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The San Francisco Giants (29-31) and Arizona Diamondbacks (27-32) meet Monday as they swing into a 3-game NL West series in Phoenix. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
San Francisco coughed up a late 5-3 lead in losing to the New York Yankees 7-5 Sunday. The Giants were swept in their home series against New York and have lost 4 consecutive games.
The Diamondbacks are back at home after a 2-4 road trip. The 2 wins came Saturday and Sunday against the New York Mets. After a May 24-30 scoring slump that saw the ballclub score 9 runs in a 6-game stretch, Arizona has tallied 24 runs over its last 3 games.
Giants at Diamondbacks projected starters
TBD vs. RHP Ryne Nelson
Rookie RHP Spencer Howard is a possibility to either start for San Francisco or log bulk innings as a reliever.
Nelson (3-4, 6.02 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 40 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 6-1 loss at Texas Rangers Wednesday
- Career vs. Giants: 1-0, 3.10 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 17 H, 6 BB, 11 K in 4 starts
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Giants at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:18 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Giants +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Diamondbacks -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-175) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Giants at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 4, Giants 3
Moneyline
The Giants are 2-4 over their last 6 games against Arizona and have lost 5 in a row in Phoenix. San Francisco has gone on 4 road trips this season; it is 0-4 over the 1st games of those trips.
The NL West foes have split their 1st 4 meetings down the middle, but the Snakes have outscored the Giants 25-16.
Looking at the won-loss records and run-scoring (SF 4.28 runs per game, 4.77 RPG allowed; Arizona 4.64, 4.64) for both sides, a compelling case can be made that the Giants are a couple of games heavy in the win column while the Diamondbacks are a couple or 3 games light.
Nelson has allowed too much loud contact, but he has also been perhaps a bit unduly knocked around by a .384 batting average on balls in play.
The San Francisco bullpen figures to potentially be heavily involved in this one. And would normally be a value plus, because that pen figures as being better than its surface numbers would indicate. But after the weekend and with no off-day buffer, the back end of the San Francisco bullpen is likely operating at about 50% availability.
BET ARIZONA (-135).
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Run line/Against the spread
Look to the Moneyline for better relative value. AVOID.
Over/Under
The analysis here criss-crosses back and forth over a 9-run threshold. But with the Nelson angle and the 2-sided travel, peg the UNDER 9 (-115) with just a sliver of a lean.
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