The San Francisco Giants (48-48) take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (43-53) Tuesday in the 2nd of a 4-game set at Chase Field. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Arizona leads 4-3.
The Giants haven’t won a game in the 2nd half and are on a 5-game skid after Monday’s 7-0 loss to the D-backs. San Fran was only able to muster up 3 hits in the power outage. Ace LHP Carlos Rodon looks to turn the tides and rebound from 5 ER allowed to the Dodgers in his last start.
Arizona got a gem from RHP Merrill Kelly Monday as he struck out 7 and allowed 3 hits over 8 scoreless frames. He’s now 10-5 with a 3.04 ERA on the season with little fanfare. C Carson Kelly is also on a bit of a heater with a 6-game hitting streak that has raised his average from .181 to .221. Arizona has now won 4 of its last 5.
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Giants at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Carlos Rodon vs. LHP Tyler Gilbert
Rodon (8-5, 2.95 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 110 IP.
- Allowed 4 ER on 5 H, 2 BB with 7 K in 5 IP July 4 vs. Arizona.
- Has 4-4 record with a 3.55 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 10.2 K/9 on road vs. 4-1, 2.05 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 12.9 K/9 at home
Gilbert (0-3, 5.34 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 in 30 1/3 IP.
- Allowed 1 ER on 4 H, 1 BB with 2 K in 3 2/3 IP vs. SF July 5
- Has a 1.46 ERA in 12 1/3 IP at home vs. 8.00 ERA in 18 road IP this year
Giants at Diamondbacks odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Giants -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (-115) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Giants at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 5, Diamondbacks 4
Money line
There is a lot trending in Arizona’s favor — except the books. For a team 10 games under .500, Arizona is 25-27 at home while San Fran is 22-26 on the road. Throw in the 5-game losing streak, Rodon’s bad start last time out and bad start against the D-backs, and there’s no way we’re laying -200 on the Giants. We’ll avoid trusting Arizona’s 7th-worst bullpen ERA at 4.26 and roll with the GIANTS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-125).
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Run line/Against the spread
Three of the last 4 losses by Arizona have been by 1 run. They’ve also won 4 of 5 games, which means there’s a lot of positive correlation with their run line. Speaking of the run line, they’re 55-41 on it this season, which is excellent for a team 10 games under .500. We’ll roll with the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The Over is just 3-4 in this series in 2022. Arizona has scored 7 runs or more in 3 of the last 4 games. One would argue they’re the team to worry about in this Over scenario. Wait until closer to first pitch to see if the line moves in your direction, but LEAN OVER 8.5 (-112).
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