Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (69-55) and Chicago White Sox (49-75) meet Monday to kick off a 3-game series. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is set for 8:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1

Seattle won 7-6 as a +172 road underdog in Sunday’s series finale vs. the Houston Astros, completing the 3-0 sweep. Seattle jumped out to a 6-0 lead by the 3rd inning and hung on for the win. The Mariners are on a 6-game win streak and have won 7 of their last 10. Seattle is 35-27 on the road.

The White Sox won 10-5 as -134 road favorites to avoid being swept by the Colorado Rockies Sunday. Chicago trailed 5-2 heading into the 7th, but blew the game open from there, scoring 8 runs in the next 2 innings. The win ended a 3-game losing streak for the White Sox, who are 3-7 in their last 10. The White Sox are 25-33 at home.

Mariners at White Sox projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Touki Toussaint

Castillo (9-7, 2.23 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 150 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 6-5 road win Wednesday vs. Kansas City Royals
  • Career vs. Chicago: 0-0, 2.92 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 11 H, 1 BB, 14 K in 2 starts

Toussaint (1-5, 4.47 ERA) makes his 13th appearance and 9th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 6.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 50 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 4 K in a 5-3 road win Tuesday vs. Chicago Cubs
  • Career vs. Seattle: 0-1, 13.50 ERA (2 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 3 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 1 start

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Mariners at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | White Sox +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (-120) | White Sox -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, White Sox 4

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Mariners to win here but at (-190) the line is not worth the juice, bet on the run line and/or Over/Under instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN MARINERS -1.5 (-120).

The Mariners are the much hotter team and have been the much better team this season. Seattle is 7-3 in their last 10 while the White Sox are 3-7 in their last 10, and the Mariners are 8 games above .500 on the road while Chicago is 8 games below .500 at home. The Mariners are also 4-1 in Castillo’s last 5 starts overall.

This is only a lean because the White Sox do hold the 6-4 lead in the last 10 Seattle-Chicago matchups.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-105).

The Over is 6-1 in Seattle’s last 7 games overall and 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. For Castillo the Over is 3-0 in his last 3 starts, as well as in his last start vs. Chicago. The Over is also 3-0 in Chicago’s last 3 and 6-4 in its last 10.

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