San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (45-30) open a 2-game set on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks (33-41) Tuesday. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego leads the season series against Arizona 6-1.

The Padres swept the Diamondbacks in a 3-game series at home two weekends ago, but since then have lost 3 of 4 games to the Philadelphia Phillies. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games after winning 11 of 14.

The Diamondbacks snapped a 5-game losing streak with Sunday’s 11-7 win over the Detroit Tigers. They are 5-10 in their last 15 games.

Padres at Diamonbacks projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Manaea (3-3, 3.87 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 79 IP.

  • He is 1-0 against the Diamondbacks in 2 starts with a 1.38 ERA over 13 innings against them.
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 of his last 4 starts.

Gallen (4-5, 2.79 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 71 IP.

  • Had a no-decision in June 21 start vs. the Padres with 6 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 4 H, 3 BB and 11 K.
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 11 of 13 starts this season.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:07 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Padres 4

Money line

The Diamondbacks will pretty much always win 1 game of a series. The only team to sweep them in Phoenix has been the Dodgers.

The Padres are great on the road at 24-14, but they are facing Arizona’s ace in Gallen, although the D-backs have lost 3 of his last 4 outings.

Gallen puts them in the best position to win of their starters most consistently.

The key is whether the Diamondbacks can get 5 runs. They have had 5 or more runs in their last 13 wins and have failed to score 5 runs in their last 9 losses and in 20 of their last 22 losses. Of their 41 losses, they had 5 runs or more in only 6 of them.

Manaea has allowed 3 or more runs in 7 of his 13 starts.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-105).

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 41-33 ATS on the season, while the Padres are 40-35 ATS.

The Padres do top the majors with a 27-14 ATS record on the road.

Six of the Diamondbacks’ last 7 losses have been by 2 runs or more, so if you like the Padres to win the game outright, taking them on the run line is the better bet.

However, as I expect an Arizona upset win, the better value is the money line. PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

As previously mentioned, the 5-run mark is key for an Arizona win. Twelve of their last 14 wins have had 8 or more total runs.

Only 2 of the 7 games between the 2 teams have had 8 or more runs, but if Arizona is to win, this is the best bet.

Take OVER 7.5 (-115).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]