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The Pittsburgh Pirates (37-41) and Cincinnati Reds (37-41) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
The Pirates lost 11-5 as +122 underdogs in the series opener Monday as the Over (9.5) hit. Pittsburgh has lost 3 of its last 4 games.
Reds SS Elly De La Cruz drove in 3 runs, including a 2-run HR in the 6th inning. LF Spencer Steer also had 3 RBIs for Cincinnati, which cashed as a -132 favorite.
Pirates at Reds projected starters
RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Hunter Greene
Keller (8-4, 3.11 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 92 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 1-0 home victory vs. Reds Wednesday
- 2024 road stats: 4-3, 3.83 ERA (47 IP, 20 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 8 starts
- Career vs. Reds: 2-4, 5.45 ERA (72 2/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 15 starts
Greene (5-2, 3.35 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 88 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 0 BB, 9 K in Wednesday’s loss at Pittsburgh
- 2024 home stats: 2-2, 4.02 ERA (47 IP, 21 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 8 starts
- Career vs. Pirates: 0-2, 1.55 ERA (29 IP, 5 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 13.0 K/9 in 5 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Pirates at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:28 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pirates +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Reds -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-190) | Reds -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 4, Pirates 3
Moneyline
The REDS (-125) should pick up where they left off in Monday’s win. Greene has allowed a total of just 2 runs over his last 2 starts (11 1/3 IP), and Pittsburgh is averaging just 2.5 runs over its last 6 games.
BET REDS (-125).
Run line/Against the spread
The Pirates +1.5 (-190) will likely hit, but it’s hard to beat MLB long term laying -190 on 35-cent lines.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
Greene has allowed just 2 runs in 11 1/3 IP over his last 2 starts, and Keller has given up a total of just 4 runs over his last 3 outings (19 IP). The Pirates have scored 3 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 6 games, while the Reds have put up 4 or fewer in 7 of their last 9.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).
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