The No. 4 seed Providence Friars (25-5) are a 2.5-point favorite in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament against the No. 13 seed South Dakota State Jackrabbits (30-4) on Thursday at KeyBank Center. The matchup starts at 12:40 PM. Here are insights into this Midwest Regional Region 4-13 matchup to help you fill out your bracket.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Providence’s record against the spread so far this season is 15-14-0, while South Dakota State’s is 18-14-1. The Friars have a 16-14-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Jackrabbits have a record of 17-16-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 158.5 points per game, nine more points than this matchup’s total. Providence is 4-6-0 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 contests, while South Dakota State has gone 6-3-1 against the spread and 10-0 overall.
Here is everything you need to prepare for Thursday’s college basketball action.
South Dakota State at Providence odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- Spread: Providence -2.5
- Total: 149.5
- Moneyline: Providence -135, South Dakota State +114
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South Dakota State at Providence odds, spread, & more
Prediction
Providence 75, South Dakota State 74
Moneyline
- The Friars have won 85% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (17-3).
- Providence has a record of 16-1 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -135 or shorter (94.1%).
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Friars have an implied win probability of 57.4%.
- This season, the Jackrabbits have won one out of the three games in which they’ve been the underdog.
- South Dakota State has a record of 2-2 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +114 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 46.7% chance of a victory for the Jackrabbits.
Against the spread
- The Friars put up 71.8 points per game, only 1.6 fewer points than the 73.4 the Jackrabbits allow.
- When Providence puts up more than 73.4 points, it is 6-4 against the spread and 9-2 overall.
- South Dakota State has an 8-4 record against the spread and a 13-0 record overall when allowing fewer than 71.8 points.
- The Jackrabbits score an average of 86.7 points per game, 19.7 more points than the 67 the Friars give up to opponents.
- South Dakota State has put together a 17-12 ATS record and a 27-3 overall record in games it scores more than 67 points.
- Providence’s record is 14-9 against the spread and 23-2 overall when it gives up fewer than 86.7 points.
- The Friars have out-scored their opponents by a total of 144 points this season (4.8 points per game on average), and the Jackrabbits have put up 453 more points than their opponents on the year (13.3 per game).
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Over/Under
- The Friars have an average implied point total equal to their implied total in Thursday’s game (76).
- This season, Providence has scored more than 76 points in 10 games.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Jackrabbits (85.5) is the same as the team’s implied total in this matchup.
- This year, South Dakota State has put up more than 74 points in a game 31 times.
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