NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Week 5

Take advantage of these player prop bets for easy money.

In the final week before the bye weeks start limiting your choices, there are several key matchups that should help take you to the pay window as we focus this week just on quarterbacks and receivers and give the running backs the week off.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Friday, Oct. 8, at 8:15 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

Hooked on a Thielen

The Minnesota Vikings are playing a Detroit Lions team that is hobbled offensively – their top two running backs, top receiver, and left tackle were all limited in practice. They will struggle to score more than 14 points, which should give Minnesota the ball a lot. Wide receiver Adam Thielen has a modest Over/Under (62.5 yards at -114 for both the Over and Under). Teams have tended to put their top cornerback on Justin Jefferson, which will come home to roost when Thielen takes advantage. Take the Over (-114).

Ben There, Done That

There is a growing belief that the Pittsburgh Steelers may move on from Ben Roethlisberger before the end of this season. He’s averaging just 6.1 yards per attempt and less than 10 yards per completion, which makes his Over/Under (250.5 yards and -114 for both the Over and Under) seem quite high against a Denver Broncos defense that is allowing just 6.1 yards per attempt to opposing QBs. To hit that number, Big Ben may have to complete more than 25 passes. If he drops back 35-40 times against this defense, he will pay the price and make the decision move on easier because the Steelers won’t have a choice. Take the Under (-114).

[lawrence-related id=461017]

Hooray for Hollywood?

The Indianapolis Colts can stop the run, which plays right into Baltimore’s hands on Monday night. So much so that teams are only throwing 27 times a game on average (and that includes Matthew Stafford, Russell Wilson and Ryan Tannehill). The Ravens will likely look to run, which will come at the expense of receivers like Marquise Brown, who has a relatively low receptions Over/Under (4.5 receptions at +115 Over, -149 Under). While he likely has at least one big play in him, the Colts are going to respect his speed and slide a safety his way and force Lamar Jackson to look elsewhere. Take the Under (-149).

Living Here in Allentown

The Buffalo Bills head into Kansas City where quarterback Josh Allen has a gaudy passing yardage Over/Under (305.5 yards at -114 for both the Over and Under). This one has all the makings of a shootout, because the Chiefs can’t afford to remain in sole possession of last place in the AFC West, where they currently reside. In primetime, Patrick Mahomes is going to look to put on a show and, whether he does or doesn’t, the Chiefs’ pass defense is brutal. Opponents are averaging 307 passing yards a game, and none of them are as prolific as Allen. Look for a primetime track meet. Take the Over (-114).

Up Against the Waller

After being targeted 19 times in the season opener and catching 10 of them, Las Vegas Raiders tight end Darren Waller hasn’t had more the five receptions in any game since. As a result, his receptions Over/Under (5.5 at -156 Over, +120 Under) has been forcibly dropped. Derek Carr has been averaging 27 completions a game and, given the Chicago Bears’ defensive issues in the middle of the field, hitting Waller six times shouldn’t take that much doing if the game goes as the Raiders believe it will on their home turf. Take the Over (-156).

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Fantasy Football DFS Domination: Week 5

Breaking down the top players and sleepers for DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 5 DFS fantasy football

We have one more week of full roster main slate before the byes start infesting this game. So as an advance to the bye week terrorism, the NFL has graced us with the first London game of the year. The New York Jets and Atlanta Falcons will not be included in the main slate on FD or DK.

Fortunately, that only takes about six legitimate options off of the table as both of those teams are pretty devoid of talent.

I don’t know about the rest of you, but I’m moderately concerned that the British government may consider the U.S. sending them the Falcons and Jets as an act of war. At best, they will just cut off our supply of sticky toffee pudding and spotted dick.

DFS: The Primetime Slate

The schedule gurus do strike a blow to the main slate as Buffalo and Kansas City lock horns on Sunday night. Josh Allen has the best matchup among the four QBs here. That said, this should be a shootout and both he and Patrick Mahomes will share QB1 honors. KC has been one of the worst teams in the league on defense against both the run and the pass. So, I am firmly expecting Allen to finish with 300-3 through the air and at least one rushing score as well.

The Bills’ pass defense actually ranks first overall. Of course, they have faced the washed-up remains of Ben Roethlisberger, an injured Tua Tagovailoa, and Jacoby Brissett, backup QB Taylor Heinecke, and the shouldn’t-be-on-an-NFL roster Davis Mills. Buffalo has one great CB, and he alone will not be able to stifle the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes should still post 300-3 as well … he just doesn’t have the rushing TD upside. The thing to remember here, however, is that this game could devolve quickly into a track meet. If that happens both QBs have a legitimate chance at approaching 500 yards and five TDs. Amazingly, last season, these two teams combined for only 43 total points on MNF in mid-October. They then met up again in the postseason to post a more expected 62 combined points.

Zack Moss has established himself as the goal line back for Buffalo. He has also evenly split all of the carries and targets since being inactive in Week 1. The Chiefs are worse against the run than the pass, but I expect this game to be a throwing fest. In a split backfield, he is no better than the RB2 here. Devin Singletary has been decent as well but just isn’t getting any TD love. In a favorable matchup, he still deserves consideration at FLEX. Unfortunately, both of them are in danger of losing rushing TDs to Josh Allen and short-yardage scores to Dawson Knox.

After being underutilized the first couple of weeks, Kansas City has allowed Clyde Edwards-Helaire to top the 100-yard rushing mark in back-to-back games. Negative game scripts have taken out every RB to face Buffalo so far this year. They’ve allowed a few yards through the air but not much on the ground. The game script won’t be negative here — it will be sideways. This suggests that CEH joins Zach Moss in the RB2 discussion at best. Your hope here is that he catches another shuttle pass for a touchdown. Darrel Williams actually outperformed Edwards-Helaire in the playoffs last year. He has scored a touchdown in two of the last three games, but he remains primarily a handcuff. There are enough talents on this slate to bypass Williams in tournaments, but he could be used in Showdown contests.

Stefon Diggs hasn’t been the touchdown threat he was last year, having scored only once through the first four weeks. Still, he is averaging 10 targets per week and posting reasonable supplementary stats. I have him as the top WR on this slate, because Tyreek Hill may have to deal with Tre’Davious White and because KC has allowed a 7-122 WR performance to each of the last two teams they have faced. Plus, despite the 7-122 line,  DeVonta Smith has been the only WR1 to not score against this defense. Secondary WRs have also had success against KC this season. I will give the slight edge to Emmanuel Sanders on FD, since he has been more consistent than Cole Beasley. Still, both have huge upside here at WR2/3 range. I give Beasley more value on DK, where we get the full PPR. Gabriel Davis has become a forgotten man in Buffalo. He has had a total of TWO targets over the last three weeks. That won’t cut it for DFS, even in a likely high-scoring game.

Tyreek Hill was held in check last year during their regular-season contest, but he exploded for 9-172 in the playoff meeting, and 71 of those yards did come on one pass, but that still left him 8-101 the rest of the game. What is concerning is that he failed to score in both of the games. I’m certainly not going to fade Hill here, but don’t be surprised when he doesn’t have another three-TD outing. On this slate, consider him the WR2 overall and a fine WR1 play, just know that he will have huge ownership numbers after last week. Josh Gordon may be active this week, if you believe Andy Reid’s coach-speak. If he is, then he could be used as a WR3 or FLEX. I will still probably pass. If Gordon is inactive, Demarcus Robinson, Byron Pringle, and Mecole Hardman can be considered as WR3 plays, in what should be a shootout. However, know that they will likely cannibalize each other’s overall numbers.

No team has allowed more receiving yardage to opposing TEs than Kansas City. That isn’t the reason I like Dawson Knox here, though. Knox has evolved into a Darren Fells-type goal line threat. He also is catching a reasonable amount of passes, they just aren’t going for many yards. By sheer volume, I expect Knox to approach 5-50, and another short TD is a lock. This should lock up TE3 for him on this short slate.

Travis Kelce must be locked into your lineup and built around this week. In the two meetings last season, he posted a combined 18-183-4. Buffalo really hasn’t been challenged yet this year by the position, so expect Kelce to explode here.

I dare you to use one of these defenses this week. The best bet either team has is a special teams return TD.

Carson Wentz has received a wrongly deserved injury-prone label. Yes, he has sustained many injuries in his career, but he also played behind a grade school offensive line in Philly. Indy’s line is on a different interplanetary level compared to that of the Eagles. Unfortunately, Wentz has still been subject to a fair amount of pressure, partly thanks to key lineman injuries. It doesn’t help Wentz that he has two bum ankles right now. In fact, you could argue that Wentz has outperformed what his injured body should have allowed him this year. If the line can hold taught here against a Baltimore defense that netted five sacks last week versus Denver, then Wentz should be fine. Still, he will be the QB4 on this stacked slate.

Apparently, the NFL does not want us to use Lamar Jackson in DFS main slate lineups. This is Baltimore’s third primetime game in five weeks. Indy’s pass defense is atrocious. No team has allowed more passing TDs than the Colts. Jackson may get rookie Rashod Bateman active for this game, which should help his passing numbers. Still, you are playing Jackson for his rushing acumen. Only eight players have more rushing yards than Jackson through four weeks. All of them are running backs. Jackson’s rushing numbers have been stunted slightly the last two weeks due to a back injury, but he can break one from anywhere on the field. I have Jackson slightly behind both Sunday night QBs, but he could be a sneaky pivot at less ownership.

Jonathan Taylor finally eclipsed 100 rushing yards and scored last week, despite continuing to split touches with Nyheim Hines and once again Marlon Mack. Mack is the surprising of the two as it was reported that the team would be keeping him inactive in preparation for a trade. Mack’s performance didn’t help his trade value any, and if Taylor appears to be fully healed from his knee issue, I wonder if he will even be active this week. Hines will be active, and his pass-catching skills make him a great FLEX play this week as Baltimore has allowed big yardage to pass-catching backs. Taylor gets the RB1 grade here as Baltimore has been mediocre, at best, against the run and has allowed the second-most running back rushing scores.

I feel bad for anyone that blew their FABB budget on Ty’Son Williams. The Ravens went full Shanahan on the situation listing him as a healthy scratch last week. In Baltimore’s defense, Latavius Murray has been serviceable since signing, scoring in three of four games. Le’Veon Bell didn’t do much in his first action of the season, neither did Devonta Freeman. You can leave them both on your bench. Murray is the RB4 on this slate if Williams is out again, and you can use him at RB2 or FLEX. If Ty’Son plays, it just muddies this situation even more. That would probably take all of them out of play.

I was overexposed to Michael Pittman last week. What I failed to consider was that Miami’s pass defense has some solid individual pieces. Pittman still led all Colts receivers in every category, so it wasn’t like he was awful. Over the last three weeks, only five WRs have more targets than Pittman. Baltimore has stymied every WR1 they have faced this year, so I won’t use him as anything more than a WR3. I almost feel more comfortable using Zach Pascal here, if I need an Indy WR in my lineup. Parris Campbell hasn’t been used enough to reach for here. I like saying Ashton Dulin, I do not like playing Ashton Dulin.

Marquise Brown failed to catch three coulda been TDs in Week 3. He made up for it by catching an absurd, highlight-reel TD in Week 4. In a solid matchup here, I like Brown to score again. I’m just not pumped for his reception volume. Rashod Bateman may get his first start of the season this week. He is coming off of a groin injury, so you need to be concerned about reinjury in his first game back. Nevertheless, Bateman is going to be a target hog and a receiving stud once he gets up to speed. I’ll definitely use him in a couple of lineups at WR3 if he plays. Sammy Watkins has seven or more targets in every game so far. Unfortunately, the calendar has turned to October and Watkins has turned back into a pumpkin. If Bateman is a no-go, Watkins is no better than a FLEX play. If Bateman plays, you can cut Watkins off your season-long rosters. James Proche had a solid Week 4, but prior to that he had four targets for his career. I’m not chasing him here.  I always like Devin Duvernay in Showdown slates, but I’m not reaching for him, especially since Miles Boykin may also return this week and there won’t be enough volume to go around.

I suggested Jack Doyle last week. I had the right team, just the wrong TE. Doyle has had two targets over the last two weeks while Mo Alie-Cox has had seven. Doyle has been dealing with some back discomfort so that may be partially to blame. It shouldn’t matter on this slate, as both would be TE4 at best. Baltimore has allowed the most receptions and the second-most receiving yards and TDs to the position. That said, those numbers are slightly inflated by facing Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, and Noah Fant the first four weeks.

Mark Andrews will eventually start losing targets and TD opportunities once Rashod Bateman is fully incorporated into this offense. For now, he has been averaging 5-78 over the last three weeks, putting himself in a position to be the TE2 here.

With Wentz’s foot ailments in play, I have to assign Baltimore the top defense slot here. It isn’t a great play, but none of them are on this slate.

The Main Slate: My recommended DFS lineups

At DK: $5.2k for Jacoby Brissett. $9k for Derrick Henry. $8.4k for Dalvin Cook. $5.2k for Antonio Brown. $4.8k for Jaylen Waddle. $4.8k for Laviska Shenault. $4.2k for Mike Gesicki. $5.5k for Damien Harris at FLEX. $2.9k for the Las Vegas Raiders defense.

At FD: $6.3k for Brissett. $10.4k for Henry. $9k for Cook. $5.1k for Allen Lazard. $5.8k for Shenault. $5.4k for Waddle. $6.2k for Dalton Schultz. $6.5k for Harris at FLEX. $5k for the New England Patriot defense.

At Fanball (SuperFlex – includes Sun Night): Kirk CousinsJosh Allen at SF, Samaje Perine, Damien Williams, Ezekiel Elliott at FLEX, Cole Beasley, Adam ThielenDalton Schultz, and Travis Kelce.

DraftKings FanDuel
Kyler Murray $8,000 $8,500
Tom Brady $7,400 $8,400
Aaron Rodgers $7,100 $8,000
Jalen Hurts $7,000 $8,100
Dak Prescott $6,900 $8,100
Justin Herbert $6,800 $7,700
Sam Darnold $6,600 $7,600
Kirk Cousins $6,500 $7,500
Ryan Tannehill $6,400 $7,200
Derek Carr $6,100 $7,100
Joe Burrow $6,100 $7,000
Daniel Jones $6,000 $7,400
Taylor Heinicke $5,900 $7,300
Trevor Lawrence $5,800 $6,500
Trey Lance $5,700 $6,900
Jameis Winston $5,600 $7,000
Baker Mayfield $5,500 $6,800
Jimmy Garoppolo $5,500 $6,900
Teddy Bridgewater $5,400 $6,600
Ben Roethlisberger $5,300 $6,600
Jared Goff $5,300 $7,100
Mac Jones $5,300 $6,700
Jacoby Brissett $5,200 $6,300
Justin Fields $5,200 $6,400
Taysom Hill $5,100 $6,100
Drew Lock $4,900 $6,600
Davis Mills $4,800 $6,300

Quarterback

Weekly strategy – Aaron Rodgers and Kyler Murray are the top two highest-priced options. Unfortunately, I will be hard-pressed to roster them at those salaries. Kirk Cousins is slightly cheaper and makes a decent pivot. I like but don’t love Joe Burrow and Daniel Jones. Their prices are better on DK than FD. My favorite play in this price range is Trevor Lawrence. To save money, take a flier on Mac Jones or Jacoby Brissett.

Fantasy Four-pack

Kyler Murray, Cardinals vs. SF
($8,000 DK, $8,500 FD)
San Francisco’s defense has been acting as a whipping boy for everyone they have faced. Now they face their toughest matchup in Murray. If Jared Goff and Jalen Hurts can scorch the Niners, then Murray should be safe for 300-3 and another score on the ground.

Aaron Rodgers, Packers @ CIN
($7,100 DK, $8,000 FD)

Cincinnati allowed 351-2 to Kirk Cousins in Week 1. Since then, they have faced a weak trio of QBs and held them mostly in check. Rodgers is better than all four of the other QBs that the Bengals have faced. Plus, Rodgers rediscovered his favorite weapon from the past in Randall Cobb. If you choose to use Rodgers, you can stack him with Cobb, Davante Adams, or Allen Lazard (my personal choice this week). I would even consider a stack with two of them. The one player I won’t be sticking with Rodgers is Robert Tonyan.

Dak Prescott, Cowboys vs. NYG
($6,900 DK, $8,100 FD

Prescott’s yardage numbers have looked lame since Week 1. Still, he has thrown for three or more TDs in three of the four games. Middling QBs, such as Teddy Bridgewater and Taylor Heinicke, have each thrown for two scores against New York, so another three-score finish seems right. Unfortunately, once again, I expect his yardage numbers to be lower as the team should run at will against New York as well.

Kirk Cousins, Vikings vs. DET
($6,500 DK, $7,500 FD)
The Vikings will run the ball a lot in this game, but don’t underestimate what Cousins will achieve through the air. Cousins’ former coach Kevin Stefanski is the only person to slow down the Vikings’ passing game. Detroit doesn’t have that kind of insider information. What the Lions do have is an undermanned secondary and a defense that allowed a total of 625-6 (plus a rushing TD) to Cousins last season. A similar 300-3 will happen here as well, especially if Dalvin Cook is still limited.

DFS Sleepers

Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars vs. TEN
($5,800 DK, $6,500 FD)
Lawrence can take it upon himself this week to put Urban Meyer out of the news stream with a strong performance against a bad Tennessee defense. All you truly need to know about Tennessee is that they just allowed Zach Wilson to nearly top 300 yards passing. Lawrence will have his best game as a pro, and I would not be surprised if Jacksonville pulls off the upset. I particularly like stacking Lawrence with Laviska Shenault this week.

Jacoby Brissett, Dolphins @ TB
($5,200 DK, $6,300 FD)
Speaking of mediocre QBs that play in Florida (no I am not referring to Tom Brady), Brissett has looked like a quarterback who deserves to hold a clipboard instead of a football, a role that Brissett got comfortable with behind Brady in New England. Tampa Bay has allowed a league-worst 11 passing TDs and a league second-worst 1,321 passing yards. This included allowing both Matt Ryan and Mac Jones to post startable lines – and now their secondary is even weaker this week.

DraftKings FanDuel
Derrick Henry $9,000 $10,400
Christian McCaffrey $8,700 $10,000
Alvin Kamara $8,600 $8,600
Dalvin Cook $8,400 $9,000
Aaron Jones $7,900 $8,400
Austin Ekeler $7,600 $7,700
Saquan Barkley $7,300 $7,800
Ezekiel Elliott $7,000 $8,000
Najee Harris $6,900 $7,300
Nick Chubb $6,700 $7,500
Antonio Gibson $6,400 $6,600
Joe Mixon $6,200 $7,100
D’Andre Swift $6,100 $6,900
Chuba Hubbard $6,000 $6,700
James Robinson $6,000 $7,400
Chase Edmonds $5,900 $6,200
Josh Jacobs $5,900 $7,200
Kareem Hunt $5,800 $7,000
Miles Sanders $5,700 $5,900
Damien Williams $5,600 $5,800
James Conner $5,600 $6,300
Tony Pollard $5,600 $5,600
Alexander Mattison $5,500 $6,500
Damien Harris $5,500 $6,500
Melvin Gordon $5,300 $5,900
Eli Mitchell $5,200 $5,500
Jamaal Williams $5,200 $6,000
Leonard Fournette $5,200 $6,400
Myles Gaskin $5,100 $5,300
J.D. McKissic $5,000 $5,300
Jeremy McNichols $5,000 $5,100
Trey Sermon $5,000 $5,800
Javonte Williams $4,900 $5,800
Kenneth Gainwell $4,900 $5,700
Kenyan Drake $4,900 $5,700
Ronald Jones $4,700 $5,500
Giovani Bernard $4,600 $4,600
AJ Dillon $4,500 $5,500
David Johnson $4,500 $5,000
J.J. Taylor $4,400 $5,300
Mark Ingram $4,300 $5,400
Carlos Hyde $4,200 $5,200
Kyle Juszczyk $4,200 $4,500
Brandon Bolden $4,000 $4,900
Chris Evans $4,000 $4,800
Phillip Lindsay $4,000 $4,800
Samaje Perine $4,000 $5,600
Khalil Herbert $4,000 $5,200

Running Back

Weekly strategy – Derrick Henry is once again the top play. A healthier Dalvin Cook and an actually used Alvin Kamara are solid pivots. I also like both Saquan Barkley and Ezekiel Elliott in their meeting at the JerryDome. Nick Chubb draws a decent matchup against a Los Angeles defense that struggled against the run until this past Monday night. They appeared to be faster to the outsides in that game, so I feel safer using Chubb than Kareem Hunt. James Robinson’s DK price is very nice in what could be a sneaky shootout. I will have heavy exposure to Henry paired with one of Damien Williams, Damien Harris, and Leonard Fournette (if Gio Bernard doesn’t play).  The punt plays that I like this week are Brandon Bolden and Samaje Perine (if Joe Mixon doesn’t play).

Fantasy Four-pack

Derrick Henry, Titans @ JAX
($9,000 DK, $10,400 FD)
Until Christian McCaffrey returns to full health, Henry will remain the certified top dog. It really helps that the schedule makers continue to put creampuffs in front of him. If Tennessee continues to be short-handed in their passing game, expect the force-feeding of Henry to continue. Through four games, he has 30 more carries than the next closest running back.

Dalvin Cook, Vikings vs. DET
($8,400 DK, $9,000 FD
Cook appeared mostly healthy last week. He did leave the game briefly but returned to finish it out. Detroit has allowed a league-worst nine total TDs to the RB position. Cook will be good for at least one here as long as he doesn’t aggravate his ankle injury. Perhaps you should consider a hedge lineup where you use Alexander Mattison instead of Cook?

Alvin Kamara, Saints @ WAS
($8,600 DK, $8,600 FD)

Kamara recorded the single-most carries of his career last week. Giving him the carries is a great idea. You know what else is a great idea, throwing him the damn ball. There are zero excuses for Kamara not getting targeted once when your top WRs are Marquez Callaway and Deonte Harris. Washington has allowed a league-worst five RB receiving TDs this year. If Kamara isn’t targeted double-digit times this week, Sean Payton should hang ’em up.

Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys vs. NYG
($7,000 DK, $8,000 FD)
After splitting touches near evenly with Tony Pollard through the first two games, Elliott has now averaged nearly a 2:1 touch ratio in Weeks 3 and 4. The Giants have only given up two RB rushing scores this year, but they are allowing 171 combo yards per game to the position. At a 2:1 ratio, Zeke should easily approach 120 total yards, and I like him to score again.

DFS Sleepers

Damien Harris, Patriots @ HOU
($5,500 DK, $6,500 FD)
James White is injured. Rhamondre Stevenson has been in the doghouse since Week 1. J.J. Taylor just joined him in the doghouse last week. Brandon Bolden is a pass-catching specialist only. This means a huge day for Harris against a defense that is allowing over 150 combo yards per game to the position. I like Bolden to fare well through the air as well, but Harris is a lock for 100-1.

Leonard Fournette, Buccaneers vs. MIA
($5,200 DK, $6,400 FD)
If Giovani Bernard misses a second straight game, Fournette will be locked in as the pass-catching and goal line back for Tampa Bay. In that spot last week, Fournette held a nearly 5:1 advantage on opportunities compared to Ronald Jones. Bernard was limited in practice on Wednesday and Thursday. Even if he is healthy enough to suit up on Sunday, he may not have a huge role coming off a knee injury. Opposing RBs are averaging 167 combo yards per game against this defense, and they have given up six total TDs to the position. Fournette will make it seven.

DraftKings FanDuel
Davante Adams $8,200 $8,200
Justin Jefferson $7,700 $8,000
DeAndre Hopkins $7,600 $7,500
DJ Moore $7,500 $7,900
Terry McLaurin $7,400 $7,400
Mike Williams $7,200 $7,700
Deebo Samuel $7,100 $7,700
Mike Evans $6,800 $7,000
Julio Jones $6,700 $6,800
Adam Thielen $6,600 $7,500
Diontae Johnson $6,500 $7,000
Keenan Allen $6,500 $7,200
Chris Godwin $6,300 $7,600
CeeDee Lamb $6,200 $6,900
Amari Cooper $6,100 $7,100
Brandin Cooks $6,100 $6,300
Chase Claypool $6,000 $6,000
Odell Beckham $6,000 $6,400
DeVonta Smith $5,900 $6,000
Kenny Golladay $5,900 $6,200
Ja’Marr Chase $5,800 $7,300
Marvin Jones $5,700 $6,600
Henry Ruggs $5,600 $5,900
Jakobi Meyers $5,600 $5,900
Allen Robinson $5,500 $6,100
Courtland Sutton $5,500 $6,100
DeVante Parker $5,400 $5,700
Sterling Shepard $5,300 $6,400
Tyler Boyd $5,300 $6,300
Antonio Brown $5,200 $6,500
A.J. Green $5,100 $5,700
JuJu Smith-Schuster $5,000 $5,900
Robby Anderson $5,000 $5,600
Tee Higgins $5,000 $6,700
Christian Kirk $4,900 $6,100
Hunter Renfrow $4,900 $5,800
Jaylen Waddle $4,800 $5,400
Kalif Raymond $4,800 $5,300
Laviska Shenault $4,800 $5,800
Darnell Mooney $4,700 $5,600
Marquez Callaway $4,700 $5,400
Tim Patrick $4,700 $6,000
Rondale Moore $4,600 $5,200
Brandon Aiyuk $4,500 $5,300
Nelson Agholor $4,400 $5,500
Quintez Cephus $4,300 $5,100
Jalen Reagor $4,200 $5,300
Cedrick Wilson $4,100 $5,200
Darius Slayton $4,100 $5,300
Deonte Harris $4,100 $4,900
Kadarius Toney $4,000 $5,300
Kendrick Bourne $4,000 $5,200
Randall Cobb $4,000 $5,500
Chester Rogers $3,900 $5,100
Tre’Quan Smith $3,900 $5,000
Bryan Edwards $3,800 $5,400
K.J. Osborn $3,800 $5,200
Allen Lazard $3,700 $5,100
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine $3,700 $5,300
Terrace Marshall $3,600 $4,900
Josh Reynolds $3,300 $5,000
Danny Amendola $3,200 $4,700
Dyami Brown $3,200 $4,700
Cameron Batson $3,000 $5,000
Collin Johnson $3,000 $4,900
Curtis Samuel $3,000 $5,200
Donovan Peoples-Jones $3,000 $4,900

Wide Receiver

Weekly strategy – This week I am spending down at WR. Not because I dislike the high-priced options, but because I love the lower-priced options. When that perfect situation arises, you need to embrace it and spend big elsewhere. Certainly, I love the opportunity to use Davante Adams or Justin Jefferson up top. Deebo Samuel and Adam Thielen are also great expensive options here. That said, my team will likely be made up of three of the following: Ja’Marr Chase, Jakobi Meyers, DeVante Parker, Tyler Boyd, Antonio Brown, Hunter Renfrow, Jaylen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, and Laviska Shenault. You could also go cheaper yet and use one of the Titans’ backups, one of the Giants’ backups, or Allen Lazard, or Randall Cobb.

Fantasy Four-pack

Davante Adams, Packers @ CIN
($8,200 DK, $8,200 FD)
Adams had a down game by his standards last week as Aaron Rodgers rediscovered Randall Cobb. I fully expect Rodgers to right that wrong this time around. Cincinnati has struggled all season with big-bodied WRs that line up all over the field. That is what Adams brings to the game. I also like Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb in this game. If you choose to do a Rodgers stack, consider using two of the WRs.

Justin Jefferson, Vikings vs. DET
($7,700 DK, $8,000 FD)
Jefferson has now scored a TD in three straight games. It is easy to envision four in a row when your opponent is the Detroit Lions. The Detroit secondary can not cover Jefferson nor Adam Thielen, let alone both of them. At a price cheaper than the other top QB options, I love the idea of stacking Kirk Cousins with one of his top-two WRs.

Deebo Samuel, 49ers @ ARI
($7,100 DK, $7,700 FD)
Larger outside WRs have scored in every game this season against Arizona. Meanwhile, Samuel has posted the second-most total yards of anyone in the NFL this year. The only thing that could hold back Deebo is if a full week of practice leads Trey Lance to prefer throwing the ball to George Kittle or Brandon Aiyuk. Either way, if Lance starts, this makes a nice stack.

DeAndre Hopkins, Cardinals vs. SF
($7,600 DK, $7,500 FD)
Hopkins’ numbers appeared down again last week, but he still led the Cardinals in targets and yards despite being less than 100 percent and dealing with Darious Williams. This is now the third week since Hopkins was dinged up, so we can hope he is a full go for this week. That should be frightening to a San Fran defense that is worse than last year when they allowed Hopkins to post a total of 22-199 against them.

DFS Sleepers

Laviska Shenault, Jaguars vs. TEN
($4,800 DK, $5,800 FD)
The Jaguars stack is going to be one of my favorites this week. Shenault was the main benefactor of D.J. Chark’s injury last week. Meanwhile, Tennessee has allowed multiple fantasy-relevant WR performances in three of the first four weeks. This suggests you could even stretch and do a triple stack with Marvin Jones as well.

DeVante Parker, Dolphins @ TB
($5,400 DK, $5,700 FD)
I also will have a lot of exposure to the Dolphins’ stack involving Jacoby Brissett and either Parker or Jaylen Waddle. I do not have as much confidence in this as I do in the Jaguars, so I don’t imagine I’d use both WRs. That said, I could use one of the WRs and Mike Gesicki. Tampa has allowed the most receptions, second-most yards, and third-most receiving TDs to opposing WRs. Meanwhile, Parker was the top producer last week for Miami after Will Fuller left with an injury.

DraftKings FanDuel
Darren Waller $7,300 $7,400
George Kittle $5,600 $6,500
T.J. Hockenson $5,500 $6,400
Dallas Goedert $5,100 $6,100
Noah Fant $4,900 $5,900
Dalton Schultz $4,400 $6,200
Robert Tonyan $4,300 $5,300
Mike Gesicki $4,200 $5,600
Hunter Henry $3,700 $5,400
Jared Cook $3,600 $5,200
Tyler Conklin $3,500 $5,100
Maxx Williams $3,400 $5,200
Zach Ertz $3,400 $5,000
Cameron Brate $3,300 $5,000
Jonnu Smith $3,300 $4,900
Austin Hooper $3,200 $4,900
Evan Engram $3,200 $5,300
Anthony Firkser $3,100 $4,700
C.J. Uzomah $3,000 $5,500
Dan Arnold $2,900 $4,800
David Njoku $2,900 $4,700
Eric Ebron $2,900 $4,600
Pat Freiermuth $2,800 $4,500
Cole Kmet $2,700 $4,800
Adam Trautman $2,600 $4,300
Jordan Akins $2,500 $4,200
Ricky Seals-Jones $2,500 $4,900
Tommy Tremble $2,500 $4,400

Tight End

Weekly strategy – I am shocked by how inexpensive George Kittle is this week. I expect to make a few lineups with him in it, but I also like T.J. Hockenson and Noah Fant. That said, my most owned TEs this week will be Dalton Schultz and Mike Gesicki. Other options this week include both Patriots, Cameron Brate (if Rob Gronkowski doesn’t play), and Tyler Conklin. There are not many punt plays I like here. I might use C.J. Uzomah or Dan Arnold.

Fantasy Four-pack

George Kittle, 49ers @ ARI
($5,600 DK, $6,500 FD)
Kittle’s price tag is way too low here. I would be more excited if he wasn’t nursing a calf injury, but he played through it last week. Ross Dwelley vultured a TD, and Jamal Adams broke up another potential TD, making Kittle’s Week 4 line look worse than it was. Still, he has averaged 10 targets per game over the last two weeks. Arizona has been stingy against the position this season, but they also have not faced a true threat yet.

Darren Waller, Raiders vs. CHI
($7,300 DK, $7,400 FD)
Chicago has been pretty good at stifling opposing TEs through the first four weeks. They actually have faced some solid options, too. Still, Waller is better than any of the guys they have slowed down. Waller leads all TEs in targets and receptions, and he ranks second in receiving yards. This feels like it may be a floor game for Waller, but that would still be 6-60-1.

Dalton Schultz, Cowboys vs. NYG
($4,400 DK, $6,200 FD)
Schultz has been valuable in three of four weeks, not to mention he has been a verifiable stud the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the Giants have allowed the most TE touchdowns. With Amari Cooper clearly not 100 percent and acting the decoy role, Schultz has joined CeeDee Lamb as the possession option for Dallas. I expect Schultz to post 6-60-1 this week, which will be on par with the top options at a lower price point.

T.J. Hockenson, Lions @ MIN ($5,500 DK, $6,400 FD)
Hockenson’s final stat lines have been uninspiring the last two weeks. Fortunately, last week was the third time this year that he finished with eight or more targets. Minnesota has ignored the TE position for what seems like five straight years, including allowing Hockenson to score in one of their two meetings last year. Hockenson did pop up on the injured list on Wednesday with a knee issue and was limited Thursday. He didn’t show any signs of this affecting him in Week 4, so hopefully this isn’t a new injury sustained in practice. Assuming he takes the field, I expect him to lead Detroit in every relevant receiving category this week.

DFS Sleepers

Cameron Brate, Buccaneers vs. MIA
($3,300 DK, $5,000 FD)
Brate’s stat line last week didn’t look great. That said, I watched the game and the eye test suggested that Tom Brady targeted him more than the six times that were credited to him. The rain caused several of Tom’s passes to go errant, and I would not be surprised if some of the passes listed as targets for someone else were actually originally aimed at Brate. The nice thing about Brate is at that DK salary all he needs is to catch a single TD to reach 3x value. Miami allowed Mo Alie-Cox to haul in two of his three catches for TDs last week, so a Brate TD is certainly possible.

C.J. Uzomah, Bengals vs. GB
($3,000 DK, $5,500 FD)
This may seem like stat-chasing, and it is. You would chase stats, too, in this matchup. Green Bay has been dominated by stud TEs this year and even allowed Juwan Johnson to score twice in Week 1. They fared better in Week 4 versus Pittsburgh, but you can blame that on the return of Diontae Johnson and Ben Roethlisberger’s noodle arm. C.J. Uzomah did little the first three weeks, but he absolutely blew up last week. Lest we forget he missed most of last season with an injury after being fantasy-relevant for most of 2018 and 2019. The potential return of Tee Higgins this week could hurt Uzomah’s target share, but if Higgins is not out there, expect another big game from the tight end.

The best fantasy football gamble of Week 5

Can gamers expect big things from this little wide receiver in Week 5?

Every week, at least one player becomes my fascination of whether he’s worthy of a fantasy football start or bench. The decision can be a mental wrestling match, but for the purpose of brevity, only one player can be chosen as the fantasy football gamble of the week.

The best fantasy football gamble for Week 5

Tracking my predictions: 1-3-0
Win: Player produces ≥ 75% of projected fantasy points
Loss: Player produces >75% of projected fantasy points
Tie: Player is ejected or leaves with an injury

It feels good to get back on track after some bad beats in the first three games. Last week, New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones occupied this space as the recommendation, and he finished with strong numbers in the driving rain. I projected 295 yards, three touchdowns, one interception and 10 rushing yards (26.75 fantasy points) under the belief there was a slight chance of light rain. My prediction turned out to be 81 percent accurate, which is better than we can say for the weather forecast. He posted 275 yards, two touchdowns, one interception and lost a yard rushing — not terrible considering the conditions and pressure of the game.

WR Deonte Harris, New Orleans Saints at Washington Football Team

The Saints head on the road to face a defense that has been among the best in the league at limiting running backs while simultaneously being among the worst at containing wide receivers.

Washington has afforded running backs next to nothing in fantasy, permitting just the sixth-fewest points in PPR, and only seven teams have been tougher in standard scoring. Offenses have run the 15th-most times for the ninth-fewest yards and have found paydirt every 86 carries, which is the third-lowest frequency.

In the passing game, it hasn’t been much easier for running backs. Averages against of a mere 14.8 yards on 2.5 grabs both sit as the third-lowest numbers. The only positive for backfields is one in five catches has scored, which ranks second among the 18 teams to have given up a TD this way. Washington also has fared well vs. tight ends, relenting a lone TD over 24 catches faced.

Long story short, star running back Alvin Kamara will have an uphill climb, and it should come as no surprise if the Football Team does everything in its power to keep him from going hog wild.

[lawrence-related id=460956]

Provided the game indeed plays out in this manner, New Orleans will be forced to get the passing game going and to people other than AK41. This matchup is intriguing from a volume perspective. Washington has done a pretty good job of limiting downfield plays, which suggests wide receiver Marquez Callaway will not be as large of a factor.

The elevated potential for a lack of deep shots also can be attributed to a formidable front seven being able to get home on Jameis Winston playing behind a beaten-up offensive line that may be without LT Terron Armstead and center Erik McCoy once again. Expect Winston to be forced into quick-release passing around the line of scrimmage to help create an extension of the running game.

In this event, and presuming Washington can at least do a respectable job against Kamara, there’s a strong chance we see Harris get involved more than usual. He had eight targets last week against the New York Giants in a similar situation without McCoy and Armstead. The results were a modest five catches for 52 yards.

Other areas for fantasy profit potential can be found in one in every 11 catches by a receiver against Washington has scored, and only eight other teams have allowed fewer yards per catch to the position.

Additionally, Washington may be able to move the ball better than expected against a Saints defense that has had its faults defending the aerial game so far this year. The ninth-best rating makes it seem as if the Saints have dominated QBs, but when removing that Week 1 debacle by Green Bay, we’re talking about a defense that has allowed 305 yards with a few scores to Sam Darnold, 270 and a TD to Mac Jones in only his third game, and 402-2-1 to Daniel Jones last week. Taylor Heinicke can approach 300-2-1 for sure, which could put the Saints in a “need to pass” situation.

This one is geared mainly for PPR leagues, and while there aren’t any bye weeks yet to help ease the decision-making process of playing an inconsistent option like Harris, he’s capable of doing big things with limited touches. The pint-sized wideout and return man (possible added points in some leagues) could house it from a screen pass. He’s worthy of a flex spot to find out.

My projection: 5 receptions, 78 yards, 1 TD (18.8 PPR points)

Fantasy football start/bench list: Week 5

Check out where your roster options fit into our Week 5 start/bench tiers.

Player analysis and projections can be found in our Start/Bench Tool customized to your myHuddle league scoring and rosters. All player listings by groups are in no particular order.

Key: Upgrade / Downgrade

QUARTERBACKS WIDE RECEIVERS
BEST BETS Opp BEST BETS Opp
Josh Allen @KC J. Jefferson DET
Kyler Murray SF Cooper Kupp @SEA
Lamar Jackson IND Davante Adams @CIN
M. Stafford @SEA Stefon Diggs @KC
GREAT STARTS Opp GREAT STARTS Opp
Patrick Mahomes BUF L. Shenault Jr. TEN
Joe Burrow GB D.J. Moore PHI
Tom Brady MIA Keenan Allen CLE
Aaron Rodgers @CIN Marquise Brown IND
Kirk Cousins DET Adam Thielen DET
SOLID STARTERS Opp SOLID STARTERS Opp
Justin Herbert CLE Marvin Jones TEN
Dak Prescott NYG E. Sanders @KC
Derek Carr CHI Tyreek Hill BUF
Russell Wilson LAR Kenny Golladay @DAL
Jacoby Brissett @TB Ja’Marr Chase GB
Daniel Jones @DAL Corey Davis @ATL
Jalen Hurts @CAR DeAndre Hopkins SF
FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp Terry McLaurin NO
Mac Jones @HOU Jakobi Meyers @HOU
Justin Fields @LVR Diontae Johnson DEN
Jameis Winston @WAS Henry Ruggs III CHI
Ryan Tannehill @JAC Chris Godwin MIA
Sam Darnold PHI M. Pittman Jr. @BAL
Zach Wilson @ATL DeVonta Smith @CAR
Taylor Heinicke NO Amari Cooper NYG
Matt Ryan NYJ Mike Williams CLE
Trey Lance @ARI DeVante Parker @TB
Trevor Lawrence TEN Quintez Cephus @MIN
SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp Jaylen Waddle @TB
Jared Goff @MIN Robert Woods @SEA
B. Roethlisberger DEN Cole Beasley @KC
Carson Wentz @BAL Tyler Lockett LAR
Drew Lock @PIT Tyler Boyd GB
Baker Mayfield @LAC Robby Anderson PHI
Davis Mills NE Deebo Samuel @ARI
Taysom Hill @WAS DK Metcalf LAR
Andy Dalton @LVR Antonio Brown MIA
T. Bridgewater @PIT A.J. Green SF
Jimmy Garoppolo @ARI Calvin Ridley NYJ
RUNNING BACKS CeeDee Lamb NYG
BEST BETS Opp M. Callaway @WAS
Derrick Henry @JAC Hunter Renfrow CHI
Dalvin Cook DET Mike Evans MIA
GREAT STARTS Opp Jamison Crowder @ATL
L. Fournette MIA FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp
Aaron Jones @CIN Brandin Cooks NE
Ezekiel Elliott NYG Nelson Agholor @HOU
Damien Harris @HOU Chester Rogers @JAC
SOLID STARTERS Opp Keelan Cole @ATL
C. Patterson NYJ Sammy Watkins IND
Alvin Kamara @WAS A. St. Brown @MIN
Nick Chubb @LAC Josh Reynolds @JAC
Austin Ekeler CLE Tee Higgins GB
Kareem Hunt @LAC Kadarius Toney @DAL
C. Edwards-Helaire BUF Rondale Moore SF
Najee Harris DEN Adam Humphries NO
Damien Williams @LVR Rashard Higgins @LAC
J.D. McKissic NO Jalen Reagor @CAR
Saquon Barkley @DAL Kalif Raymond @MIN
James Robinson TEN Tim Patrick @PIT
Zack Moss @KC Deonte Harris @WAS
Mike Davis NYJ DeSean Jackson @SEA
Javonte Williams @PIT A. Robinson II @LVR
Chase Edmonds SF Van Jefferson @SEA
D. Henderson @SEA C. Sutton @PIT
Jonathan Taylor @BAL J. Smith-Schuster DEN
Chuba Hubbard PHI Zach Pascal @BAL
D’Andre Swift @MIN Kendrick Bourne @HOU
FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp Christian Kirk SF
Josh Jacobs CHI O. Beckham Jr. @LAC
Latavius Murray IND Darnell Mooney @LVR
James Conner SF N. Westbrook-Ikhine @JAC
J. McNichols @JAC O. Zaccheaus NYJ
Kenyan Drake CHI Freddie Swain LAR
Miles Sanders @CAR SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp
Michael Carter @ATL K.J. Osborn DET
Tony Pollard NYG Randall Cobb @CIN
Chris Carson LAR J. Washington DEN
Nyheim Hines @BAL T. Marshall PHI
K. Gainwell @CAR Josh Gordon BUF
Melvin Gordon @PIT Cedrick Wilson NYG
Ronald Jones MIA Byron Pringle BUF
Myles Gaskin @TB Allen Lazard @CIN
Antonio Gibson NO Parris Campbell @BAL
Jamaal Williams @MIN John Ross @DAL
SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp Brandon Aiyuk @ARI
Brandon Bolden @HOU Devin Duvernay IND
David Johnson NE Quez Watkins @CAR
D. Singletary @KC Denzel Mims @ATL
Malcolm Brown @TB Julio Jones @JAC
Samaje Perine GB S. Shepard @DAL
Darrel Williams BUF Darius Slayton @DAL
A. Mattison DET A.J. Brown @JAC
Trey Sermon @ARI Chase Claypool DEN
Ty Johnson @ATL Elijah Moore @ATL
Mark Ingram NE Bryan Edwards CHI
Joe Mixon GB DEFENSIVE TEAMS
Elijah Mitchell @ARI BEST BETS Opp
Rodney Smith PHI Patriots @HOU
Kyle Juszczyk @ARI GREAT STARTS Opp
TIGHT ENDS Buccaneers MIA
BEST BETS Opp Cardinals SF
Travis Kelce BUF SOLID STARTERS Opp
Darren Waller CHI Cowboys NYG
GREAT STARTS Opp Chargers CLE
Mike Gesicki @TB Broncos @PIT
T.J. Hockenson @MIN Steelers DEN
SOLID STARTERS Opp Ravens IND
Noah Fant @PIT Raiders CHI
Dawson Knox @KC FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp
Dalton Schultz NYG Saints @WAS
Tyler Higbee @SEA Panthers PHI
Cameron Brate MIA Browns @LAC
Mark Andrews IND Football Team NO
George Kittle @ARI Rams @SEA
C.J. Uzomah GB Falcons NYJ
FRINGE FANTASY PLAYS Opp Vikings DET
Gerald Everett LAR Titans @JAC
Dan Arnold TEN Packers @CIN
Dallas Goedert @CAR SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp
Kyle Pitts NYJ 49ers @ARI
Maxx Williams SF Giants @DAL
Evan Engram @DAL Bengals GB
Zach Ertz @CAR Jets @ATL
Hunter Henry @HOU Colts @BAL
Jonnu Smith @HOU Bills @KC
Jack Doyle @BAL Lions @MIN
Mo Alie-Cox @BAL Bears @LVR
Jared Cook CLE Seahawks LAR
Robert Tonyan @CIN Jaguars TEN
Austin Hooper @LAC Dolphins @TB
R. Seals-Jones NO Texans NE
SIT ‘EM IF YOU GOT ‘EM Opp Eagles @CAR
Blake Jarwin NYG Chiefs BUF
Juwan Johnson @WAS
Pat Freiermuth DEN
Jordan Akins NE
Cole Kmet @LVR
Rob Gronkowski MIA
Tyler Conklin DET