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The San Francisco Giants (52-41) and Cincinnati Reds (50-44) play the 2nd of a 4-game set at Great American Ball Park Tuesday. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: The 1st game of the series was suspended due to rain Monday night and will be resumed at 5:40 p.m. ET. The score is 2-2 going into the bottom of the 7th. Game 2 will take place after the conclusion of the suspended game.
The Giants entered this series on a 5-game winning streak and have won 6 of 7. They have been playing their best baseball in years and have pulled within 1 1/2 games of the top spot in the NL West. Their pitching has been better than advertised as they’re 9th in starter ERA at 3.93.
The Reds have stumbled of late, losing 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 contests to fall 2 games out in the NL Central. Cincinnati has also played its best ball in years as it’s still 21-9 over the last 30 games despite the stumble. The Reds are probably a year away from making real noise though, as their starters’ ERA is 28th at 5.57 and will need to be improved. They can mash, though, at 9th with 4.86 runs/9.
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Giants at Reds projected starters
RHP Anthony DeSclafani vs. RHP Luke Weaver
DeSclafani (4-8, 4.44 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 93 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 3 K against the New York Mets July 1
- 2 career starts vs. Reds: 1-1, 0.93 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 8 K in 9 2/3 IP
Weaver (2-2, 7.00 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 73 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 1 K July 8 against Milwaukee Brewers
- Last 5 starts vs. Giants: 2-2, 3.51 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 30 K in 25 2/3 IP
Giants at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Reds +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+105) | Reds +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Giants at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 6, Reds 4
Moneyline
Weaver is on the ropes after being pummeled this season. Once a top prospect in the St. Louis Cardinals’ system, he has allowed 57 ER in 73 1/3 IP. His soft stuff still plays, but his fastball and cutter are being destroyed at .351 and .373 OBA clips, respectively.
DeSclafani is coming off the IL to make this start, and he spent 5 years as a member of the Reds. He went 20-22 with a 4.54 ERA in 58 games, 56 starts in this hitters’ haven. Not great, not terrible, considering the way the ball flies. I crosschecked his numbers with how he has fared in another hitters’ park, and it was about the same with a 4.70 ERA in 3 career starts at Coors Field. He’ll need the Giants’ offense to get warmed up during the conclusion of Game 1 to be ready to back him in this one.
I’m riding with the Giants here, but instead of the -140 ML, I think we can do better at the Win/Total section. Take the GIANTS AND OVER 5.5 (-110).
Run line/Against the spread
The Giants are 49-44 on the RL and 25-20 on the road. Only 1 of the last 10 games in this matchup has been decided by 1 run. Of the Giants’ 6 wins in the last 7 games, only 1 was decided by a single run as well.
I’ll toss a HALF-UNIT at GIANTS -1.5 (+105).
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Over/Under
There’s a slight, 5-mph gust blowing out to left-center field tonight, but this total is too big for my cash. The Giants and Reds are 4-6 O/U over the last 10.
Cincinnati just finished a 3-game set with the Milwaukee Brewers that had 11 runs total. The series opener Monday had 4 runs in the first 6 1/2 innings before the delay. This could absolutely go Over, but I’m not seeing enough leverage to bank on 12 runs being scored.
LEAN UNDER 11 (-115).
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