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The San Francisco Giants (73-78) and Baltimore Orioles (84-67) meet Wednesday as they continue a 3-game series. The opening pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Giants vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Giants lead 1-0
The Giants throttled the Birds 10-0 Tuesday, snapping a 4-game losing streak in the process. San Francisco had scored just 3 total runs over its previous 4 games.
With Tuesday’s setback, the Orioles are just 2-7 with a .580 OPS over their last 9 games.
Giants at Orioles projected starters
RHP Hayden Birdsong vs. RHP Dean Kremer
Birdsong (3-5, 4.74 ERA) is tabbed for his 14th career start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 57 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-0 loss vs. Milwaukee Brewers Thursday
- Owns a 3.54 ERA over his last 5 starts
- Has never faced the Giants
Kremer (7-9, 4.10 ERA) is making his 23rd start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 118 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-3 loss at Boston Red Sox Wednesday
- Career vs. Giants: 1-0, 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1 start
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Giants at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Orioles -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-150) | Orioles -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Giants at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Giants 4
Moneyline
Kremer owns a 2.62 ERA over his last 6 starts. He figures to get deeper into the game than his mound foe Birdsong.
The Baltimore bullpen has been awful this month (5.74 ERA), but its surface ERA does not stand up to analytic scrutiny. Look for a rebound with that group.
The lean here is not significant (consider a partial-unit play), but there is a lean on the ORIOLES (-175).
Run line/Against the spread
The lean on scuffling Baltimore is tiny, and the Giants play in more 1-run games than most clubs. NO INTEREST HERE.
Over/Under
The Over cashed in Tuesday’s series opener and has done so in 3 straight San Francisco road games.
There is some fade tilt to both starters in this matchup. Birdsong’s fade is more due to some likely recency bias: His recent numbers are tinged with some luck on the batting-average-on-balls-in-play front, and he walks too many batters to consistently avoid big innings. Kremer has filed a .258 BABIP for the season; his expected ERA numbers are a good quarter-run higher than his 4.10 surface figure.
TAKE THE OVER 8 (-115).
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