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The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-60) and Los Angeles Dodgers (68-49) close out a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 3-2
The Pirates are scuffling. They have dropped 6 straight games and 8 of their last 9. After losing the Friday opener 9-5, they fell 4-1 Saturday, not scoring until the 9th inning.
The Dodgers’ lead in the NL West is down to 2½ games over the San Diego Padres, but they have won 5 of their last 7. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
Pirates at Dodgers projected starters
LHP Bailey Falter vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow
Falter (5-7, 3.87 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 97 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 6-0 home loss to Padres Tuesday
- Pirates are 2-7 in his last 9 starts
- Allowed 5 ER in 4 IP and took loss in 11-7 defeat to Dodgers at home June 6
- Is 0-1 with 6.43 ERA in 2 career appearances (1 start) vs. Dodgers
Glasnow (9-6, 3.54 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 127 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 5-3 home win over Philadelphia Phillies
- Career vs. Pirates: 0-1, 1 road start (June 4), 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 1-0 defeat
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Pirates at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pirates +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Dodgers -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (+105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Pirates 4
Moneyline
The Pirates have lost 6 straight and 8 of 9, and they have allowed 6 or more runs in 7 of those games.
The Dodgers (-275) are 37-22 at home.
But at -275 odds to win, there is no reason to bet the moneyline.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Despite going 1-8 in their last 9 games, 5 of the Pirates’ losses have been by only 1 run.
They are 35-23 ATS on the road, while the Dodgers are 28-30 ATS at home.
This is a rare instance where you get plus odds on the underdog.
BET PIRATES +1.5 (+105).
Over/Under
Ten of the Dodgers’ last 12 games have had 8 or more total runs.
Three of the 5 games between the 2 teams this season have had totals in double digits.
BET OVER 8 (-120).
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