The San Diego Padres (24-27) will play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the New York Yankees (30-23) on Saturday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 1-0
The Padres secured a 5-1 victory over the Yankees Friday in the series opener. San Diego has won 4 of its last 5 games and is 6.5 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers for 1st place in the NL West.
Yankees RHP Randy Vasquez allowed 2 ER on 4 H with 3 BB and 6 K in 4 2/3 IP in his major league debut Friday. New York is amid a 3-game losing skid following a 5-game winning streak from May 18-23.
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Padres at Yankees projected starters
RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Luis Severino
Wacha (5-1, 3.58 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 50 1/3 IP.
- Has given up only 1 ER across 25 IP over his last 4 turns but allowing 19 ER over 25 1/3 IP through his first 5 starts
- Has recorded a quality start in 5 of his first 9 starts
Severino (0-0, 1.93 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 4 2/3 IP.
- Allowed 1 ER on 4 H with 1 BB and 5 K in 4 2/3 IP in his season debut vs. the Cincinnati Reds Sunday
- Could be in line for an increased pitch count after tossing just 75 in his debut
Padres at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:17 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Padres at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Padres 4
Moneyline
I’ll back the YANKEES (-145) at home in Saturday’s interleague matchup despite that they’ve lost 3 games in a row. New York is 17-13 at home compared to San Diego’s 12-12 record on the road this season.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Unless you can get the Padres’ run line at -160 odds or better, then I’d advise avoiding the spread in this game and just focusing on the moneyline and/or total.
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Over/Under
OVER 8.5 (-110) is an intriguing wager despite how Wacha has been pitching recently for the Padres. Wacha owns an 8.2% barrel percentage and the Yankees boast a .199 ISO (5th best in baseball) at home against right-handed pitching.
The Padres have also shown some life with their bats in recent games and Severino is only making his 2nd start of the season.
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