The Philadelphia Phillies (47-39) and Miami Marlins (51-38) begin a 3-game series in South Beach on Friday. First pitch at loanDepot Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Marlins and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Marlins lead 2-1
The Phillies head to Miami after completing a 3-game sweep of the Rays in Tampa Bay 3-1 on Thursday. They outscored Tampa 14-6 in the 3 games. Philadelphia has struggled against their NL East opponents, winning only 8 of 21 games.
The Marlins are 3-1 on their current 7-game homestand after a 3-0 loss to St. Louis on Thursday. Miami outscored the Cardinals 30-18 in the 4 games. The Marlins are 28-17 at home allowing just 4 runs per game.
The 2nd-place Marlins trail the Atlanta Braves by 8 1/2 games in the NL East and are 2 1/2 games ahead of the 3rd-place Phillies.
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Phillies at Marlins projected starters
RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara
Wheeler (7-4, 4.03 ERA) will make his 18th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 98 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 0 BB, 6 K in a 19-4 home victory vs. the Washington Nationals Saturday
- Last start vs Marlins: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 6 K in a 3-2 home loss on April 12
- 2023 away splits: 5-2, 4.00 ERA (45 IP, 20 ER), .265 OBA in 8 starts
Alcantara (3-7, 4.93 ERA) will make his 18th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 102 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 6 K in a 6-3 road loss vs. the Atlanta Braves Sunday
- Last start vs Phillies: Loss, 4 IP, 10 H, 9 ER, 1 BB, 4 K in a 15-3 road loss on April 10
- 2023 home splits: 1-4, 4.86 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 29 ER), .232 OBA in 8 starts
Phillies at Marlins odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -124 (bet $124 to win $100) | Marlins +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+146) | Marlins +1.5 (-178)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Phillies at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Marlins 2
Moneyline
BET PHILLIES (-124)
I like the Phillies to win this game. They are coming off of an impressive sweep of one of the better teams in baseball on the road.
Alcantara has just 1 win in his last 7 starts. He doesn’t have a home victory since April 4. He’s averaging over 4 ER allowed in his last 6 home starts while Wheeler has only allowed 1 ER in his last 2 road starts.
Run line/Against the spread
PHILLIES -1.5 (+146)
I just gave reasons why I like the Phillies to win this game and to win it convincingly. Philadelphia’s last 6 victories have all been by 2 runs or more.
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Over/Under
AVOID.
If the line moved to 8.5, I’d be interested in the Under.
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