Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (44-79) and St. Louis Cardinals (62-60) play the finale of a three-game set Sunday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Pirates vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Pirates LHP Steven Brault (0-1, 1.84 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has given up 3 ER on 11 H and 2 BB with 12 K over 14 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 3 hits and a walk with 4 strikeouts across 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision on the road his last time out Monday against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • Allowed 2 runs on 5 hits and no walks with a season-high 6 strikeouts over 5 IP Aug. 10 in a loss against the Cardinals at PNC Park.

Cardinals RHP Adam Wainwright (11-7, 3.26 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 through 154 2/3 IP.

  • Had a four-start win streak snapped Tuesday after allowing 2 earned runs on 9 hits and 2 walks with 4 strikeouts across 6 innings in a loss against the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Has posted a 6-5 record and 2.79 ERA with 89 strikeouts across 100 IP through 15 starts at home.

Pirates at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Cardinals -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-122) | Cardinals -1.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Cardinals 7, Pirates 3

Money line (ML)

The Cardinals (-220) will cost you more than two times your potential return which is a bit more than my personal money line limit of -180.

AVOID, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The CARDINALS -1.5 (-102) are a much better play on the run line at near even money.

The Cards have been outscored 9-4 while losing the first two games of the series, but St. Louis is 4-1 across Waino’s last five starts, including a 4-0 win Aug. 11 over the Pirates. The Cards have covered the run line in five of Wainwright’s last six starts, including four times as a favorite.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (+100) is the lean as the Cardinals look to salvage something in this series. They should be able to make it happen against Brault.

While the Under is 3-0 in Wainwright’s last three starts, including a 4-0 win Aug.11 against Pittsburgh, the Over is 5-2-1 in the last eight for St. Louis following a loss. The Over is also 6-1 in its last seven in the third game of a series.

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