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The San Diego Padres (67-77) and Los Angeles Dodgers (87-55) open up a 3-game set at Dodger Stadium Monday. First pitch is at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 8-2
The Padres enter this matchup after dropping 2 of 3 games in each of their last 2 series to the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies. The Friars are just 8-12 over the last 20 games as their disappointing season is nearing the end. The Padres are 28-41 on the road and 20-23 within the NL West.
The Dodgers are coasting a bit with a 13-game lead in the NL West. They are just 4-6 over the last 10 games, which presents a risk in betting on them this late in the regular season. OF Mookie Betts was able to return Sunday from a foot injury that kept him out a couple of days. L.A. is 26-12 within the division.
Padres at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Pedro Avila vs. RHP Gavin Stone
Avila (1-2, 2.19 ERA) makes his 5th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 37 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 6 BB, 1 K against the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
- 2023 as a starter: 1-2, 3.50 ERA, 1.72 WHIP and 8.5 K/9
Stone (1-0, 10.50 ERA) makes his 4th start and 6th appearance. He has a 2.28 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 in 18 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 7 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 3 K May 28 against Tampa Bay Rays
- Was 7-4 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 19 starts and 21 games at Triple-A Oklahoma City
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Padres at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Dodgers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 6, Dodgers 5
Moneyline
I have no reason to believe in the Dodgers, who are just trying to make it to October without suffering more injuries. They had a bullpen game Sunday, and Stone has given no reason to consider backing them.
The PADRES (+140) is the way to go in this one.
Run line/Against the spread
If you can’t bring yourself to take the underdogs and want some insurance, the Padres are at a solid price to keep it within a run. The Dodgers are just 38-33 on the RL at home this year, and San Diego is 33-36 on the RL on the road.
Either take the ML or take PADRES +1.5 (-135).
Over/Under
The Dodgers have plated 31 runs over the last 4 games, and 2 of those were without Betts atop the lineup. Both of these starters are unproven with some spotty results. The Over has cashed in the last 4 meetings between the teams and cashed in 3 of Avila’s last 4 starts as well.
LEAN OVER 9.5 (-110).
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