The San Diego Padres (19-17) and Minnesota Twins (19-17) clash Wednesday in the middle contest of a 3-game series in Minneapolis. First pitch from Target Field is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: San Diego leads 1-0
The Padres continued their fine pitching of late, working around 4 singles, 2 doubles and 5 walks in a 6-1 triumph in Tuesday’s opener. Since May 1, San Diego hurlers own a 1.66 ERA and 0.97 WHIP.
The Twins have lost 3 in a row. They had been operating at a middle-of-the-pack level offensively until a recent 7-game slide that has seen the club score just 19 runs on a .524 OPS.
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Padres at Twins projected starters
RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Pablo Lopez
Lugo (3-2, 3.21 ERA) is tabbed for his 7th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 33 2/3 innings.
- First season with San Diego after 7 seasons with the New York Mets
- Has a would-be career-low 7.6% swinging-strike rate
Lopez (2-2, 3.77 ERA) is lined up for his 8th start. He’s posted a 1.09 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 43 innings.
- Tossed 1 gem (8 shutout innings May 7) and 1 clunker (6 R in 4 2/3 IP Aug. 17) against Padres last season
- Has allowed 11R over his last 10 IP at home
- Per-9 walk and strikeout averages are both would-be career bests
Padres at Twins odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Padres +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-184) | Twins -1.5 (+152)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Padres at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 5, Twins 4
Moneyline
Lugo has been doing well to limit hard contact. He and the Friars ‘pen are a solid combo against a scuffling Twins offense.
Lopez has a couple of rocky outings up close in the rearview mirror, 2 and 3 starts back. He rebounded in his last, but threw 101 pitches along the way. In his only other 100-plus bounce-back this season, Lopez allowed 5 runs in 4 innings (April 22). Last season, his record in such situations was spotty at best. In this spot, against a Padres attack sporting a .750 OPS over its last 16 games, the Minnesota righty is vulnerable enough to have a fade red ‘X’ in his column.
BACK THE PADRES (+110).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The lean side of this wager (San Diego) has its price inflated by some extra juice.
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Over/Under
Reasons to come down on both sides of this figure abound. AVOID.
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