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The Pittsburgh Pirates (37-40) visit the Cincinnati Reds (36-41) on Monday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Pirates lead 2-1
Pittsburgh lost 3-1 to the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday while failing to cover as a -165 home favorite. LF Bryan Reynolds had the team’s only RBI with a solo HR. RHP Paul Skenes allowed just 1 ER in 7 IP while striking out 8.
Cincinnati has lost back-to-back games after losing 7-4 against the Boston Red Sox on Sunday as a -152 home favorite. LHP Nick Lodolo allowed 3 ER in 4 2/3 IP to take the loss.
Pirates at Reds projected starters
LHP Bailey Falter vs. RHP Carson Spiers
Falter (3-5, 3.74 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.38 BB/9 and 5.90 K/9 in 79 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 2-1 loss against the Reds Tuesday
- Career vs. Reds: 0-2, 6.29 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 30 H, 6 BB, 18 K in 4 starts
Spiers (0-1, 3.20 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 1.78 BB/9 and 7.11 K/9 in 25 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-1 loss at Pirates Monday; 1st time he faced Pittsburgh
- Has allowed 9 ER, walked 5 and struck out 20 in 6 games
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Pirates at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:38 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pirates -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Reds -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+150) | Reds +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 4, Pirates 3
Moneyline
BET REDS (-115).
Cincinnati is 5-4 in its last 9 games at home and has scored 3 or more runs in 8 of the 9. The Reds have scored 4 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games while allowing 4 or fewer runs twice in the same span. Pittsburgh has lost 3 of its last 5 and has scored 3 runs or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games, including 1 run or fewer runs in 3 of its last 5.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is better value on the moneyline in this matchup.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9.5 (+100).
Both teams have hit the Under in 8 of the last 10 games. Pittsburgh has scored 4 runs or fewer in 8 of its last 10 games, including 1 run in 3 of its last 4, while allowing 3 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 9 games. Cincinnati has scored 4 runs or fewer in 8 of its last 10 games while allowing 3 runs or fewer in 5 of its last 10.
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