The Phoenix Suns (42-35) battle the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-40) Sunday. Tip from Paycom Center is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Suns vs. Thunder odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Suns have won 4 straight games and are coming off a 100-93 home win Friday over the Denver Nuggets, failing to cover as a 13-point favorite. Phoenix is 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 4 games after going 0-4 ATS the 4 games before that. It is 40-36-1 ATS on the season.
The Thunder are coming off a 121-117 road loss to the Indiana Pacers, failing to cover as a 6-point favorite. They are 0-6 ATS over their last 6 and just 2-4 straight up over that span. Oklahoma City is 43-32-3 ATS on the season.
The Thunder are 1-2 straight up and 1-1-1 ATS against Phoenix this season. The total is 3-0 O/U in those matchups.
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Suns at Thunder odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Suns -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Thunder +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Against the spread (ATS): Suns -4.5 (-110) | Thunder +4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Suns at Thunder key injuries
Suns
- Not yet submitted
Thunder
- Not yet submitted
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Suns at Thunder picks and predictions
Prediction
Suns 117, Thunder 114
Moneyline
AVOID.
With F Kevin Durant healthy, the Suns are the far superior side, so the Thunder, despite playing at home, aren’t worth a wager at +155. The Suns are too expensive at -190.
Against the spread
BET THUNDER +4.5 (-110).
The Thunder have failed to cover 6 games in a row yet are still 43-32-3 ATS this season. They have consistently been one of the best covering teams at home as well, posting a 23-16 ATS record at Paycom Center. They are also 5-2 ATS over their last 7 home games.
OKC is 10-9 ATS as a home underdog. The Suns are 1-1 ATS since Durant’s return and just 3-8 ATS over their last 11 games. The Thunder should also be a heavy public fade as well.
Take the THUNDER +4.5 (-110).
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 233.5 (-105).
The Suns have gone Under in 3 straight games, and since Durant’ return, they are averaging just 103.5 points per game while allowing just 96.5.
Durant is one of the best defensive guards in the NBA, and his length should give the Thunder problems. OKC has gone Under in 4 of its last 5 games as well as in 8 of its last 12.
For a smaller unit, play the UNDER 233.5 (-105).
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