Sooners updated game-by-game win probabilities per ESPN FPI after week 4

Take a look at the updated game-by-game win probabilities for the Oklahoma Sooners after their 16-13 win over West Virginia.

Another week and another win that was closer than most people anticipated. The Sooners beat West Virginia 16-13, but they continue to lose the eye test battles. The offense looked stagnant as they carried the ball for 2 yards per attempt and the offensive line couldn’t provide enough protection for Spencer Rattler to push the ball down the field.

To West Virginia’s credit, they put together a great defensive game and nearly produced enough offense for the win.

Lincoln Riley and the Oklahoma Sooners have work to do as they get set for their first road game of the season against a team they haven’t beaten since 2018, the Kansas State Wildcats.

ESPN’s updated Football Power Index did not care for the Sooners three-point win over West Virginia. Much like last week, Oklahoma’s win probabilities fell in every game but one. Last week, Kansas was the only game where the computer saw a greater likelihood that the Sooners would win. This week, it’s Texas Tech that sees the Sooners with a greater win probability after losing quarterback Tyler Shough to injury.