Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (79-62) take on the Miami Marlins (58-84) Wednesday in the second game of a 3-game set at loanDepot park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Phillies lead 11-6

The Phillies snuck by with a 2-1 win Tuesday night against Miami’s ace RHP Sandy Alcantara. Philadelphia has won 4 games in a row and 6 of 7 as the Phils have really hit their stride since OF Bryce Harper came back.

The Marlins continue to fade and have won just 3 of their last 10 outings. Alcantara was solid until allowing a 2-run homer in the 7th inning Tuesday night. They have scored just 3.5 runs per game over their last 11 contests. It’s almost as if they need to score 4 runs to win as the only 3 times they’ve done so in the stretch has been a victory.

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Phillies at Marlins projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Edward Cabrera

Gibson (9-6, 4.57 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 145 2/3 IP.

  • Last 2 starts: 6 2/3 IP, 14 H, 11 ER, 5 BB and 4 K
  • 5 starts vs. Miami this year: 1-2, 3.64 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 6.7 K/9

Cabrera (5-2, 2.63 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 54 2/3 IP.

  • Beat Phillies on the road Aug. 11: 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 6 K
  • Not as good at home with a 4.22 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 vs. 1.62 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 10.5 K/9 on the road

Phillies at Marlins odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:12 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+125) | Marlins +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Marlins 3

Money line

The Phillies roll Wednesday because taking a game late against Miami’s best could have a lasting effect. Philadelphia is scoring runs. Before that 2-1 finish Tuesday, they had scored 4 runs in 5 straight contests. They’ll do so again Wednesday, especially after Cabrera’s 5 innings.

Take the PHILLIES (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

Speaking of the Phillies scoring 4 runs, that’s the direction we’re going here. I think the RL will hit for Philadelphia, but I don’t want to rely on its 18th-ranked bullpen in the event of a collapse.

Take the PHILLIES OVER 3.5 TOTAL RUNS (-145) in a pretty safe wager.

Over/Under

Gibson has been batted around in his last two starts, and Miami got to him for 4 ER over 5 IP in his last start. Cabrera has a 5.51 ERA over his last 3 turns. Philadelphia is 6-3-1 O/U and Miami is 6-4 over the last 10. The wind is blowing straight out to center field at 6 mph.

There is a 90% chance of rain, though, so watch that up to first pitch. LEAN OVER 7.5 (-107).

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