St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights sports betting odds and lines, with NHL betting picks, tips and best bets.

The St. Louis Blues (32-15-9) will take on the Vegas Golden Knights (28-22-8) Thursday at 10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Arena. We analyze the Blues-Golden Knights odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips around this matchup.

Blues at Golden Knights: Projected starting goalies

Jordan Binnington vs. Marc-Andre Fleury

Binnington owns a 2.66 goals against average and a .910 save percentage through 40 games. He’s scuffled away from home and hasn’t been in good form of late with a .870 SV% since Jan. 15.

Fleury has logged a 2.87 GAA and .904 SV% through 41 games (40 starts). The veteran netminder has coughed up nine goals over his last 105 minutes between the pipes. He owns a lowly .854 SV over his last four outings. Fleury has faced the Blues twice this season, allowing four goals each time.


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Blues at Golden Knights: Odds, picks and betting tips

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Vegas 4, St. Louis 1

Moneyline (ML)

The Golden Knights (-161) are opening a five-game homestand and perhaps just now getting their legs back after an eight-game road stretch (split in half by the bye week), a return to home ice for one and then a trip to Minneapolis. Vegas is 8-3-1 as a home favorite and taking on a St. Louis squad which is 1-7 over its last eight on the road and looking for answers at both ends of the ice. The home team has won seven of the last eight head-to-head meetings between the two teams.

PASS on the moneyline play for Vegas, however, as there’s better value on the spread. Even accounting for the extra risk, the reward on the puck line play makes for a more acceptable return.

Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The Knights have played below expected levels when it comes to what their record “should” be based on goals scored and allowed. Those numbers can also be improved on the margins based on puck-possession and shot-quality analysis. In the futures market, Vegas is a solid play at the right price.

And the VEGAS -1.5 (+170) is a solid play in Thursday’s market as well.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over is 6-1 in the Golden Knights’ last seven games as a home favorite, 7-2 in Vegas’ last nine games playing on one-day rest and 5-1-1 in the Blues’ last seven road tilts.

The Over is the general lean here, but the OVER 5.5 (-121) doesn’t deserve backing. The play is over-saturated on that side.

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