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The St. Louis Cardinals (35-48) and the Miami Marlins (48-37) kick off a 4-game series Monday at loanDepot park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting in 2023; Cardinals won 4-2 in 2022
The Cardinals surprised the New York Yankees in a weekend interleague series by winning 2 of 3 games, including a 5-1 victory in the finale on Sunday, while outscoring the Bronx Bombers 18-11. St. Louis also won its most recent true road series, taking 2 of 3 games in Washington against the Nationals June 19-21. St. Louis is 4-1 in its last 5 road outings.
The Marlins were humbled by the red-hot Atlanta Braves at Truist Field over the weekend, as the NL East-leading Braves swept the 2nd-place Marlins. Miami was outscored 29-7 in the 3-game set, splashing cold water on the 3-game sweep of the Boston Red Sox in its previous series.
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Cardinals at Marlins projected starters
RHP Miles Mikolas vs. LHP Braxton Garrett
Mikolas (4-5, 4.44 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 across 99 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 10-7 home loss vs. the Houston Astros Wednesday
- 2023 road splits: 3-3, 3.63 ERA (52 IP, 21 ER – 7 HR) with a .280 opponent batting average (OBA) in 9 starts
Garrett (4-2, 3.53 ERA) makes his 16th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 81 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H (solo HR), 1 BB, 2 K in a 6-2 road win vs. the Boston Red Sox Wednesday
- 2023 home splits: 1-1, 5.35 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 21 ER – 7 HR) with a .271 OBA in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance
Cardinals at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:44 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Marlins -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-190) | Marlins -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Cardinals at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 5, Cardinals 4
Moneyline
The MARLINS (-125) aren’t priced terribly high, which is a bit surprising given the disparity in records between these 2 teams.
While the Cardinals have won 4 of the past 5 road games, St. Louis is also a dismal 4-11 in its last 15 series opener and 2-5 in the past 7 tries against a left-handed starting pitcher.
The Fish have rolled up 14 wins in the past 17 home outings against teams with a losing record, and Miami is 13-3 in the past 16 at home vs. RHP.
Run line/Against the spread
The Cardinals +1.5 (-190) are just a tad bit too expensive if you feel they’ll continue their momentum from the weekend and keep this one within striking distance.
While St. Louis is 38-15 in the past 53 trips to South Florida, and Jupiter, Fla., native Mikolas might pitch with a little added incentive near his hometown, the Cards have just been too inconsistent to trust.
PASS.
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Over/Under
OVER 8 (-115) is the lean, but go lightly.
The Under is 11-4-1 in the past 16 road games for the Cardinals, but the Over is 5-2 in the past 7 against teams with a winning overall record. The Over is 7-3 in the past 10 following a win for the Cards, too.
The Over has connected in each of the past 6 series openers for the Marlins, too.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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