The San Diego Padres (67-53) hold the second Wild Card in the National League as they open a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies (52-66) Monday. First pitch is set for 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Padres LHP Ryan Weathers (4-5, 4.72 ERA) will be making his 22nd appearance and 16th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 74 1/3 IP.
- Has pitched well for most of the season but is in the midst of a rough stretch in which he has surrendered 20 ER in just 11 2/3 IP over his last three starts.
- In his first two appearances against the Rockies, one of which was at Coors Field, he allowed just 1 ER in 5 IP. However, he faced them July 30 in San Diego and was torched to the tune of 8 ER over 4 IP.
Rockies RHP Antonio Senzatela (2-9, 4.71 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 105 IP.
- The results have been mediocre but Senzatela has at least done a nice job of eating innings as he has gone 6-plus frames in seven of his last nine starts.
- Senzatela has actually had better results at home this season than he has on the road. He has posted a 4.04 ERA with just 4 homers allowed in 64 2/3 across 11 starts at Coors Field, although he has just a 5.7 K/9 there.
Padres at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Padres -133 (bet $133 to win $100) | Rockies +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+105) | Rockies +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: 12.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Prediction
Rockies 7, Padres 6
Money line (ML)
The Rockies have been tough at home all season. Their 38-21 record gives them the 2nd-best home winning percentage in the league while the Padres are 27-29 on the road.
Senzatela doesn’t miss many bats but he has managed to keep the home runs in check thanks to a high ground ball rate.
Weathers has been blasted in his last three starts and is extremely tough to trust anywhere right now, especially in a great hitting environment like Coors Field.
The ROCKIES (+110) should come out on top in this one.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Rockies are 25-9 in their last 34 home games and are 4-2 there against the Padres this season. Given the way Weathers has been pitching lately, Senzatela and the Colorado offense should at least be able to keep it close. Side with the ROCKIES +1.5 (-130) or consider flipping it to ALTERNATE GAME SPREAD ROCKIES -1.5 (+185).
Over/Under (O/U)
In Colorado’s most recent homestand, 83 runs were scored over a span of six games (13.8 per game). Neither of these starting pitchers is a good bet to shut down the opposition Monday night.
Look for a lot of offensive fireworks and for this total to slide in OVER 12.5 (-122).
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