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The San Diego Padres (91-66) and LA Dodgers (93-64) meet Wednesday as they continue a 3-game NL West series. The start time at Dodger Stadium is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 8-3
San Diego won Tuesday 4-2 as a +107 underdog. The Padres, 9-1 in the last 10 games, closed out the series-opening win in dramatic fashion, turning a 5-4-3 triple-play to retire LA in the home half of the 9th with DH Shohei Ohtani on deck. The win clinched a postseason berth for the Friars, who are now just 2 games behind the NL West-leading Dodgers.
Los Angeles had been 6-2 with a plus-34 run differential over its last 8 games before Tuesday. The Dodgers have lost 2 in a row at home just twice in the 2nd half.
Padres at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Jack Flaherty
Cease (14-11, 3.42 ERA) is making his 33rd start. He owns a 1.05 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 184 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 8 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-0 home shutout vs. Houston Astros Sept. 18
- Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1, 1.72 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 24 K in 3 starts
Flaherty (13-7, 3.10 ERA) is tabbed for his 28th start combined between the Detroit Tigers and Dodgers. He has authored a 1.06 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 157 innings between the 2 clubs.
- Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 20-4 rout at Miami Marlins Thursday
- Career vs. Padres (regular season): 2-1, 4.26 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 28 K in 5 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Padres at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 4:11 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 5, Dodgers 4
Moneyline
San Diego is 8-2 over its last 10 games against LA.
The Friars are an excellent road club (45-30) and are 6-1 across their last 7 away games. Heading into this series, the Padres ranked 5th and 6th, respectively, in road scoring (5.11 runs per game) and run prevention (3.88).
Wednesday’s pitching matchup is near-level. Looking at recent starts, Cease — who has not allowed a run in his last 2 starts and his last 16 2/3 innings — is a bit more of a green check mark in the mound category.
BACK PADRES (+120).
Run line/Against the spread
No interest. PASS.
Over/Under
Look for both offenses to have just a sliver of an edge in where this one fits compared to expectations. Consider a partial-unit play on OVER 7.5 (-120).
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