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The Boston Red Sox (18-13) welcome the San Francisco Giants (14-17) to Fenway Park Thursday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 2-0
The Red Sox beat the Giants 6-2 Wednesday as -153 favorites. Boston has won 4 in a row, including a 17-0 victory over the Chicago Cubs Saturday. It has struggled at home, going just 7-8 straight up at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are 17-14 on the run line.
The Giants have lost 2 straight games and 4 of their last 6. San Fran’s offense has been in focus, as it has scored just 13 runs over its last 6 games. The Giants are 5-10 on the road, the 5th-worst win percentage in MLB. They are 13-18 on the run line.
Giants at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Kyle Harrison vs. RHP Josh Winckowski
Harrison (2-1, 4.09 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 33 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 3-0 road win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Friday
- 2024 road splits: 2-1, 4.76 ERA, 17 IP, 9 ER (4 HR), 74 H, 4 BB, 11 K in 3 starts
- Has never faced Boston before
Winckowski (1-1, 3.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.67 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 18 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 17-0 home win vs. Chicago Cubs Saturday
- 2024 home splits: 1-0, 1.08 ERA, 8 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 10 K in 1 start and 3 relief appearances
- Career vs. San Francisco: 0-0, 3.38 ERA, 2 2/3 IP, 1.88 WHIP, 0 BB, 3 K in 2 relief appearances
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Giants at Red Sox odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:16 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Red Sox -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+140) | Red Sox +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Giants at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 5, Giants 2
Moneyline
BET RED SOX (-108).
Boston has been able to close out series that it has dominated well. It has won the 1st 2 games of 2 series (against the Oakland A’s and Pirates), and it won the 3rd both times. While he doesn’t pitch for typically over 3 innings, the Red Sox are 2-0 when Winskowski starts and have given up 1 combined run in those games.
The Giants, who have given up at least 4 runs in 3 of their last 4, have struggled to find offense. They are 1-1 straight up after losing the 1st 2 games of a series. There’s no reason to expect San Fran’s offense to bounce back Thursday.
Back RED SOX (-108).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Giants as run-line favorites are tough to sell, and they should be avoided here. The Red Sox as underdogs also aren’t worth the price, and they are better suited as a moneyline play.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9.5 (-110).
The Giants offense has yet to bounce back, and they didn’t Wednesday either. San Fran has gone Under in 7 of its last 8 games and is 14-16-1 O/U on the season.
They have scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 straight games. Boston has gone Under in 5 of its last 10 and is 3-5-2 O/U in that span. Considering the recent trends for both teams, back UNDER 9.5 (-110).
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