The Philadelphia Phillies (80-62) and Miami Marlins (58-85) will meet for the last time this season Thursday night, the 19th game of their season-long series. First pitch from loanDepot Park will be at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Browns odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Phillies lead 12-6 after winning the first 2 games of this series
The Phillies have pushed 18 games above .500 after winning their last 5 games and 7 of the last 8. They’ve won 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Marlins and are now hold a 2.5-game cushion for the 2nd NL wild-card spot.
The Marlins are just 3-7 in their last 10 games and have lost 5 of their last 6. Going back even further, Miami has lost 14 of its last 17 games overall. Miami has been eliminated from playoff contention.
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Phillies at Marlins projected starters
RHP Noah Syndergaard vs. RHP Pablo Lopez
Syndergaard (9-9, 4.09 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 121 IP.
- Since being traded to the Phillies, Syndergaard is 4-1 with a 4.61 ERA in 7 starts, but he’s only striking out 5.0 batters per 9 innings
- The Phillies are 5-2 in Syndergaard’s 7 starts
- In 2 starts against the Marlins, Syndergaard is 0-1 and has allowed 4 ER in 11 innings with 12 K’s
Lopez (8-10, 4.04 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 153 2/3 IP.
- The Marlins are 1-7 in his last 8 starts. He’s allowed at least 4 runs in 4 of those outings.
- In his last start, he gave up 8 runs on 10 hits in 3 2/3 innings against the New York Mets.
Phillis at Marlins odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Phillipes -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Marlins +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+130) | Marlins +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Phillies at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Marlins 2
Money line
The Phillies have owned the Marlins this season, winning 12 of 18 meetings. They’ve won 4 of the last 5 against them and 10 of the last 12.
Neither pitcher should give either team much confidence in this matchup, but the PHILLIES (-130) have an all-around edge. I’m surprised they’re not bigger favorites in this one. Take Philly.
Run line/Against the spread
Of the Phillies’ last 5 wins against the Marlins, 4 of them have come by 1 run. They won 6-1 on Wednesday night, but many of their wins haven’t been by big margins.
That being said, the Marlins have only scored more than 3 runs once in their last 12 games against the Phillies. I don’t think they’ll have the bats to score enough in this game. Bet the PHILLIES -1.5 (+130).
Over/Under
I’ve already mentioned how few runs the Marlins have scored against the Phillies lately, but it’s not as if Philadelphia is racking up the runs in these meetings. The total has gone Under in 8 of the last 10 games between these teams.
I like the UNDER 7.5 (-110) again on Thursday night.
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