[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Seattle Mariners (84-70) and Texas Rangers (86-68) meet Sunday as they close out their 3-game AL West series in Arlington. First pitch at Globe Life Field is slated for 2:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rangers lead 7-1
Seattle has lost the first 2 games of this series, including a 2-0 defeat Saturday, and is just 5-9 since Sept. 8. The Mariners have lost 6 straight to the Rangers.
Texas has won 4 straight games, and its timing has been clutch. Heading into Sunday’s action, the Rangers lead the AL West; they are 1 1/2 games ahead of the Houston Astros and 2 games ahead of Seattle.
Mariners at Rangers projected starters
RHP Bryan Woo vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi
Woo (4-4, 3.90 ERA) is tabbed for his 17th start. He owns a 1.17 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 80 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 5-0 win at Oakland Athletics Monday
- 2023 road stats: 2-2, 4.04 ERA in 49 IP across 10 starts
- One career start vs. Rangers: 2 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 BB in 16-6 road loss on June 3
Eovaldi (11-4, 3.05 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 135 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 6-4 home win vs. Boston Red Sox Tuesday
- 2023 home stats: 5-3, 3.26 ERA in 60 2/3 IP across 11 starts
- Last 5 starts vs. Mariners: 1-1, 4.55 ERA in 27 2/3 IP
- Was out for 6 weeks or so in July-August with a forearm strain; has been working limited but increasing pitch counts since his Sept. 5 return.
- Has held current Seattle batters to an aggregate .498 OPS per ESPN
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Mariners at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Rangers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-190) | Rangers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Mariners at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 4, Mariners 3
Moneyline
The true odds on each side look to be well-covered here: no leverage on any profit, so holster the account login. PASS.
The same gray area as above, but this play is drowning and juice. PASS even quicker.
Over/Under
Twenty-two of Texas’ last 29 games have cashed on the Over (+14.50 units, 45% ROI).
Saturday’s play in this corner was an Under 8.5, and the wager easily cashed after a 2-0 Rangers victory. While some systemic things in both offenses that indicate lower-scoring days ahead, that prognosis still goes alongside some likability of the pitching in a match-up.
On Sunday, there is some fade in that assessment of the pitchers. Enough so, we can swing this the other way.
Woo has benefited from an overall .277 batting average on balls in play (BABIP), a .226 mark in high-leverage situations and a .224 mark in inning lead-off situations. His expected ERA figures would regard his 3.90 surface ERA as fortunate.
Eovaldi has allowed a .267 BABIP overall, a .257 BABIP at home, a .265 BABIP across inning lead-off situations, a .183 BABIP with runners in scoring position and a .200 BABIP in high-leverage situations.
The lean here is real, but really small: consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 9 (-110).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]