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The San Diego Padres (91-67) and LA Dodgers (94-64) meet Thursday as they wind up a 3-game series in Chavez Ravine. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 8-4
San Diego and LA have split the 1st 2 games of the series. The Dodgers won Wednesday’s contest, snapping a 5-game Padre win streak. Since Sept. 13, San Diego is 9-2.
Los Angeles heads into Thursday’s game leading the Padres in the NL West by 3 games. The Dodgers are a half-game ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for the top seed in the upcoming NL playoffs.
Padres at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Walker Buehler
Musgrove (6-5, 3.95 ERA) is making his 19th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 93 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 3-2 home win vs. Chicago White Sox Friday
- Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 0-7, 4.48 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 12 starts
Buehler (1-6, 5.63 ERA) is making his 16th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 70 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 6-3 home defeat vs. Colorado Rockies Saturday
- Owns 6.51 ERA over his last 8 starts
- Career vs. Padres (regular season): 6-1, 1.80 ERA (70 IP, 14 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 11 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Padres at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+165) | Dodgers +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4, Dodgers 3
Moneyline
SAN DIEGO (-105) is 5-2 over its last 7 games at Dodger Stadium.
Musgrove is in excellent form. Over his last 2 starts, he’s held foes scoreless while whiffing 17 batters without issuing a base on balls.
The Friars are an excellent road club (45-31) and are 6-2 across their last 8 away games. Heading into this series, the Padres ranked 5th and 6th, respectively, in road scoring (5.11 runs per game) and run prevention (3.88).
Buehler does not typically get deep into games, and that potentially exposes an LA bullpen which has trended the wrong way this month, at least in its analytic indicator numbers.
BACK PADRES (-105).
Run line/Against the spread
No interest. PASS.
Over/Under
Eight of San Diego’s last 9 games have hit the Under. Across the last 7 San Diego-LA meetings, the Under has gone 5-2.
Look for the starting pitching to be a tad undervalued by surface numbers. TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-115).
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