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The Philadelphia Phillies (82-56) and Toronto Blue Jays (67-73) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 2-game series. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 3:07 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 2-1
Philadelphia beat Toronto 10-9 Tuesday while covering as a +101 road underdog. The Phillies trailed 6-1 at the end of the 1st before scoring 9 runs in the remainder of the game to complete the comeback.
Reliever Chad Green (2/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 K) took the loss. The Blue Jays have lost back-to-back games while the Phillies have won 3 straight.
Phillies at Blue Jays projected starters
LHP Christopher Sanchez vs. RHP Bowden Francis
Sanchez (9-9, 3.49 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 152 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 5-4 win over Atlanta Braves Thursday
- Career vs. Toronto: 1-0, 1.29 ERA (7 IP, 1 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 1 start
Francis (8-3, 3.66 ERA) makes his 10th start and 24th appearance. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 78 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 2-0 win at Boston Red Sox Thursday
- Career vs. Philadelphia: 0-0, 9.00 ERA (1 IP, 1 ER), 1 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 1 relief appearance
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Phillies at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:09 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Blue Jays +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+135) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Phillies at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Blue Jays 5
Moneyline
BET PHILLIES (-125).
Philadelphia is the slightly hotter team, having won 3 in a row and 5 of its last 7 at home, while the Blue Jays have dropped 2 straight games and are only 2-4 in their last 6 on the road.
The Phillies are also 6-2 in their last 8 overall matchups vs. the Blue Jays, being 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in Toronto.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like the Blue Jays to cover here as +1.5 (-165) underdogs, but this line is set slightly too favorably toward Toronto to risk betting on, so bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8 (-115).
For Toronto, the Over is 74-63-3 on the year while also being 33-30-2 for the Phillies in away games. The Over has also hit in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these squads while also hitting in 3 of the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
This is a very slight lean as the Over and Under have been extremely even in each team’s last 10 games as well as in the last 10 Philly-Toronto matchups.
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