The San Diego Padres (31-18) and Milwaukee Brewers (24-24) play the third game of a four-game series Wednesday at American Family Field with a 7:40 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Chris Paddack is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 2-3 with a 3.96 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 over 36 1/3 IP through 8 starts.
Paddack posted his first quality start of the season last time out Friday against the Seattle Mariners, allowing just one run, three hits and two walks with six strikeouts across six innings.
He hasn’t lost since April 27, mainly due to amazing offense. The Padres have scored 40 total runs across his past three outings.
LHP Eric Lauer is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 1-1 with a 2.81 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 over 16 IP through 2 starts and 2 relief appearances.
Lauer, who spent his first two years in the majors with the Padres from 2018-19, makes his first start since May 4.
He allowed six runs – two earned – and eight hits with three homers and seven strikeouts across six innings in a loss at the Philadelphia Phillies.
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Padres at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:49 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Brewers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+120) | Brewers +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under: 8 (Over -105 | Under -115)
Prediction
Padres 6, Brewers 3
Money line (ML)
The PADRES (-140) bounced back with a win Tuesday after dropping Monday’s opener. Overall, the Padres have won 10 of the past 11 games, and they have posted victories in three straight starts by Paddack, and five of his past eight assignments overall. The pitching matchup is in San Diego’s favor.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The PADRES -1.5 (+120) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line. In each of their past five victories they have also covered the run line, and 13 of their past 16 outings. As such, San Diego is a strong play laying the run and a half.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 8 (-105) is the lean here, as the total has gone Over in each of the past five for the Padres, including the first two in this series.
The Over is also 9-2 in the past 11 overall for San Diego. The Over is also 5-1 across the past six for Milwaukee, too.
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