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The Philadelphia Phillies (4-5) and St. Louis Cardinals (5-5) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Busch Stadium is set for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Philadelphia won 5-1 last season
Philadelphia lost 3-2 to the Washington Nationals Sunday, failing to cover as a -149 road favorite. The Phillies won the series 2-1.
St. Louis was routed 10-3 by the Miami Marlins Sunday while failing to cover as a -137 home favorite. The Cards won the series 2-1. The Cardinals allowed a whopping 7 runs in the 1st 2 innings, digging themselves into a 7-0 hole that proved to be insurmountable.
Phillies at Cardinals projected starters
RHP Spencer Turnbull vs. RHP Miles Mikolas
Turnbull (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.60 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 in 5 IP.
- 2023 road splits: 1-1, 8.44 ERA (16 IP, 15 ER), 24 H, 8 BB, 17 K in 4 starts
- Career vs. St. Louis: 0-0, 9.64 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1 start
Mikolas (1-1, 6.10 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 10 1/3 IP.
- 2023 home splits: 3-7, 5.55 ERA (99 IP, 61 ER), 113 H, 18 BB, 78 K across 18 starts
- Career vs. Philadelphia: 2-3, 4.54 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 39 H, 5 BB, 19 K in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance
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Phillies at Cardinals odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:36 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Cardinals -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+162) | Cardinals +1.5 (-196)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)
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Phillies at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 3, Cardinals 2
Moneyline
LEAN PHILLIES (+100).
Philadelphia has won 7 of its last 10 matchups vs. the Cardinals overall and is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.
I expect St. Louis to have more trouble finding success at bat against Turnbull than Philly will against Mikolas.
This is a risky bet as neither team has looked great to start the season and both are coming off of a loss.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
These teams look to be very evenly matched, so I like the Cardinals to keep this game close and cover as +1.5 (-196) underdogs, but they are not worth the risk of betting on with this heavy of a line. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).
The Under has hit in each of Philly’s last 4 games, including 3 straight on the road. For St. Louis, the Under is 3-2 in its last 5 games. The Under has also hit in 6 of the last 10 Philadelphia-St. Louis matchups overall and is 4-3 in the last 7 meetings in St. Louis.
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