The San Francisco Giants (45-36) and New York Mets (36-45) meet Friday to kick off a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
San Francisco lost 2-1 as +140 road underdogs Thursday vs. the Toronto Blue Jays, losing the series 2-1. The Giants have now dropped back-to-back games after winning 3 straight. They are 7-2 in their last 9 road games and 22-17 on the road this season.
The Mets lost 3-2 as -187 home favorites Thursday vs. the Milwaukee Brewers, losing the series 3-1. The Mets have also dropped back-to-back games and are 1-4 in their last 5 games and 3-7 in their last 10. New York is at 18-18 at home.
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Giants at Mets projected starters
RHP Alex Cobb vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco
Cobb (5-2, 3.09 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 78 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 11-3 road win on June 13 vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Career vs. New York: 1-2, 5.87 ERA (23 IP, 15 ER), 25 H, 4 BB, 24 K in 4 starts
Carrasco (2-3, 6.19 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 48 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 4-2 road win Sunday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Career vs. San Francisco: 1-2, 2.86 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 24 H, 3 BB, 28 K in 5 starts
Giants at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:47 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mets +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Giants at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
BET GIANTS (-120).
Neither team is particularly hot, but the Giants are a much better road team than the Mets are a home team. The Giants are also 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing record and 7-1 in Cobb’s last 8 starts on grass, per covers.com, while the Mets are 0-4 in Carrasco’s last 4 starts on grass.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like New York’s chances of covering here, but at -165 the line is simply not worth the juice, especially when the moneyline and O/U are both much safer bets.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-115).
For San Francisco the Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall and 6-3 in their last 9 overall. For New York the Under is 2-0 in each of their last 2 games and 5-1-1 in their last 7 games overall.
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