The Philadelphia Phillies (63-49) and New York Mets (73-40) meet Saturday at 7:10 p.m. ET to continue a 3-game NL East series at Citi Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 9-4. The Phillies snapped a 4-game series losing streak by downing the Mets 2-1 in a 10-inning Friday lid-lifter.
The Phillies are 13-2 over their last 15 games. Philadelphia hurlers have logged a fine 3.18 ERA over that stretch. The club is 9-1 over its last 10 games on the road following Friday’s win.
The Mets had won 6 in a row heading into this set. They are 15-3 and have outscored opponents 106-59 since July 24.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Phillies at Mets projected starters
RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Jacob deGrom
Nola (8-8, 3.17 ERA) has authored a 0.95 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 144 2/3 IP across 22 starts.
- Has posted a 3.86 ERA across 16 1/3 IP in 3 meetings with the Mets this season.
- Owns a 1.51 ERA over his last 59 2/3 IP on the road.
DeGrom (1-0, 2.53 ERA) returns to the mound for his 3rd start of the season. He has a 0.47 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 15.2 K/9 through 10 2/3 IP.
- Did not make his first start of the season until July 30 due to a prolonged stay on the IL with a shoulder injury.
- Has held current Philadelphia bats to an aggregate .608 OPS.
Phillies at Mets odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:26 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Phillies +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Mets -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-140) | Mets -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Phillies at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 3, Phillies 2
Money line
PASS: slightly more leverage can be gained on the Run Line.
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
Run line/Against the spread
There is some baked-in “Phillies-and-Under” sway to this series, and those were the calls in this corner for Friday’s opener. Saturday’s lean is similar but on smaller margins.
Go with a partial-unit play on PHILADELPHIA +1.5 (-140). Feel free to go all in at -135 or better.
Over/Under
Both offenses are a little over-amped compared to their support analytics. The opposite holds true for both of these bullpens, and the immediate prognosis for both is strong.
The mound matchup is an elite one. The total mostly reflects that, but there is a sliver of value remaining on the low side.
TAKE THE UNDER 6.5 (-110). Consider dialing down the play to a half unit unless the price on 6.5 gets closer to +100 territory.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]