The Pittsburgh Pirates (21-18) and Baltimore Orioles (25-13) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Saturday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 1-0
The Pirates lost 3-6 as +137 underdogs at the Orioles Friday. Pittsburgh has lost 3 straight games and 10 of its last 11.
The Orioles closed as -148 home favorites in Friday’s win. OF Cedric Mullins hit for the cycle as Baltimore won its 3rd straight game.
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Pirates at Orioles projected starters
RHP Roansy Contreras vs. RHP Tyler Wells
Contreras (3-3, 4.74 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 38 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 10-1 loss vs. Toronto Blue Jays Sunday
- First career start vs. Orioles
Wells (2-1, 3.15 ERA) makes his 7th start and 8th appearance. He has a 0.78 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 40 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 loss in extra innings at Atlanta Braves Sunday
- First career start vs. Pirates
Pirates at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pirates +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Orioles -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-140) | Orioles -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Pirates at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Pirates 4
Moneyline
PASS.
Baltimore (-175) should hand the Pirates their 4th straight loss, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Orioles should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+115).
Nine of Baltimore’s last 10 wins have been by multiple runs. The Orioles have been playing well vs. winning teams lately and are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. teams with a winning record. Five of Pittsburgh’s last 6 losses have been by multiple runs and it should struggle to keep this game close with its disadvantage at starting pitcher.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-110).
The Over is 8-3-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 13 games vs. teams with a winning record and 7-3-1 in Baltimore’s last 11 after a win.
These teams tend to play high-scoring games vs. each other, with the Over going 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings, and Saturday’s matchup should be another offensive showcase with the inconsistent Contreras on the mound for Pittsburgh.
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