Sacramento Kings at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Sacramento Kings at Miami Heat NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Sacramento Kings (8-10) play a road game against the Miami Heat (6-12) Saturday at American Airlines Arena. The tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Kings-Heat NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Kings at Heat: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kings +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Heat -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Kings +4.5 (-110) | Heat -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Kings at Heat: Key injuries

Kings

  • PF Nemanja Bjelica (back) questionable

Heat

  • PG Goran Dragic (groin) out
  • SG Tyler Herro (neck) questionable
  • C Meyers Leonard (shoulder) out
  • PG Avery Bradley (knee) questionable
  • SF Jimmy Butler (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • SF Andre Iguodala (neck) questionable

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Kings at Heat: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 110, Kings 106

Money line (ML)

The HEAT (-190) are money line favorites in this game despite having lost their last five games. However, there is a chance they could be getting SF Jimmy Butler back in their lineup on Saturday.

If that is the case, Miami has value despite the Kings winning their last three games. Considering this game is a home game for Miami, take the money line here and expect them to get back on the right track Saturday night.

Against the spread (ATS)

The KINGS +4.5 (-110) is the play on the spread because while we expect the Heat to ultimately win, don’t be surprised if Sacramento keeps this close.

As previously mentioned, they’ve won three straight and are playing better basketball as of late. Can they keep this game to a one or two-possession contest? We think so. Take the points here and ride with the Kings on the spread.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 225.5 (-110) is the smart play here as the Heat could be without several key players in the starting lineup. While they are still a good bet to win this game, they will likely try to steal this game on the defensive end of the court. Expect this to be a clunky game for a while, but for the Under to ultimately hit in Miami.

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