Lightning: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Canadiens +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Lightning -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Canadiens +1.5 (-165) | Lightning -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Canadiens at Lightning: Projected starting goalies

Carey Price (12-7-5, 2.64 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO). Stats from regular season.

Price has been ridiculous in the postseason, rolling up a 12-5-0 record, 2.02 GAA and .934 SV% with 1 shutout across 17 playoff games. He is the odds-on favorite to win the Conn Smythe Trophy if the Habs go on to win the Stanley Cup.

Vasilevskiy has posted a 12-6-0 record, 1.99 GAA and .936 SV% with 4 shutouts in 18 playoff games. That includes an 18-save shutout Friday in Game 7 against the Islanders.

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Canadiens at Lightning: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lightning 3, Canadiens 1

Money line (ML)

The Lightning (-200) are big favorites to win Game 1 but risking two times your potential return just isn’t a good betting strategy over the long term.

AVOID, and look to the puck line instead.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The LIGHTNING -1.5 (+135) are a decent play on the puck line, although it very well could take an empty-net goal to get over the hump in the series opener. Price has been super tough in these playoffs, so Tampa’s offense will have its work cut out.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 5 (+100) is a decent play at plus money. The offenses will take a little while to get going in the series as both goaltenders have been red-hot.

You can expect these teams to perhaps play a scoreless first period as they feel each other out. UNDER 1.5 GOALS FOR THE FIRST PERIOD (-155) is an attractive side wager.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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2021 Stanley Cup Final: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens odds

Analyzing the odds, lines and betting options for the 2021 Stanley Cup Final between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are in the Stanley Cup Final for the second straight year and look to go back-to-back as Stanley Cup champions in a best-of-7 series against the Montreal Canadiens. Below, we analyze the Lightning vs. Canadiens 2021 Stanley Cup Final odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Lightning have home-ice advantage in the series. The Central Division representatives went 36-17-3 in the regular season and advanced past the Florida Panthers, Carolina Hurricanes and New York Islanders in the playoffs. Tampa Bay booked its spot in the final with a 1-0 Game 7 win over New York in its semifinal series.

The Canadiens went just 24-21-11 in the regular season and finished fourth in the all-Canadian North Division. They upset the Toronto Maple Leafs, Winnipeg Jets and Vegas Golden Knights to get to their first Stanley Cup Final since winning the Cup at the end of the 1992-93 season.

2021 Stanley Cup Final: Lightning vs. Canadiens odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, June 26, at 11:55 a.m. ET.

  • To win the Stanley Cup: Lightning -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Canadiens +200 (bet $100 to win $100)

The Lightning are heavily favored with an implied win probability of 71.43% in the best-of-7 series. The Canadiens’ implied win probability is just 33.33% but a fourth straight underdog series victory would return a profit of $200 on a $100 bet.

Correct series result

  • Lightning to win 4-1: +350
  • Lightning to win 4-2: +400
  • Lightning to win 4-3: +400
  • Lightning to win 4-0: +600
  • Canadiens to win 4-3: +650
  • Canadiens to win 4-2: +700
  • Canadiens to win 4-1: +1100
  • Canadiens to win 4-0: +1800

Series spread

  • Lightning -1.5 (-120) | Canadiens +1.5 (-105)
  • Lightning -2.5 (+185) | Canadiens +2.5 (-250)
  • Canadiens -1.5 (+320) | Lightning +1.5 (-450)
  • Canadiens -2.5 (+650) | Lightning +2.5 (-1250)

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Bet $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team scores a goal in the game. Betting offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. Place your legal, online bets at BetMGM. New customer offer, terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

2021 Stanley Cup Final: Lightning vs. Canadiens Game 1 odds

  • Money line: Canadiens +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Lightning -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Canadiens +1.5 (-170) | Lightning -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

2021 Stanley Cup Final: Conn Smythe Trophy odds

NAME ODDS
Lightning G Andrei Vasilevskiy +125
Canadiens G Carey Price +175
Lightning RW Nikita Kucherov +250
Lightning C Brayden Point +275
Lightning D Victor Hedman +2500
Canadiens RW Cole Caufield +3000
Lightning C Steven Stamkos +3500
Canadiens C Tyler Toffoli +3500
Canadiens C Nick Suzuki +3500
Canadiens RW Brendan Gallagher +8000
Lightning LW Alex Killorn +8000

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Want some action on the Stanley Cup Final? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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